Israel’s Crunch Time

Ryan Mauro is a fellow with the Clarionproject.org, the founder of WorldThreats.com and a frequent national security analyst for Fox News Channel. He can be contacted at ryanmauro1986@gmail.com.


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The Obama administration gave Russia permission to deliver the fuel rods for Iran’s Bushehr nuclear reactor in return for their support for U.N. sanctions. The Russians have announced they will begin the process on August 21 and Iran will begin operating the reactor in mid-September. In making this concession to Russia, the U.S. is forcing Israel to decide within one week if they will bomb the site before it is impossible to do so because of the radioactive fallout it would cause.

Former U.S. ambassador to the U.N. John Bolton is warning that Israel must immediately decide between accepting a nuclear weapons-capable Iran or a military strike. He noted that in Israel’s previous strikes on Iraqi and Syrian nuclear reactors, action was taken before the insertion of the fuel rods. Bolton’s statement comes as Jeffrey Goldberg writes in The Atlantic that most officials he spoke to felt there was a better than 50 percent chance that Israel would bomb Iran’s nuclear sites by next July. This follows claims by an anonymous senior Egyptian security official that his country had taken measures with the expectation that Israel could attack Iran as early as July.

The Israelis began deploying three nuclear-armed submarines to the Gulf as summer began. They have also unveiled a fleet of unmanned aerial vehicles that can fly for an entire day, permitting them to reach Iran. It was not said whether the aircraft can carry the ordinance necessary to destroy Iran’s nuclear sites but they were clearly shown with Iran in mind.

Sunni Arab regimes traditionally hostile to Israel have embraced the Jewish state as the only one able and willing to save them from a nuclear Iran and are silently supporting a potential campaign. The blunt statement by the ambassador from the United Arab Emirates that his country would support military action against Iran if necessary is an indication that the anti-Iran Arab bloc feels the window is closing. The Saudis, who have reportedly offered Israel its airspace to carry out a strike, have simulated the turning down of its defenses in such an event.

The Iranians are claiming that they have acquired four S-300 air defense systems that would complicate an Israeli strike, a move obviously meant to coincide with the announcement about Bushehr. At the same time, Russia has installed the S-300 in the Abkhazia region it has controlled since going to war with Georgia in 2008. The Israeli intelligence website Debkafile says the system was set up to block a potential northern route for a U.S. or Israeli strike on Iran. Russia, China and Turkey have also decided to sell gasoline to Iran just as the regime began seriously suffering from a shortage and the effects of international sanctions.

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  • Frank

    Didn't the "Community Organizer in-Chief" realize that by giving Russia the go-ahead on the nuclear fuel rods would place Israel in a corner with its back against the wall. And the only outcome would be a preemptive strike? Is he really that stupid!!!!
    Please will someone wake me up from this nightmare. This administration seems to have one agenda; destroy America and all of its allies.

    • ObamaYoMoma

      It's becoming harder and harder to believe that BHO isn't a stealth Muslim every day.

    • Indioviejo

      Frank, haven't you heard about B. Hussein O. being the Manchurian President? The proof is in the pudding. He was elected in spite of his intimate friendships with known America hatters such as Louis Farrakhan, Jeremiah Wright, Rashid Khalidi, Bill Ayers and Michelle Obama, just to name a few. Apparently we committed suicide as a nation, electing a man that hates our country.

  • http://www.islamicreform.org Edip Yuksel

    Israel is the greatest threat in the region. Iran, despite its mullahs and rhetoric have not attacked any neighbor. To the contrary, suffered from Saddam's aggression, which was supported by Israel and the USA.

    Israel, with its nuclear weapons, racist and paranoid attitude, with almost a century-long invasions and atrocities against civilians, will continue its bullying and aggression, until it will destroy itself through its own arrogance and aggression. History has plenty examples of bully nations that think that they are above law.

    Jews and Arabs and the humanity will win when the Nazionist regime falls. Wait and see.

    • Hammer2

      Another kool-aid drinker. Not even going to waste my breath to respond to this tripe.

    • philgee

      You've heard it said, there are 3 kinds of people: 1) those who make things happen; 2) those who "Wait-n-see." what happens; and 3) those who will still wonder what happened.
      Although, there are examples a-plenty of those who feel that, they are above law, there are none who are above common sense: "Wait-n-see.", "Wait-n-see.", yeah, that might be funny—except that, it comes from one "Edip Yuksel" who presents as so without the sensibility for welfare which G0D gave even to members of the lower animal kingdom, . . .

    • Stephen_Brady

      "Nazionist"? You should get a copyright on that word, before all the other nutjobs on the planet start using it …

    • MixMChess

      "Israel is the greatest threat in the region."

