When Cooling Becomes Warming

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Were the stakes not so serious, the continuing efforts of global warming apologists to explain every climate condition using their pet theory would be comical. Unfortunately, and despite the death of cap and trade, the climate change crowd has already been very successful in undercutting the use of cheap, plentiful and economically beneficial fossil fuels in the United States. Even worse, the Obama administration will begin to clamp down even harder on the use of fossil fuels in 2011, in the midst of an economic crisis when America can least afford such largesse. In this context, the claim by global warming alarmists that record cold temperatures and massive snowstorms somehow confirm their beliefs demands refutation.

In an op-ed published in The New York Times on December 25, Dr. Judah Cohen, Director of Seasonal Forecasting for Atmospheric and Environmental Research, patiently told readers why all of the unseasonably cold weather that Europe and North America has been experiencing is further proof that mankind is indeed causing global warming. According to Dr. Cohen, global warming is heating up the atmosphere, which means that the atmosphere can hold more water vapor. This in turn means that there is more water that will return to the earth in the form of snow during the winter, particularly in Siberia. More snow cover in Siberia means that more sunlight is reflected off into space, which in turn cools the planet, affects the jet stream and alters weather patterns to create colder temperatures.

Cohen thus takes the position that water vapor is indeed a very important component of the global climate picture, something that skeptics like myself have been saying for years. That’s a position that runs contrary to assertions made by prominent global warming alarmists like NASA climatologists Dr. Andrew Lacis and Dr. Gavin Schmidt. In fact, Lacis, Schmidt and their colleagues recently published a paper that asserted that water vapor in the atmosphere really doesn’t matter at all – only carbon dioxide counts. This is a rather remarkable claim, given that water vapor is a far more powerful greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide, and that the amount of water vapor in the atmosphere dwarfs the amount of carbon dioxide it contains.

Prominent skeptics, like the University of Alabama at Huntsville’s Dr. Roy Spencer, argue that the importance of water vapor is far more significant than that of carbon dioxide and that the global climate system is more or less self correcting. That is, if a small increase in carbon dioxide means that the atmosphere will contain a bit more water vapor, mother nature will deal with the problem by forming more clouds, which help cool the earth. The ultimate issue is about how sensitive the planet is to a slight increase in the concentration of a relatively insignificant greenhouse gas. Alarmists would have us believe that the earth is hyper-sensitive to the slightest change in carbon dioxide concentrations, which pretty much means that we’re doomed whatever we do. Skeptics say that the planet is robust and full of self-correcting mechanisms and that natural cycles are far more important than human activity.

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  • poetrixx

    When are u guys in America gonna put that criminal Al Gore to justice?

    • sflbib

      Our politicians are immune from the law. It's the nearest thing we have to the divine right of kings. [See also the Kennedy's.]

    • Stephen_Brady

      Don't blame me! I'd do it in a heartbeat!

  • BS77

    What is the bigger hoax…….global warming or liberalism?

    • wsk

      They are one and the same.

  • Trahnier

    Liberalism. Certainly. The wind they produce is warming the planet.

  • solemnman

    The earth may be cooling -but not enough ,it seems,to cool the fevered imagination of those who believe that all of the world's evolutionary processes should be put into their hands.

  • Gamaliel Isaac

    A sign of delusion is when no evidence can prove it wrong. No matter how cold the planet gets the global warming alarmists can argue that they are still correct according to their rationalizing.

    • Stephen_Brady

      The exact term is "falsifiability", and it is at the heart of the scientific method. If a theory cannot be verified, or falsified, it is a theory that has to be adjusted, or done away with.

      But as a political/scientific theory, anthropogenic global climate change is the most perfect theory in history. No matter what happens, it has all been "caused" by AGCC, and no one prove them "wrong". They then apply the theory to political science and … Voila! …. socialism on demand.

