Islamic Jihad: Iran’s New Favored Proxy

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But it was during that brief period in which Arafat and Khomeini bonded that the Islamic Jihad emerged.  Until then the PLO had been a largely secular nationalist movement.  With a melding of perspectives, a Palestinian nationalist (Islamic) religious movement was possible.

Today we are looking at shifting alliances and an exceedingly complex situation:

Over a period of time, Iran has strengthened Hamas for its own purposes.  Iranian leaders, mindful of the possibility that they might eventually be attacked by Israel, wanted a strong Hamas that would be able to generate a military distraction at Israel’s border.

But now Hamas has fallen out of favor with Iran.  There is, first, the fact that Iran had not signed off on the Shalit deal; Hamas aroused Iran’s ire by acting independently and in defiance of its orders. What is more, according to reliable sources, covert understandings reached between Hamas and Israel transcended the Shalit deal.

But there are further complications, some of which have been alluded to by analysts in the course of the Israel-Hamas deal on Shalit.

Turkey and Iran have been engaged in a rivalry with regard to influence in Syria. Turkey, in fact, aspires to assume a position in Damascus that would allow it to supplant the Muslim Brotherhood, which has a long-standing relationship with Iran.  In the midst of this rivalry, it has hardly escaped Iran’s attention that Hamas is courting Turkey. Perhaps this was the proverbial straw.  Or perhaps it was the fact that Hamas is now considering moving its headquarters from Damascus to Cairo.

Whatever the case, Iran is well aware that a rapprochement of Turkey, Egypt and Hamas would be at its expense.

Once Iran decided it could no longer trust Hamas to act on its behalf, the time had come to activate Islamic Jihad.  And Voila! the rocket attacks.

This report was most certainly not written to make a case for Israel holding to the military status quo.  It may be that in the end the Israeli government’s obligation to protect its citizens and develop strong deterrence mandates significant action in Gaza without delay.

What has been demonstrated here, however, is the absolutely complexity of the issues involved in making that decision. Incredibly, with all of the above, there are still other factors at play.  Consider:

Any Israeli military action in Gaza right now will strengthen the Muslim Brotherhood position in Egypt.  But it is, indubitably, in Israel’s best interest to strengthen Egypt’s military regime, which would be the most stable and the most likely to retain the peace treaty with Israel.  Egyptian elections are slated to be held in November. Could it be that a major action in Gaza should wait until after those elections?

A purported “cease fire” with Islamic Jihad, which is being discussed (a planned escalated action by Israel has been table for the moment), is patently a sham.  The terrorists will start firing whenever they choose.  However, that “cease fire” is being negotiated by Egypt’s military leaders.  In the weeks before that election, is it prudent to give them the edge, and allow them the prestige of showing they are players of significance in the region?

Were Israel to undertake a major military mission in Gaza, its primary target would be the ruling power, which is Hamas.  But what are the consequences of taking out or severely weakening Hamas at this juncture? At one time, a decision to do so might have seemed a “no-brainer.” But the situation has shifted.

If background information is correct, and Hamas has fallen out of favor with Iran, to be replaced by Islamic Jihad, it may be that Hamas is no longer the worst of what must be dealt with in Gaza. It is possible that taking down Hamas would open the door for an even more virulent terrorist group to gain control.  If the military wins in Cairo, and Hamas falls under its sway, it certainly will not become an ally of Israel, but it might be a great deal less problematic than an Islamic Jihad under the sway of Iran.

This brings us, then, full circle, to the issue of a Fatah-Islamic Jihad alliance.  PA President Mahmoud Abbas, sitting in Ramallah, may project a far more moderate stance than do the Islamic leaders in Gaza.  But in the end, his goal of the destruction of Israel is no different.  Any thinking person who had until recently still held out hope against hope that Abbas in the end would act for peace has certainly been disabused of this notion by his UN gambits.

Over and over we have heard about a Hamas-Fatah unity government. In spite of the fact that it would have served purposes for both parties, it has never held because of the inherent rivalry and animosity between them.

But if Islamic Jihad, with which Fatah has a history of alliance, were the major factor in Gaza?   What would be the PA stance then?

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  • Stephen_Brady

    Chez, I agree with you, entirely. There are rumors that Israel is planning military action against Iran, at this moment. I rather think that it will not be a pinprick!

  • http://alimostofi.com Ali Mostofi

    Alrene

    Thank you for the history lesson, but please use the phrase Hezbollah in Iran and not Iran. The Hezbollah in Iran and Lebanon and their proxies are responsible for acting against Iran and other countries. It does not make sense to refer to them as Iran. They are killing the people in Iran.

