Nine Fronts in the Next War

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The current unrest pursuant to the “Arab Spring” is a mixed blessing for Iran. On one hand, if young Bashir were to fall, Iran will lose its most important ally in the western part of the Arab world. A break with Syria would be a serious defeat for Iran, since it would no longer be able to supply Hezbollah directly, nor would it have direct contact and supervision over its proxy terror armies in Lebanon, the Sinai, and the Gaza Strip.  It would also be very bad news for Hezbollah, whose terrorist leaders rely heavily on Iranian supplies, funds, and armaments, all channeled into Lebanon via Syria.  Hamas too would suffer from a break in its link with its Iranian godfather.

But on the other hand, Iran is exploiting the great opportunity created by the chaos and upheaval of the “Arab Spring”.  Iran does not want to see its foothold in the west undermined by this upheaval, so it has helped Bashir in his use of extreme force; and it has also begun to manipulate the “Arab Spring” violence and unrest to its advantage.

To gain maximum benefit from the situation in Egypt and to turn the world’s attention from Syria, Iran has activated two of its proxies, Hamas and Islamic Jihad, to renew attacks on Israel: blowing up the natural gas pipeline from the northern Sinai to Israel, firing scores of rockets into Israeli towns and villages near the Gaza Strip, most recently launching three brutal attacks on civilians near Eilat, and more in the offing.  Igniting a new war between Israel and Egypt, or at least precipitating a crescendo in the incendiary calls for war from the Egyptian populous and neighboring Arab states, would be a marvelous win-win for Iran and for the Muslim Brotherhood (MB), the best organized and most popular of the political groups contending for power in post-Mubarak Egypt.

If Israel’s response to the attacks from the Gaza Strip and Sinai were to trigger a war with Egypt, Israel is likely to win; but the turmoil and upheaval in the wake of that war would weaken the Egyptian generals currently ruling Egypt with a temporary de facto mandate.  Once shamed in defeat, they would lose credibility and popularity (there already have been protests against their continued rule and postponed elections).  This scenario would create the perfect storm into which the MB could sail to political control.  If, despite the attacks, Israel shows restraint, the MB can still shame the generals for not confronting Israel, and then either provoke a war or use the failure of the generals to confront Israel as a way to shame and weaken them and pave the way for the MB’s own rise to power.

Better yet, if Iran, through its proxies, could spark a war with Israel, and the other forces confronting Israel were to join in, Israel would be fighting on many fronts at once.  In that case, the likelihood of Israel’s victory is in question.

El Qaeda is thoroughly ensconced in the Sinai.  Currently Israel and Egypt are said to be in conversation about Egypt’s re-militarizing the Sinai, so perhaps the Egyptian army could be deployed against al-Qaeda and Hamas there.  But if the MB succeeds in gaining a position of political strength in Egypt, it is not likely that the Egyptian military will be deployed in the Sinai to drive al-Qaeda out.  Quite the opposite, the MB wants a military confrontation with Israel. So it is likely to see al-Qaeda in Sinai as an ally in such a war. And if the MB and al-Qaeda go to war against Israel, then Hamas in the Gaza Strip is sure to follow.  Hamas cannot stand idly by while its Egyptian brethren initiate the great final jihad against Israel.

With Egypt, al-Qaeda and Hamas attacking Israel on its southern and western fronts, Iran will want Hezbollah to get in on the action and make use of the thousands of rockets and missiles that it has stockpiled just for this very moment, thus opening a northern front.

Syria may have difficulty deploying a large military force on the Golan front if it must use its military against its civilian demonstrators; but Iran will be in a position to aid Syria in suppressing unrest (probably in a manner similar to what Bashir’s father Hafez el-Assad did in 1982), and young Bashir will want a distraction on the Golan front to turn his citizenry’s attention, and the opprobrium of the world, from his slaughter of unarmed demonstrators. Even if Bashir falls, undesirable for Iran but an eventuality that the Mullahs may be anticipating, a Syrian government run by the MB or other Islamo-fascists of that ilk will be delighted to join Egypt and others in a pincer-movement assault on Israel. So a Syrian Golan front is very likely to open once Israel is at war with Egypt, Hamas, el-Qaeda and Hezbollah.