    • http://blog.yintercept.com yintercept

      I came up with a cool idea to help keep the big bucks rolling into the global warming confidence game. Here goes:

      The recession reduced our consumption of fossil fuels. This reduction in consumption coincides with a colder than normal winter … which proves conclusively that we can control global warming by reducing consumption of fossil fuels.

      Give me a data set and a week, and will find a way to frame the data to prove conclusively that the cold winter is the result of decreased fossil fuel consumption.

      My idea is so great that I think I deserve a big fat cash grant from the government.

      PS: I would like to take a vacation in the tropics. I could save fuel by not heating my house during the vacation. If anyone is willing to fund my vacation by buying carbon credits from me, i am willing to sell them.

  • http://tamaraheater.wordpress.com Tamara

    absurd and phony, and scientists participating should loose their credentials!

    • http://blog.yintercept.com yintercept

      Scientists supporting the scam would lose their credentials … except for the cunning ploy that leftist intelligentsia struck first.

      Any scientist who investigated the climate change objectively was labeled a climate change skeptic and driven from the profession years ago.

  • scum

    Watch as Texas is turned slowly into an environmental wasteland by coal-fired plants that destroy the world around them. Soon, nothing left but dead trees, prarie grass, and shining corporate shells in the cities.

    • davarino

      Ya I hate it here in Texas. The sky is pitch black from all the coal burning hehehehehe. Wasteland? Do you have anything to say about China? Have you been there?

      So when do you predict Texas will be dead?

    • alan g

      Scum, Is that your name or a description of your comment?

    • pagegl

      Don't hold your breath bucko. Then again, maybe you should, that way you won't be adding any more CO2 to the atmosphere.

      I'm with Davarino on this one. Life is pretty darn good here in Texas, even just outside of that liberal bastion Austin.

      Davarino, I figure Texas won't be dead until long after the dolts in the blue states figure out why we have jobs down here.

    • CanadConserv

      In fact the CO2 released around coal plants is plant food. Hence, if you look at satellite photos, you`ll see increased density of trees and praire grass around them.

  • K. Bond

    On Monday night, they had one of those high ranking environmental weenies (a woman) who was being questioned by Fox News as to why they keep talking about global warming when all across the world record low temperatures are being set, and snowfall amounts are unusually high. Her response was exactly what you’d expect…

    CLIMATE CHANGE AND GLOBAL WARMING ARE THE CAUSE!

    How’s that for a circle jerk??

    She went on to say that the United States “must lead the world in the fight on global warming.” Fox then asked what about the other large CO2 producing countries such as China? Why are they not doing anything? No comment. Fox asked what about all the federal subsidies that amounts to Billions of dollars, tax dollars spent each year on unwarrented research. Would it not be better spent elsewhere? She had no comment.

    She was, in my book, the perfect DOLT to have on the show…

    Fox News is great, don’t miss it, and yes, liberalism is a mental disorder.

  • American_Flag

    On Monday night, they had one of those high ranking environmental weenies (a woman) who was being questioned by Fox News as to why they keep talking about global warming when all across the world record low temperatures are being set, and snowfall amounts are unusually high. Her response was exactly what you'd expect…

    CLIMATE CHANGE AND GLOBAL WARMING ARE THE CAUSE!

    How's that for a circle jerk??

    She went on to say that the United States "must lead the world in the fight on global warming." Fox then asked what about the other large CO2 producing countries such as China? Why are they not doing anything? No comment. Fox asked what about all the federal subsidies that amounts to Billions of dollars, tax dollars spent each year on unwarrented research. Would it not be better spent elsewhere? She had no comment.

    She was, in my book, the perfect DOLT to have on the show…

    Fox News is great, don't miss it, and yes, liberalism is a mental disorder.

  • tagalog

    I'm having a very hard time reconciling the apparently contradictory claims that (for example) 2010 is going to be ranked as the third warmest year in the past 150 years (or whatever the period is claimed to be) with the claim that warming of the atmosphere has leveled off since 1998, and there have been no significantly (presumably, statistically significant) warmer years since then.

