The Pessimists Win in the Middle East

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In the Arab Middle East, a betting man should always bet on a pessimistic outcome to life changing events, because generally speaking, he will be proven right. The so called Arab Spring that began early this year created a sense of euphoria around the world, as well as in America and Israel and especially in the liberal press. Even in Egypt, the largest Arab state, Christian Copts and Muslims shared optimism as to the outcome of the people’s uprising.  Although in the minority, the pessimists who warned of an Islamist takeover were dismissed and in fact castigated for their views.

The pessimistic minority however was proven right.  In Libya, where longtime dictator Gaddafi was ousted and killed by the revolutionary forces aided by the Obama administration and NATO, the interim leader of Libya, Mustafa Abdel Jalil, head of the Transitional National Council declared in his ‘liberation’ address that Sharia law would govern the new Libya. Sharia – the source of the doctrine of jihad that triggered the attack on America on 9/11. Mustafa Abdel Jalil was careful not to utter the word ‘jihad,’ which is obligatory to anyone following the application of Sharia in the public domain. Rather Jalil’s pronouncement took on the more salacious aspect of Sharia: “We as a Muslim nation have taken Islamic Sharia as the source of legislation; therefore any law that contradicts the principles of Islam is legally nullified. This includes changing marriage laws to allow men to more easily take on a second wife.”  In other words, bigamy is now lawful in Libya.

In Tunisia, the birthplace of the Arab Spring revolutions, the “moderate” Islamic party won 41.47% of the vote in free elections where liberals and Islamists faced off this past weekend. Thousands of Islamist supporters swooped down on central Tunis on Saturday to confront liberal demonstrators rallying against extremism as MPs were drafting a new constitution for Tunisia. The protest was partly a response to ongoing demonstrations at a university outside the capital, where Islamists disrupted courses, demanding a stop to mixed-sex classes and the wearing of full-face veils or niqabs for female students.  Shaikh Rashed al-Ghanushi, the leader of the winning Islamist Party Al-Nahdha (“The Revival”), called for jihad against Israel, but in the West he is considered a “moderate Muslim.”

Similarly in Morocco, the Islamic Justice and Development party (PJD), called moderate by the British Guardian newspaper, won the majority of the votes in the parliamentary elections, and for the first time an Islamist, Abdelillah Benkirane, will likely serve as Morocco’s next Prime Minister.

President Obama and his administration are particularly fond of the Muslim Brotherhood (MB) in Egypt.  In February this year, the White House demanded that the next government in Egypt “has to include a whole host of non-secular actors (the Muslim Brotherhood fit this bill) that give Egypt a chance to be a stable and reliable partner.”

Fortunately for the MB in Egypt, which adopted the benign name of Freedom and Justice Party and became the largest party in the parliament with 36.6% of the vote, another Islamist party that is far more extreme took second place in the recent elections. The salafist Al-Nour party having garnered 24.4% of the vote in the recent parliamentary elections in Egypt obscures (for many in the press) the true nature of the Muslim Brotherhood.  At this point in Egypt’s unfolding history the Islamist parties now control a large majority of the parliament. The difference between the two parties is significant.  The salafist Al-Nour seeks to bring 21st century Islam back to the Islam of the 7th century, while the Muslim Brotherhood/Freedom and Justice Party alleges that it wants to fashion 7th century Islam into a 21st century reality. Both parties however intend to see Egypt governed by Sharia Islamic law.

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  • HermitLion

    Good article. However, the issue really isn't about pessimism or optimism, as much as it's about understanding the mentality of the region's population.
    Once one understands the motives behind the actions of the people, it is not difficult to predict their outcome as well.

    To blindly wish that reality wouldn't be what it is, does not change that outcome.

  • JasonPappas

    This puts a lie to the old canard about how it’s only a few extremists and most Muslims are moderate. Can we talk about "real" Islam now?

  • john gerard


    Forget "real" islam, there is only "Islam". There is no such thing as extremism. Those labelled as such are simply practicing islam as it was intended in the 7th century. They are doing nothing extreme, or out of the ordinary. Carrying out the instructions to subjugate or kill non-muslims as stipulated in islamic doctrine itself is simply business-as-usual. In fact, they think they are doing a good thing by trying to kill us – if we don't accept the light of islam into our lives, then life won't be worth living for us, and we're better off dead. this is how it works. So-called moderates are on the fringes of islam, because they do not practice islam as it was intended. the power, prestige and doctrinal back-up is all given to the 'extremists' in islamic doctrine itself – the koran and the sunna of mohammed. The 'moderates' are no where and have no influence whatsoever. there is only islam, and that is it. Islam exists solely to annihilate non-islamic cutlure and civilization wherever it finds it, and replace it with islam. that is its only purpose.

  • Western Civilisation

    Islam is a cult and not a religion. It has wiped out civilisation wherever it has set roots. Cults are irrational, unproductive, ossified, and violent organisations. Only Libtards could invent a contra-reality and transpose their own multi-cult, one-world theorem of relativity onto a backwards, intolerant, pagan culture. The differences between Christian theology and Islam are as wide were the variances between Nazi Paganism and British culture in 1939. I don't see many Moslems wanting any variety of 'reform'. Maybe a very small minority have the balls to suggest that the Koran needs a thorough rewriting.
    Indeed as one commentator stated, nothing is moderate in the Meccan moon cult.

    • Blaze Pascal

      I read that a cult is where you are not free to leave, whereas a religion is accepted or declined freely. That's a big difference.

      • wasicu36

        That is true; look at the fate awaiting those who attempt to leave islam.

  • InRussetShadows

    Wait a minute! Where are all the Wrong Paul supporters? This involves Israel and the middle east! I guess they just can't be bothered when reality trumps their cult leader's predictions.

  • WilliamJamesWard

    It is a no brainer, nothing good can ever come out of Islam no matter what the
    Nation it opresses, pessimism is the product and the only approach to what
    is a foregone conclusion, Sharia slavery or death………………….William

  • Ben

    Mr. Puder! the idea of the eternal Islam that is equal to itself in contrast to Christianity and(may be) Judaism charm you so that the existance of political Islam-Islamism looks a bit of heresy. But I`m sure that Arab`s existantional energy just use the fundamental Islam and can very the political ideas to it`s benefit.Please,don`t regard this as the Muslims` support .

  • wismory

    all must be willing to sit down together, talk to conscience instead of with a few narrow interests.

  • Al Dente

    Even now, we are getting that old journalistic canard about the conflict in Syria, termed by some a "fight for democracy." And we are supposed to keep swallowing this yellow sheet slop? It's the MUSLIM BROTHERHOOD and Sunni death-force lapping up nitric acid onto the beachfront of Shiite suit-wearing "normalcy," such as it is. Same as Egypt, Libya et al, but the pitch is the same, and shame on us for lapping it up again…"Arab Spring." They sure have a way with spin…for those too stupid to see the truth.