In the West Bank, Hamas is strong because its extreme Islamo-fascist ideology and commitment to Israel’s annihilation hold the sympathies of many.  Fatah and the PLO, the main components of the PA, are condemned in some circles for their collaboration with Israel.  The PA will not be able to maintain a position of power if it chooses to sit out a war against Israel; especially since the PA is in stiff competition with Hamas for the hearts and minds of the West Bank electorate, and it looks like entering a shooting war with Israel is a good way to win those hearts and minds.  So it is very likely that another intifada could erupt once the southern, western and northern fronts are aflame, probably targeting the Israeli communities scattered throughout Judea and Samaria.  Such a terror offensive could cause high numbers of casualties but is not likely to create an existential military threat.  However, a West Bank terror war would be a serious distraction for Israel and would reduce Israel’s ability to concentrate its military on the fronts that are existential threats.

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  • matt

    The period of calm served Iran, sitting back in a safe haven operating proxies, to cover them so they can build a bomb. The period of calm allowed Iran to build up the strategic confidence/deterrent to proceed with their plans. Random even coordinated attack out of Sinai and rocket fire from Gaza is not going to win a war. Syria is not in a position to keep the uprising down and fight a war as the axis had threaten. Erdogan has done a Stalin on his senior officers they are not ready for a war, and if it goes bad which it will, the military will perform sledgehammer mark II, as that was always their plan put Erdogan in a position in which the military can coup.

  • matt

    That leaves Iran and Hizbullah, Iran has election coming up and need to crush dissent, two Iran cannot fully help Syria and keep their own uprising down, Hizbullah cannot control Lebanon and also crush dissent in Syria and Iran. Hizbullah would be forced to fight on three fronts Iran, Syria ( to protect their flank) and Lebanon, that thins out their forces so a fully scale operation like Gaza a multi-front attack is much easier for the IDF. You have seen the IDF maps on Lebanon south of the Litani shock and awe, the whole thing a car park, landfill with the flank opened up seizing control of the launch sites north of the Litani.

  • matt

    Operations in the east are a different form of war, Romania was the same tactics as the Bin Laden raid incursion and extraction, key sites, BM sites, air superiority over Iran. With the security apparatus deconstructed, the Green Movement will take over the Tehran region, indigenous forces, Kurds, Sunnis will gain control of the east and the west and we will encircle Iran forces cutting their supply of logistics, from the Arabian Gulf, from the east and the west and from the Caspian Sea. Into a quadrant in the central corridor, kill zone.

    Not for Hizbullah, not for Jerusalem, that is what they chant.

  • Flowerknife_us

    The real question here is. will obama just sit back and watch it all on CNN with freshly washed hands.

    • stern

      yes.

    • skulldiggerin

      p0tuses had already done so in the past.

  • http://msmignoresit.blogspot.com msmii

    It is all pointing back to Iran. The leadership, both Ahmedinijad and the Khameany, want to bring on the mahdi so they are fomenting chaos and war everywhere they can. http://msmignoresit.blogspot.com/2011/08/is-iran-

  • Dispozadaburka

    I can't even believe this is happening.
    It's like a bad dream.
    Time to rub the lamp and make three wishes.

    Time to put the Islamic genie back into the lamp for all eternity.

  • Wesley69

    If Israel is attacked on all nine fronts, Israel will not go down without a fight. Defeat is not an option because the Muslims would kill every Israeli they found. Israel will have no choice but to take out as many enemy capitals and cities as it can. The Muslims want to go to Allah, then give them their wish. Teheran, Damascus, Amman, Southern Lebanon, Gaza, Cairo, the Aswan Dam would need to be hit. How would Turkey or Iraq respond? They would probably join the conflict, Turkey, just because it could not allow Iran to take the lead, and Iraq because it is a client state of Iran. This is what unreasoned hate has done for these region; more death, more destruction, no progress, no hope, no future. This could well be the ruination of this region as when Genghis Khan's invasion of the fertile cresent changed the nature of that area forever. This is the price of a death cult.