    Can anyone help me out with an explanation?

    • jay

      many of the temperature reporting stations are in urban centers, that were previously rural. the effect of buildings, concrete, etc cause temps to be read as higher. with the fall of the soviet union, many of the remote reporting locations in siberia, etc are no longer active. thus giving the appearance of warming.

      also of interest, the russians have done ice core drilling in antarctica, going back hundreds of years. interestingly, warming PRECEDED rises in CO2 in every occasion…..not the way the alarmists are trumpeting now.

      • wsk

        Stop confusing the issues with facts!

    • alan g

      The crazy environmentalists are coming undone. They are starting to lose track of their own lies. Frankly, I am get pretty sick of it all.

  • stephencuz

    Don't trees like CO2? Listen, this crap won't go away because it will generate money for those on the inside selling "carbon credits." Also, what would the lefties do without a good crisis in 2012? This is just food for their "cause" which is power through control and regulations. We will pay the price for the elitists on all fronts. A bump in oil prices touches everything from agriculture to retail and all jobs in between. Ultimately, they would have us all helpless and completely reliant upon the Government for our very existence. I predict this will be insidious and across the board cost increases until they think they can "act." Of course, anything they do will be for our own good. HA!!

  • http://netzero.com Steve Chavez

    Why does Al Gore always disappear from public appearences during the winter?

    • Karen

      Maybe he is like the Wicked Witch of the West. He will melt if he gets near too much snow?

  • BS77

    In several recent volcanic eruptions…notably Mt Pinotubo in the Phillipines, Mt St Helens and very recently the huge eruption in Iceland…..more gas, smoke, dust and particulate pollution was blasted into the atmosphere than all the cars, jets, trains and factories have ever produced…..Mt St Helens sent over a cubic MILE of dust into the sky. Man's puny cars and trucks would take 3000 years to produce a fraction of that …..The ICelandic volcanic eruption was incredible in scale. The blame the coal fired plants for global warming crowd are a pack of idiots. The last ICE AGE saw immense glaciers….an ice cap two miles thick resting on what is now Chicago and Detroit…..and it all melted away…Funny, there wasn't ONE SUV or one jet around, but the immense quantity of ice melted away due to increased solar output, which varies over the millenia.
    The global warming nuts are really anti progress misanthropes.

    • TheHammer

      Thank you for that perspective. the problem is that you will never see those facts presented in any mainstream media outlet.

    • wsk

      Ow, Ow,Ow !!!! The truth hurts! You must be a racist, bigot homophobe. That's what my sister-in-law calls me when I'm winning an argument.

  • adamjw2

    We must get the IPCC scientists and GW alarmists on record: What would DISPROVE the theory of global warming? If it is truly science, there has to be certain points which must remain true for the theory to remain legitimate.

    So let's ask them: What would disprove the theory? This way, we can politely point these out when they occur (likely already).

  • USMCSniper

    Funny cartoon on global warming experts:
    http://politicalhumor.about.com/od/environment/ig

  • david elder

    Panic that 2010 is the hottest year on record depends on use of NASA Hansen temperature records. They are consistently high outliers and embody strange adjustments. Year 2010 was hot to begin with because of an El Nino – this warms the globe. But then its flipside La Nina took over, and the globe cooled. And 1998 with its big El Nino is probably still the hottest year on record. The global temperature has not risen appreciably in the decade since then.

    Yes, this decade is warm relative to our thermometer records – but they only go back to about 1850, and the earth was recovering from a Little Ice Age at that time. The Medieval Warm Period 800-1300 AD was probably as warm as or warmer than today, as judged by various proxy temperature measurements.

    I am not a total sceptic and support sensible precautionary emission cuts. Nuclear is the one proven way of doing this. I look forward to seeing Greenpeace demonstrating to this effect.