      Nope, that is Iran which instigates instability in the region by funding terrorism and starting wars with its neighbors (Iraq).

      "Iran, despite its mullahs and rhetoric have not attacked any neighbor."

      Um no, it attacked Iraq, see above. It provides military and financial support to terrorist organizations such as Hamas and Hezbollah which is an indirect way for Iran to attack Israel. Not to mention that Iran has made territorial claims to Saudi Arabia, Bahran, Qatar and several other UAE members. The Iranian government is a bully and warmongering regime.

      "To the contrary, suffered from Saddam's aggression, which was supported by Israel and the USA."

      Edip, are you seriously mentally retarded? Israel NEVER supported Saddam, in fact Israel bombed Iraq's nuclear reactor in the early 80's. There were rumors for years about Mossad plots to assassinate Saddam Hussein who launched SCUD missles at Israel and funded Hamas and Islamic Jihad among other terrorist organizations.

      "Israel, with its nuclear weapons, racist and paranoid attitude, with almost a century-long invasions and atrocities against civilians, will continue its bullying and aggression, until it will destroy itself through its own arrogance and aggression."

      Um you just described the Pali-Nazis and Iran, thank you. When Arab and Islamic aggression (both going on since 570 AD) ceases there will be true peace in the region and the world.

    • CanadConserv

      Iran, through its proxies, undermines Lebanese democracy, launched a Gaza coup against the elected Palestinian government, and has made possible aggression from those territories against democratic Israel. It also seeks to empower democracy hating Chavez and the like. They are indeed aggressive. And will be all the more so when their aggression is shielded by nukes.

    • steve

      iran sponsors, finances and equips terrorism on a global scale, twit.

  • Sean

    Ryan,

    It is my understanding that the Russian fuel rods have been on-site at Bushehr, ostensibly under IAEA lock and key in an ancillary structure, for the past two years.

    It would require some excellent HUMINT collection for the Israeli's to avoid creating a dirty bomb out of those rods should an attack occur.

  • crypticguise

    Israel, DESTROY them! Go with God. God does help them who help themselves; the US Administration will sit by and see Israel destroyed. They have no choice but to attack. Will they? We'll see won't we.

  • Ahmad Yaqeen

    Winston Churchill would have told Israel to act :
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6llT2ZYg-4E

    Over seventy years ago, Winston Churchill lamented what he called the "confirmed unteachability of mankind," the unfortunate habit of civilized societies to sleep until danger nearly overtakes them. Churchill bemoaned what he called the "want of foresight, the unwillingness to act when action will be simple and effective, the lack of clear thinking, the confusion of counsel until emergency comes, until self-preservation strikes its jarring gong."

    I speak here today in the hope that Churchill's assessment of the "unteachibility of mankind" is for once proven wrong

    September 24, 2009, United Nations General Assembly

    Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu:

  • Indioviejo

    It is time for Israel to prevent Iranian aggression by striking first. Now, when the SHTF, we will be involved, like it or not. I believe that the wars that we are involved in at this time, are only two fronts of W.W IV. Although we may not have the manpower in uniform to fight land wars in different scenarios, we do have enough fire power to destroy our enemies totally, and I'm not only mentioning Iran,Syria, but Venezuela, Cuba, Nicaragua, Turkey, and anybody else whom might want a piece of us. Total war is harsh, savage, brutal and uncertain, but I like to keep score on past transgressions against my country, and I can only hope that when we are attacked, we have enough "Cojones" to respond with finality. An Attack on International shipping in the Persian Gulf should bring us into this comming fight. Go Navy.

  • marat1

    Obama IS a Trojan Horse Islamist. Oh, they can build the mega-Mosque in N.Y.C., its legal. But its illegal for Israeli citizens to build in their own CAPITAL, Jerusalem, with a valid building permit. Racism at its finest. How about "demanding" that Catholics be forbidden from building in Washington, D.C. This guy has been running a dual agenda–STRENGTHENING America's enemies/Islamic regimes of the worst sort, while paying lip service as a front to hide his aim of bringing America down. Overnight, he has created the most anxious, divided America that I can recall, being CONSTANTLY at odds with the American public again and again and again, with no apology for it. The WILL of the People is simply IRRELEVANT. I am, frankly, amazed that he is still around since there is such incredible anger towards this guy, with millions of Americans now feeling suckered by his song and dance campaign of emotional manipulation.

  • Burt Renyolds

    Obama is nothing more than a balless Muslim.. His own wife slipped
    in a speach and mentioned his birth place as being Kenya.. Wake up
    all you dumb asses !!!

  • STEVE

    NUKE TEHRAN AND MECCA!