  • WilliamJamesWard

    The Islamists want it, they are going to get it and not what they think in their
    viscious mentality, they will be destroyed and good riddance, no loss to the
    World. Peace will come only when the Mullahs are given a grave to occupy.
    William

  • RiverFred

    Israel must strike Iran first with nuclear tippped cruise missles and destroy their nuclear sites before it is to late or it will be lights out for Israel.

  • http://apollospaeks.blogtownhall.com/ ApolloSpeaks

    An unlikely senario given Israel's stockpile of nuclear weapons, which it will use if faced with defeat wrecking havoc on the Middle East and turning Mecca into dust. A more likely scenario is a sectarian regional war over control of Syria with Shia Iran, Iraq and Hezbollah on one side and Sunni Arabia and Turkey on the other.

    • skulldiggerin

      The enemies of Israel count on the leftard renegade Israeli politicians to deny
      Israel the use of these weapons, even in case of total annihilation of their Nation.
      They are already jockeying for positions in the future "Warsaw Ghetto" kind of
      government set up by the vict0rs.

  • Yeshayahu Goldfeld

    To my mind the battle for survival will bring us Israelis victory ,taking of course in account the terrible human and material losses.

    • WilliamJamesWard

      Victory for Israel is the only acceptable outcome and it is hoped that the
      Islamists will disappear into a permanent black hole……………..William

  • Kenley

    I really don't think that all of the country's would sit back and watch Isreal fall. I think that will put the United States into the conflict. Even though we have all of these Obama Democrats in the Senate, I just can't beleive they would sit back and watch Isreal be destroyed. I think Isreal would start nucking all of the muslims if forced to.

    • Hugh

      Europe has no love for Israel. Never did. The United States military is not run by Congress. Congress can't make Obama do anything. When this thing starts, it will be all over in a couple of days, maximum. Probably just hours.

      Reading this article was like reading the interpretation of Psalm 83.

      Israel hasn't done much with their military lately, but they haven't had their backs to the water before like this either. It's not going to happen by suprise, and the Israelis are certainly planning for it. I'm suggesting the outcome is going to be rather shocking to everybody.

  • Moishe Pupick

    W., 09/07/11 common era

    Rosh Hoshanah 5,772 will began at sundown on Wednesday, September 28th. I have learned in Orthodox synogogues that that is when G-d judges all of mankind, Gentiles and Jews alike.

    "I will bless those who bless thee; and those who curse thee, I will curse." The midieval Rabbi Rashi comments that the latter half of that verse is worded that way because G-d doesn't like to curse anyone and gives sinners plenty of time to repent.
    Jew haters should consider that prospect. . . .

    • anton

      all of Israel well be save, who touch my people the apple of my eye the G-d of Israel said.

  • maxmillerman

    The situation facing Israel is indeed daunting.
    However,there are three key elements missing from this "nine front" equation.First,Sunni fears of the Shiite crescent,nearly equal to Israeli concerns.They will not stand idle as Iran moves to impose shiite dominance on the arab-muslim world.Second – Global fears of the most important oil region falling into under the control of Iran

  • maxmillerman

    And third – The continued presence of US forces in Iraq and Iraqi concerns about coming under domination by yet another dictatorship.It should also be noted that the Kurdish north in particular is highly determined to maintain it's newly won and flourishing democracy.Outside Israel the Kurds have the most capable fighting force in the mid east,the Pesh Merga.They are now being assisted,trained and equipped by the United States and are growing in size.Furthermore,they are strategically placed on the Iran-Iraq border.They remain very pro US and,if necessary,would happily offer their region as a base for US operations as well as providing a considerable fighting force to oppose any Iranian move,en masse,through Iraq.
    manageable by the IDF.
    To be sure,there remains many unpredictable political and military variables.But there are clearly some scenarios in which the Iranian regime could be defeated in a conflict to the extent it would topple the regime.And,again,that would likely leave their proxies isolated and weakened to the degree the IDF could manage and perhaps even annihilate,once and for all Hamas and Hezbollah.