  • sneed5

    Of course we now have more water vapor in the atmosphere! Precipitation that falls to earth has three places to which it can normally go: Into the atmosphere (flyoff); into the streams (runoff); into the ground (cutoff). With urban sprawl of cities, highways, buildings, airports, etc, we have eliminated a great portion of the earth's surface that could accept cutoff. Imagine, worldwide, all those ground covers we have placed that stifle cutoff. To where does that precipitation go? The vast majority of it flows into streams and ultimately in to our oceans. It follows then, as an inevitable sequence, if our oceans are rising, this is the main cause and not the melting of ice which takes up less space than water.

    • BoogiesDaddy

      That precipitation goes to new golf courses.

      • sneed5

        Bur some golf course putting greens are heated! That will cause to precipitation to evaporate! Best to you!

        • BoogiesDaddy

          Thus we have global warming. I knew it was a conspiracy by the greens!

          But did you compensate in your calculations for perspiration? Oh, GOLF. Never mind.

  • Rhyolite

    Global warming is not wrong or right, it is a THEORY. The outrage is that our government is willing to bankrupt out economy on an unproven THEORY. The debate is far from over and the left loses all their credibility when they state the vast majority of scientists agree with the warmists. History has shown many times that the popular consensus can be WRONG

  • Wesley69

    Regardless of the science behind global-climate change, this administration is going forward in some way shape or form with its cap and trade policy. It is not about the environment for Obama. It is green energy or be damned. It's about power and control of the energy resources of this country. It's about control over you and me. It's about a transfer of wealth

  • ARay

    Its just another example of Euro-chic in action. Years ago a French company gambled that many people were stupid enough to buy water in a bottle. Preposterous, no one is that gullible! A substance that covers 70% of the Earth's surface? No way some retorted. Some years later, someone topped the bottled water people with 'Lets see if we can sell thin air to these same gullible people.' And the idea of carbon credits was born and Al Gore became a millionaire. Euro-chic in action. Some people in America want so much to be European they'll buy water in a bottle and thin air with real money. Go figure.

  • Wesley69

    "In Oceania at the present day, Science, in the old sense, has almost ceased to exist. In Newspeak there is no word for 'Science.' The empirical method of thought, on which all the scientific achievements of the past were founded, is opposed to the most fundamental principles of Ingsoc."
    - George Orwell, 1984, Book 1, Chapter 9
    Ingsoc – political ideology of the totalitarian government of Oceania

    Climate Change is due to solar activity. http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/uk/article1

    Is man so arrogant that he thinks what he does affects the entire earth? Climate Change is another name for control.

  • Wesley69

    •"And if all others accepted the lie which the Party imposed—if all records told the same tale—then the lie passed into history and became truth. 'Who controls the past' ran the Party slogan, 'controls the future: who controls the present controls the past.'"
    - George Orwell, 1984, Book 1, Chapter 3

    Orwell is now a prophet for today what Oceania did is being done by current governments around the world. 1984'S NEWSPEAK ='s POLITICAL CORRECTNESS TODAY

  • votedagainstoby

    Global-Warming, Climate-change,.. Global-Cooling,.. Climate-Disruption,..

    WHATEVER the current name flavor of the day is,.. IT IS A SCAM!!!

    The BIG Lie.

    TOLD a thousand times until is is accepted as the truth.

    GLABAL-WARMING IS A SCAM. PEROID.

  • Michael

    Weather reporters are fortunate to get a 7 day forcast on the money. Actually 3 days of accurate reporting is considered a real accomplishment. Now they expect us to believe thet can accurately predict weather 10 years in the future ? Their real prediction is we are all idiots.
    American Christian Infidel
    Michael Canzano

  • Claude

    You are all correct to some degree, but that is what the Global warming crowd said, but you do not get the overall picture, it is all about Global control, not local. The object is to take your eyes off what is really on the table, the soveriegnty of the countries of the world, control the purse strings, and you control the world. What do you think is going on? If you look at the world today, what is in the HEADLINES DAILY. the ECONOMY, Global Warming just one more nail in the coffen, Happy New Year everyone.