    • Rifleman

      Iran founded, supplies, and trains them, they are Iran. All the other terrorist groups kill their own as well, that means nothing and doesn't stop their sponsors from supporting them.

    • Cynic

      Would it be more to the point calling it “the Ayatollah’s Foreign Legion”?

  • Rifleman

    Iran favors all the proxies, their favorite is always one that's not in control of the areas they're attacking from, so the ones responsible for the area in question can say they were trying to prevent or stop the attacks but couldn't. It's just a con.

  • http://satanstrinity.com C"H"Martel

    My book, "Satan's Trinity: Hitler, Stalin & Muhammad, is available at http://satanstrinity.wordpress.com/ For the first time in history "HSM" appear together on a book cover. The idea behind the book is to make headway against the ludicrous idea that Muhammad should be conjoined with any religious leader/founder. This book uses the specific names of Hitler and Stalin to efficiently identify the nature of Muhammad and by extension Islam. It compares the personalities and approach of each man to such categories as; war, peace, sex, torture, slavery, women, their respective childhoods and deaths, the critical affects of geography and timing, each man’s anti-social and narcissistic personalities. http://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=CHMar

  • http://satanstrinity.com C"H"Martel

    My book, "Satan's Trinity: Hitler, Stalin & Muhammad, is available at http://satanstrinity.wordpress.com/ For the first time in history "HSM" appear together on a book cover. The idea behind the book is to make headway against the ludicrous idea that Muhammad should be conjoined with any religious leader/founder. This book uses the specific names of Hitler and Stalin to efficiently identify the nature of Muhammad and by extension Islam. It compares the personalities and approach of each man to such categories as; war, peace, sex, torture, slavery, women, their respective childhoods and deaths, the critical affects of geography and timing, each man’s anti-social and narcissistic personalities. http://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=CHMar

  • effemall

    Israel moved its own settlers out of Gaza. It now needs to move the Gazans near all borders to a small ghetto near the Egyptian border, declaring 2/3 of Gaza a no-man's zone, a buffer in which all structures get leveled and any living creatures moving around in there are automatically killed. This zone should provide a buffer, a big parking lot, from which no missiles could be launched, providing a small measure of security to Israelis living near Gaza. If the Gazans then find longer range rockets to continue to harass Israel it will then be easier for Israel to clean out the compressed Gaza near the Egyptian border, driving them into Egypt or the sea. One can't be concerned about the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt or other distantly related issues. If you're confronted by a man with a gun, don't worry about his family getting angry if you'll hurt him. Shoot the s.o.b. before he shoots you.

    • Larry

      Why stop with that. Bulldoze the whole stinking mess into Egypt, and make the border the north shore of the Suez Canal. Egypt created the mess in Gaza, it's their responsibility, let them deal with it.

      With the border on the Canal it makes it easy to set up the entire area within range of Egypt as a free fire no go zone. Anything that moves in it gets a dose of high explosives.

    • kevin small

      the jews shoule stop tsaying the want peice while they are stealing more and more land

      • ObamaYoMoma

        This moron is so mentally incompetent and bigoted that he can't even spell the word "peace" correctly. Dude, why don't you get a brain transplant before I laugh my ass off!

  • Cynic

    “Bottom line: Citizens of Israel should not have to live this way.”

    But the world disagrees with you. Jews do not have rights as one can see from the revival of open antisemitism in Europe and now the protests in the US.

    The hypocrisy and bigotry is plain to see but the world is not interested.

    • UCSPanther

      True. It's shades of the 1920s and WWII-era antisemitism, but this time, the Jews of today are well-armed, have allies for a change and more than capable of defending themselves from whatever barbarians and nutters who wish them ill.

  • 080

    Most people are making a mistake here. It's not tit for tat. It's tit for TAAAAAAT.

  • Ben Cohen

    I've talked to David for a long time about this and he is more or less correct in his assessment of Israel's enemies; however, I still disagree with the approach he advocates. Israel faces the combined diplomatic, economic and military force of 1.5 billion muslims, this is an untenable situation. Virtually all of the Muslim world seeks Israel's destruction.