  • maxmillerman

    There are three key elements missing from this "nine front" equation.First,Sunni fears of the Shiite crescent,nearly equal to Israeli concerns.They will not stand idle as Iran moves to impose shiite dominance on the arab-muslim world.
    Second – Global fears of the most important oil region falling into under the control of Iran.
    And third – The continued presence of US forces in Iraq and Iraqi concerns about coming under domination by yet another dictatorship.It should also be noted that the Kurdish north in particular is highly determined to maintain it's newly won and flourishing democracy.Outside Israel the Kurds have the most capable fighting force in the mid east,the Pesh Merga.They are now being assisted,trained and equipped by the United States and are growing in size.Furthermore,they are strategically placed on the Iran-Iraq border.They remain very pro US and,if necessary,would happily offer their region as a base for US operations as well as providing a considerable fighting force to oppose any Iranian move,en masse,through Iraq.

  • maxmillerman

    Should Iran attempt to move a large force south to participte in a regional war it is almost a certainty they would be met with heavy military opposition at their southern border with american participation complimented by the US Sixth Fleet located close by in the Persian Gulf.And should Iran find it's military defeated in such a conflict their proxies would find themselves isolated and therefore weakened to an extent manageable by the IDF.
    To be sure,there remains many unpredictable political and military variables.But there are clearly some scenarios in which the Iranian regime could be defeated in a conflict to the extent it would topple the regime.And,again,that would likely leave their proxies isolated and weakened to the degree the IDF could manage and perhaps even annihilate,once and for all Hamas and Hezbollah.

  • http://www.contextflexed.com Flipside

    I like how Arab Israelis are touted as examples of Israel’s magnanimous plurality, but at a moment’s notice are counted as terrorists and enemies. Don’t forget the tenth front: Peace Flotillas! And the eleventh front: The UN! And the twelfth front: Negative Press! And the thirteenth front: Angry Israeli students who can’t afford housing! And the fourteenth front: Norman Finkelstein! And the fifteenth front: Norway!

    • Ghostwriter

      Flipside,why don't you,for once in your wretched life,admit that Israel has a right to exist and stop with your sickening,anti-Jewish hate.

      • http://www.contextflexed.com Flipside

        Of course they have a right to exist.

    • Choi

      The Arab Israelis presence or in fact,existence,PROVES Israel's magnanimous plurality and YES there are among them TERRORISTS/JIHADIS/ 5th Columnist ENEMIES.

      • skulldiggerin

        Let the Israel-haters do their worst.
        This 2011 Nakba will top everything they had known since Gengis-Khan.
        And this time it will last forever.

        Go Islamic Arabs !
        To yur doom !

  • Proud_Kafir7908

    The good news from all of this is that, just like in the Six-Day War, Israel's muslim enemies are gearing up for battle while relying overwhelming on one kind of war "strategy", if it can be referred to as such at all: "insh'allah", or the will of allah, their "prophet" mahound's imaginary alter-ego. Rather than real planning for war, as Turkish PM Recep Erdoclown's severing of his country's military ties with Israel can attest, Israel's enemies will go to war with the baseless belief that, with allah's winds in their sails, victory is the only possible result from their actions. Never mind that the wars between Israel and its muslim enemies, at least until before 2000, when Israel cared more about its survival than those oh-so-precious feelings of the so-called "international community", told a whole different story about how reliable allah can be.

  • FriendofGaryCooper

    Israel can do something to immediately reduce this existential threat–knock out or
    severely damage Iran's nuclear capability; in a series of pre-emptive air strikes. Iran is a big supporter of the MB. Cripple Iran and the MB isn't quite as menacing.

  • The Lord Is Coming!

    Read the Bible folks. It's all in there. Prophets Jeremiah, Ezekial, Isaiah, Joel,
    Zechariah,etc., describe, under God's inspiration, exactly what is going to transpire in the not to distant future (last days). God will defend Israel. He gave them their land. Pity those who seek to challenge this decree. As you do to Israel, it will be done to you.

    • Friend of Israel

      Amen! The Bible's being fulfilled so fast that we can learn more by checking what the scripture says about current events than by reading or watching national media……and it's SO MUCH more revealing!

