Eight Reasons Not To Be Optimistic About Egypt

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4. Neither liberty nor tolerance has roots in the Arab world.

It is very hard, perhaps impossible, to plant the trees of liberty and tolerance in soil that has never grown them. And if these trees are planted, they are likely to take many years to grow.

5. People have been trained to depend on the state.

In addition to political obstacles, there are economic and psychological ones. Most Egyptians and other Arabs have known no economic life other than reliance on the state. In order to foster liberty, the state must shrink. But if the state shrinks, so do government subsidies for food and so do the number of state employees. Even assuming Egyptians’ yearnings for liberty were more intense than their yearning for an Islamist state, in order to make a free country, Egyptians would have to wean themselves off of dependence on the state. That is almost unheard of — see Madison, Wis., to see how difficult it is even in a prosperous, free, First World country.

6. The American media have been hiding the bad guys.

You have not been getting the whole truth about Tahrir Square. To this day, the print edition of The New York Times has not reported the sexual assault on Lara Logan, the chief CBS TV foreign correspondent, by 200 Egyptian men in Tahrir Square yelling “Jew, Jew” while they assaulted her. CBS News itself did not report on the incident until others exposed it. Likewise, few mainstream news media have reported or shown the depictions of Mubarak as an Israeli agent or attacks on other Western news teams accused of being agents of Israel.

7. Getting closer to Iran

In one of its first actions after taking over control of the Egyptian government, the Egyptian army allowed two Iranian warships to sail through the Suez Canal for the first time since the Iranian revolution. If that is not a bad sign, nothing is.

8. Egypt is saturated with Jew and Israel hatred.

Finally, and arguably most significantly, Egypt and the rest of the Arab world have been swimming in a sea of Jew and Israel hatred for decades. Historically, anti-Semitism has been a perfect predictor of a society that will cause others problems and that will eventually self-destruct. The preoccupation with destroying Israel has been the single greatest obstacle to Arab countries joining the modern world. No Arab progress will be possible until the Arab world gives up its obsession with Israel’s disappearance.

Against these eight powerful reasons, we read about individual Egyptians who are sick of dictatorship and yearn for freedom. Such wonderful people also lived in Cuba in 1959, and in Iran in 1979. They usually end up in prison.

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  • AB7

    Mission One for the West should be to use all of our powers to make sure everyone in the West understands how and why Islam is 100% incompatible with freedom and democracy. Once the average citizen of the West knows this then all of our decisions and policies will follow naturally from that with regard to the problem of Islam and how to deal with it and all of the problems it causes. Of course, Mission Two is to end all further spread of Islam in the West so that we don't end up like every single other place in the world where Islam has spread and destroyed the existing societies eliminating their hope altogether of ever having freedom or happiness. Those hoping for any good to come out of the Egyptian or other Islamic uprisings against their latest dictators are truly naive and they represent a grave threat to the survival of the West in that in falling to understand Islam they not only espouse failed policies for the Middle East but they are welcoming the end of their own civilization with open arms in trying to assimilate the inassimilable Islam into our once healthy civilization.

  • Guest

    "They usually end up in prison."

    Or running restaurants in the West. I share your pessimism.

    • GKC

      Great article and succinct comment.

  • USMCSniper

    "they are welcoming the end of their own civilization with open arms " Sounds like evangelical Christians, or Hollywood making end of mankind movies from "On the Beach" to "Skyline" the latest.

  • sflbib

    The eight reasons can all be summed up into one that CBS commentator Hughes Rudd once said: "People are no damned good."

  • Reason_For_Life

    "Historically, anti-Semitism has been a perfect predictor of a society that will cause others problems and that will eventually self-destruct."

    Like the US at the turn of the 20th century? Like France in the 19th century?

    Anti-Semitism is a symptom, not a cause. It is a symptom of collectivism. Any group that sets itself apart from the surrounding society will be attacked when collectivism rears its ugly head. Many Jews see Judaism as the mover of the world and anti-Semitism as proof of Judaism's importance. Jews are merely targets of opportunity. There are few Jews in Egypt so Coptic Christians make a fine substitute.

    Aside from reason 8 this article points out the dangers that Egyptian society faces. Like Prager himself, I hope he's wrong but recent history suggests otherwise.

    The "rise" of Islamic collectivism isn't so much a rise as it is a lowering of rationality. This makes Islam seem more powerful than it is. As science and reason decline various irrational philosophies will jump in to fill the void. At present, Islam is the single most irrational philosophy on earth so it becomes the odds on favorite in this race to bring back the Dark Ages.

    • AB7

      You are mistaken, gravely. Jew hatred is a core central aspect of Islam. Muhammad himself lashed out at the Jews after they rejected his obvious delusional rantings and that is when he turned violent killing entire tribes of Jews in Arabia, taking the women for sex or slavery along with the children. Muhammad accomplished in Arabia what Hitler was not able to accomplish in Germany. In fact, there is more anti-Jewish hate speech in the Koran and Hadith than in Mein Kampf. So no, for Muslims, Jew hatred is WAY more than just some sort of collectivist lashing out at "the other" or some minority group, it is central to the life of Muhammad, central to Islam, central to the entire world view of Islam. Ignoring this reality has led to tragic results for the West.