    The Palestinians if they could have their way would want complete hegemony over Israel, the West Bank and Gaza; I don't know what happens to the Jews then. Since the Palestinians have the support of said 1.5 billion Muslims they do have a lot of Negotiating clout. If Abbas is serious about peace it would be sheer madness not to listen to him:
    http://www.haaretz.com/blogs/strenger-than-fictio

    • ObamaYoMoma

      Uhm…I hate to rain on your wishful thinking parade, but the jihad being waged by the Islamic world via their Palestinian proxy, like all jihads in the past and like all jihads in the present today, is permanent and will continue to be waged perpetually against the Jewish unbelievers in Israel as long as Jewish infidels continue to control Israel. Just like the greater global jihad at large will also continue to be waged perpetually as long as there are non-Muslim unbelievers somewhere in the world that haven't been forced to submit to the authority of Islam. Hence, either the West wakes up and unites to defeat the scourge of Islam, or otherwise it will be subsumed by Islam and the world will enter a new Dark Ages it may never be able to escape from.

      As for as Abbas is concerned, he is playing taqiyya. Indeed, any Muslim that would actually make peace with the Jewish unbelievers in Israel would be a dead man walking, as that would constitute blasphemy and blasphemy like apostasy is a capital offense in Islam.

      Hence, the so-called peace process has always been a political ploy (taqiyya) used to weaken Israel and to dupe gullible useful idiots. Indeed, it worked and is still working like a charm.

  • kevin small

    every thing that happen to the jews is supposed to happen al you have to do is read the bibal which say to the jews I will give you a homeland but in that home land u shall never know peice they are being punished for what they did to Christ

  • WilliamJamesWard

    Arab/Muslim complexities, rivalries between Islamist factions, shifting alliances
    and the all in all is that Israel is the target for destruction. The sanest effort for
    Israel is to cleans Gaza of all of the so called competing villians and remove all
    of Gaza's inhabitants back to Egypt where they may enjoy repatriation and
    fealty. As for the killers eliminate them as a reward for their murders.

    Abbas seems to be to long lived and should join Yasser Arafat in hell, the area
    they foul should be cleansed and returned to Israel for and expanding Nation of
    Jewish domination. Let Egypt who murder their own Coptic citizens, Iran who
    kill off all Iranians who are opposed to the Mullahs and every Islamist slave
    state go to hell and or help them on their way, let there be a new Middle East
    dominated by Israel……………………………………………………..William

  • ObamaYoMoma

    Until then the PLO had been a largely secular nationalist movement.

    Actually, the PLO was never a largely secular nationalist movement. It may have pretended to be a largely secular nationalist movement to dupe gullible useful idiots into believing the Palestinians plight was about nationalism instead of what it really is, a disinformation campaign designed to camouflage the Islamic world's permanent and perpetual jihad of conquest under a cloak of nationalism.

    With a melding of perspectives, a Palestinian nationalist (Islamic) religious movement was possible.

    Sorry but that is also ludicrous as well, as nation-states and hence nationalism are products of Western civilization only, while Muslims believe only in a world Caliphate. In fact, since nation states are a manifestation of Western civilization, they are also in fact un-Islamic. Thus, the notion of Palestinian nationalism is again a ploy used to justify jihad and to also camouflage the Islamic world's permanent genocidal jihad being waged perpetually against the Jewish unbelievers under a cloak of nationalism.

    In fact, this whole scam was cooked up and implemented by the now defunct Soviet KGB, which had correctly calculated that the Islamic world would garner far more international sympathy and support if they presented their permanent and perpetual jihad of conquest against Jewish unbelievers in Israel as a struggle for nationalism. Indeed, the scam worked like a charm. Just look how it totally duped this writer.

  • esperantominoria

    Read this article about the great atheist who was anti-Islam:Oriana Fallaci

    What a life!She fought the nazis and fascists at age 14,argued with Khomeini,was almost killed in the 1968 Tlatelolco,Mexico massacre(200-300 killed)

    Read about her life and see a VIDEO about her:
    http://www.antisharia.com/2011/11/06/oriana-falla

  • Rifleman

    "Tit for tat doesn't work against Muslims because they don't value their own lives" Yep, that, and they have the numbers to lose in an attrition fight.

  • Ben Cohen

    The withdrawal from Lebanon was a huge, huge mistake. Me and Chezwick have disagreed in the past, but on this we agree: an un-negotiated withdrawal is a retreat, and you have no reason to expect a cessation of hostilities.

    The withdrawal from South Lebanon was unquestionably Israel's greatest strategic mistake.

  • Ben Cohen

    BTW, Chezwick do you have an email address? If you would want to discuss this issue with me you can email me at benjamin_robert_cohen@yahoo.com, or bensday823@yahoo.com