    • mARIO

      "NO WEAPON FORMED AGAINST WILL PROSPER"

      • Mario

        "NO WEAPON FORMED AGAINST ISRAEL WILL PROSPER"

  • James, Dakar Senegal

    God almighty will never let his choosen people go down, ISRAE will fight til the end and the victory is with them, God bless Isarel

  • Millions Missing?

    I totally agree more with the above post – The Lord is Coming! The Muslim armies will be defeated (the Prophets of Jehovah God declare that this will happen) and the Church, the Bride of Christ may also be taken out of this world on this upcoming Rosh Hashanah creating total world chaos and necessitating the biblical Seven Year Peace Treaty between Israel and the many -> this will introduce the Seven Year Tribulation Period spoken of in the Book of Revelation (last book of the Bible). The biblical Antichrist and the Islamic12th Imam (are one and the same) -> the Bible states he will introduce a mark and if one bows to the Antichrist/Imam and accepts it -> one is eternally doomed, So, even if one of the Muslim holy books called the Hadith states that this same man will introduce a mark -> the mark of Allah – and if one is a follower of Allah, one must accept it to go to Paradise.

    I would strongly remind Muslims to recall which God was behind Israel supporting it in battle on all fronts from their god Allah – before they think about receiving this mark! The Bible clearly states that they will be doomed.

    • ckg

      Missing millions? More like missing biblical support for this Darby led Dallas theo illogical false doctrine. The church as you call it is part of greater Israel see Rom 9-11, Paul called gentile congregations part of the Commonwealth of Israel see Ephesians. Christians fail to differentiate between tribulation and the wrath of God, there is a difference. Instead of making travel arrangements via the rapture why dont you and your church get on your faces and enter spiritual warfare prescribed in Eph 6:10-17? These principalities that are controlling these Islamic armies are strengthened through the apathy of believers who sitting on their blessed assurance waiting to fly away put down their spiritual tomahawks to feed the laziness of their idle woman and spoiled children. This lethargy is as great an antisemetism as any thing the enemy does openly. But Yeshua is not slack concerning His promise, He will restore the kingdom to Israel with or with out you

      • Alex

        Believe in Christ, put on God's complete armour(Eph6:10-18) do the spiritual warfare, He will sustain and keep you safe (rev.3:10).

      • Millions Missing?

        Sorry, but if you take the time to study the Lord's Feasts, as well as Jewish marriage customs -> you will see that Christ will come for His Bride on some future Rosh Hashana, the 7 yr. Peace treaty will be signed 9 days later on Yom Kippur -> then, 7 rs. later to the day, Christ will return on Yom Kippur and then set up His 1000yr. Kingdom on earth on the feast of Tabernacles.

        The 70 wks. of Daniel's Vision prove that God is not finished with His Chosen people -> they have 70 wks. of yrs. to acknowlege Jesus as their Messiah -> 69 wks of yrs (360 lunar calendar days) passed to the day from King Artaxerxes decree, issued in 445 B.C. until Palm Sunday 32 A.D. (when the Jews rejected Him) -> the Jewish people have on week of yrs. left to acknowledge Him as Messiah -> the Tribulation Hour! The Church is not Israel!

      • Millions Missing?

        The book of Revelation is the only book of the Bible with its own outline -> things past (Chs 1-2), things present (Chs 3 & 1st part of Ch 4) and things future (Ch 4 onward). Ch 4 constitutes a 'rapture scenario' -> John is on the Isle of Patmos -> he hears a voice like a trumpet and this voice tells him to "come up here" -> he goes into the spirit and then, the first thing John sees future are the Saints laying their crowns before the throne of God -> hence, at this point in Scripture, the saints are 1) in heaven, 2) they are seated and robed, and 3) they are crowned!

        Luke 14:14 tells us that we will be repaid/rewarded for what we have done on this earth at the "Resurrection of the Righteous" -> thus, at this point in Scripture -> the saints are in Heaven and then, and only then, does the hunt begin to find someone that is worthy to release the seals and open the scroll -> releasing the Tribulation Judgments -> to buy back planet earth!

      • Millions Missing?