  • http://whitegouse.com Lisa Blockowicz

    Global warming has never, is not now, nor will it ever be, a threat to this planet. Global cooling, conversely, is a real threat to our continued survival. This planet is not warming up. It's cooling down. One day soon, we may look back on the "greenhouse" with fond memories.

  • http://whitegouse.com Lisa Blockowicz

    Global warming has never, is not now, nor will it ever be, a threat to this planet. Global cooling, conversely, is a real threat to our continued survival. This planet is not warming up. It's cooling down. One day soon, we may look back on the "greenhouse" with fond memories.

  • Alex Kovnat

    Someone who calls himself (for whatever reason) "scum" posted this:

    >Watch as Texas is turned slowly into an environmental
    >wasteland by coal-fired plants that destroy the world
    >around them. Soon, nothing left but dead trees, prarie
    >grass, and shining corporate shells in the cities.

    If that's so, then we should have more nuclear power plants.

  • Acushla

    The Leaders at the Kyoto and Copenhagen GW Copnferences admitted that GW Campaign was part of their goals for Global Governance.

  • durangofox

    I've tried to figure out how to gain standing, prove damages and bring Al Gore, Gavin Schmidt, Michael Mann, James Hansen and all the other frauds before the court of justice. A friend, frightened by the global warming hoax, bought a Prius, installed fluorescent lighting, invested in a new furnace and is now mad because she feels defrauded. She took costly action because she was snookered. Now could she be the initial complainant in a class action lawsuit naming all of the fraudsters?

  • ConOff

    "It's colder because…. … the whole world is warmer.”

    I was asked about the Cancun Climate Scam Conference by one of the young rocket surgeons in my office here in DC. I told him that I am pretty much ignoring all the posturing and hot air pollution being generated by these progressive fools, since they have elected to completely ignore the revelations that most, if not all, of the data the IPCC reports are based on are false or at least suspect. His response was that this was just a small hiccup and that “that science doesn’t matter”, because it is clear my generation has been ruining the world with anthropogenic global warming, resulting from my generation’s overproduction of anthropogenic CO2 and anthropogenic methane, among other anthropogenically generated “greenhouse gases”. (These environazis certainly love that word, eh?). I allowed as how “my generation” hadn’t done a very good job of heating up the globe, or my dog would not have needed stitches from falling on the ice the other day, because there wouldn’t BE any ice if his hysterical accusations were even partially true. I asked why he thinks we are having colder weather earlier again this year, and his answer was “It’s colder because the whole world is warmer”. !!

    I asked how this could be, since this statement seems, at first glance at least, to contradict the basic laws of physics. He replied that the laws of physics have changed a lot since I was young (no, really!) and that anyone familiar with these changes will understand what is going on with the weather. Umm, OK.

    He then launched into a tirade about “our failure” (that is, the US’ failure) to do what we are “obligated” to do to save the world from this looming disaster we (the US) have caused. He was glad the EPA had finally done what the voters won’t do, when the EPA declared that CO2 is harmful to humans.

    That said, I asked him to please stop breathing in my cubicle, or to limit his breathing to inhaling only while he is around me, because I don’t want to die from his anthropogenic CO2 emissions. He took offense at this, and stormed off, after launching a string of four-letter Anglo-Saxon invectives in my direction.

    If he comes back here and exhales his poison around me, I will have to ask him to leave. If he farts, I think I’ll sue his… ahh, ass. LOL

  • Acushla

    CERN has rought out a report that the Solar Flares from the SUN is causing Global Warming aka Climate Change

  • http://bodypaintingwomen.net body painting

    "In Oceania at the present day, Science, in the old sense, has about accomplished to exist. In Newspeak there is no chat for 'Science.' The empiric adjustment of thought, on which all the accurate achievements of the accomplished were founded, is against to the best axiological attempt of Ingsoc."