        Scripture tells us that 'the Lord is coming for those who are waiting for Him' (Heb 9:28). It doesn't sound like you are very eager for His return to me -> some Bride -> the Lord deserves better!.

  • Andreas-Ben-Judah

    Israel will have some dark days ahead but not to fear HE will save His people ,it is His promise and the LORD does not brake His promises not ever.Read the book of Joel and Obadiah but you must return to G-d and repent ,have a change of heart .the FATHER is listening and will help you Oh Israel.Turn to HIM now with all your heart and He will come and fight your enemies and none will prevail against you.But you must Believe in your heart ,in other words pray for the Father to increase your Faith ,for without faith you cannot please G-d.You are not alone my brothers and sisters .Many of us are praying for you.

    • natanael mercado

      its amazing what is happening only means the lord is coming soon!
      good part is that in the end of all this god will give israel the victory!!
      lords coming soon!!!!

  • Emmanuel

    Seriously, I am baffled! So many learned comments, strategic assessments and geopolitical expertise! Yet, only the last 4 commenters get it right!

    How can you guys have so much knowledge and yet did not care to consult the One book that answers all these questions? What is happening here? Is this spiritual blindness?

    Folks, just face it: There is no way that Israel will ever, ever, ever be defeated. God promised them once they return to their land, nobody will ever be able to extract them from their God given land.

    I place my bet on my God Almighty. Fell free to bet on Allah, Mahomet, the 12th Imam, on the MB, or any other that suits your fancy. And we'll see who will laugh last.

    You better repent before it is too late.

    God bless you.

    Only the 4 last comments make sense at all.

  • skulldiggerin

    The next Islamic Arab(IA) attack against Israel will have these protagonists :
    1- Clockwise around Israel : the armies of Egypt, Sudan, Saudi Arabia, Yemen, the filthily-rich Islamic toy oil-states, Iraq, Jordan, Syria, Lebanon, Hezbollah, Hamas;
    who will be beefed up with volunteers from Bosnia to Indonesia)
    They will know no dearth of weapons, but will be all dead before using them.

    2- The Arab squatterrorists inside Israel, about to declare "independence".

    3- The PA armed thugs disguised as "policemen"

    4- The Israeli sodomists who have no allegiance to speak of , who will riot against Jerusalem.

    5- The heedless young people who demonstrated in their hundreds of thousands
    for "better living" while death threatens their nation.

    6- The Israel-hating Jewish businessmen who have no use for a Jewish State or For
    THE GOD OF Abraham, Isaac And Jacob, either.

    7- The renegade leftard Israeli politicians ready to stab Israel in the back by hampering
    the IDF and IAF the best they can.

    8- The West and the Treason-led DC regime who will turn their backs on Israel.
    However, this will free Israel from their politically correct pillory.

    9- Somehow, the Tehran & Ankara regimes as well as the North African Arabs will be absent in this round(probably because Saudi Arabia will take the lead and doesn't want
    to share the prize in virgins, if only these bloodthirsty nitwits know that's it is Virgins of
    Nuremberg and that one will suffice amply for all the Islamics since their profet)

    On the friendly side Israel can count on the much despised "Settlers" who are in fact
    as patriotic as the 1948 Sabras, and all the patriotic Israeli citizens,

    AND Of Course, THE FRIEND OF Patriarch Abraham, ALMIGHTY GOD.

  • skulldiggerin

    For '4-' I want to add "…in order to live and practice their vice."

    My apologies.

  • Ckg

    The writer forgot 1 serious and likely combatant that will engage, Turkey! See, Gods Holy War on Terror by Walid Shoebat. Ezekiel 38 spells out all the combatants as well as Psalm 83. We must all pray.

  • http://eilat.tk/%d7%90%d7%99%d7%9c%d7%aa-%d7%a8%d7%90%d7%a9-%d7%94%d7%a9%d7%a0%d7%94/ אילת,מלונות באילת

    Its like you learn my mind! You appear to grasp so much about this, like you wrote the ebook in it or something. I think that you just could do with some % to drive the message home a bit, however other than that, that is wonderful blog. An excellent read. I’ll certainly be back.