The Pessimists Win in the Middle East

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Iran’s Major General Qassem Suleimani, Chief of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) Quds Force, delivered a speech on May 22, 2011 at the Haqqani Theological Seminary in Qum during which he stated that the revolutions in the Middle East and North Africa “…provide our revolution with the greatest opportunities. Iran’s victory or defeat no longer takes place in Mehran and Khorramshahr.  Our boundaries have expanded and we must witness victory in Egypt, Iraq, Lebanon, and Syria.  This is the fruit of the Islamic revolution.”  Suleimani sent a clear message to the Obama administration that in Egypt, Tunisia, Libya and Morocco, and for that matter anywhere else in the Arab world where a revolution might occur, a new Islamist Iran-like state will emerge.

The Arab world is marching towards an “Arab Winter,” as the authoritarian regimes that fell by the wayside have given way to the emergence of even darker regimes, steeped in Islamist intolerance and hatred of the West and Israel. The Islamist victories in Tunisia, Libya, Morocco and Egypt were not supposed to happen according to the Western governments, including the Obama administration. In Washington, the Director of National Intelligence James Clapper testified before the House Intelligence Committee, and declared that Egypt’s branch of the Muslim Brotherhood movement is “largely secular…” It prompted Richard Engel, NBC’s News Chief Foreign correspondent to call Clapper’s statement “a wild misreading of the organization.”
Last month a pre-election Muslim Brotherhood rally in Cairo’s most prominent mosque turned into a venomous anti-Israel protest with attendants vowing to “one day kill all Jews.” This is the same MB that we are told by members of the western media and governments is “moderate” and “marginal.” The same MB that liberal western pundits claimed is only 20% of the vote.

Interviewed by Fox News, Frank Gaffney, head of the Washington-based Center for Security Policy, articulated the contrast in how Obama dealt with the aftermath of the stolen 2009 elections in Iran when millions of Iranian demonstrated against the theocratic regime, and last February demonstrations in Egypt.  The Obama administration’s cautious response to the uprising in Iran – a vicious US enemy – was explained as being part of President Obama’s attempt to “engage” Iran.  In Egypt however, Obama called for the swift departure of former President Hosni Mubarak – a US ally.  According to Gaffney, “The President of the United States in both cases did the bidding of the Islamists, who wanted to preserve the regime in Iran and who wanted to remove the regime in Egypt. Gaffney told Fox News, “I think that quite apart from what his intentions were, in so doing, he made all the more predictable the very unhappy outcome that I think is playing out before our eyes.”

In Egypt, the largest Arab Muslim country, secular liberals and especially Christian Copts are no longer harboring illusions about the revolution called the “Arab Spring.” For them it is already a dreadful “Arab Winter.” And, for all the optimists in the West, next time they’ll be better off betting on the worst case scenario when it comes to revolutions in the Arab Muslim world.

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  • HermitLion

    Good article. However, the issue really isn't about pessimism or optimism, as much as it's about understanding the mentality of the region's population.
    Once one understands the motives behind the actions of the people, it is not difficult to predict their outcome as well.

    To blindly wish that reality wouldn't be what it is, does not change that outcome.

  • JasonPappas

    This puts a lie to the old canard about how it’s only a few extremists and most Muslims are moderate. Can we talk about "real" Islam now?

  • john gerard


    Forget "real" islam, there is only "Islam". There is no such thing as extremism. Those labelled as such are simply practicing islam as it was intended in the 7th century. They are doing nothing extreme, or out of the ordinary. Carrying out the instructions to subjugate or kill non-muslims as stipulated in islamic doctrine itself is simply business-as-usual. In fact, they think they are doing a good thing by trying to kill us – if we don't accept the light of islam into our lives, then life won't be worth living for us, and we're better off dead. this is how it works. So-called moderates are on the fringes of islam, because they do not practice islam as it was intended. the power, prestige and doctrinal back-up is all given to the 'extremists' in islamic doctrine itself – the koran and the sunna of mohammed. The 'moderates' are no where and have no influence whatsoever. there is only islam, and that is it. Islam exists solely to annihilate non-islamic cutlure and civilization wherever it finds it, and replace it with islam. that is its only purpose.

  • Western Civilisation

    Islam is a cult and not a religion. It has wiped out civilisation wherever it has set roots. Cults are irrational, unproductive, ossified, and violent organisations. Only Libtards could invent a contra-reality and transpose their own multi-cult, one-world theorem of relativity onto a backwards, intolerant, pagan culture. The differences between Christian theology and Islam are as wide were the variances between Nazi Paganism and British culture in 1939. I don't see many Moslems wanting any variety of 'reform'. Maybe a very small minority have the balls to suggest that the Koran needs a thorough rewriting.
    Indeed as one commentator stated, nothing is moderate in the Meccan moon cult.

    • Blaze Pascal

      I read that a cult is where you are not free to leave, whereas a religion is accepted or declined freely. That's a big difference.

      • wasicu36

        That is true; look at the fate awaiting those who attempt to leave islam.

  • InRussetShadows

    Wait a minute! Where are all the Wrong Paul supporters? This involves Israel and the middle east! I guess they just can't be bothered when reality trumps their cult leader's predictions.

  • WilliamJamesWard

    It is a no brainer, nothing good can ever come out of Islam no matter what the
    Nation it opresses, pessimism is the product and the only approach to what
    is a foregone conclusion, Sharia slavery or death………………….William

  • Ben

    Mr. Puder! the idea of the eternal Islam that is equal to itself in contrast to Christianity and(may be) Judaism charm you so that the existance of political Islam-Islamism looks a bit of heresy. But I`m sure that Arab`s existantional energy just use the fundamental Islam and can very the political ideas to it`s benefit.Please,don`t regard this as the Muslims` support .

  • wismory

    all must be willing to sit down together, talk to conscience instead of with a few narrow interests.

  • Al Dente

    Even now, we are getting that old journalistic canard about the conflict in Syria, termed by some a "fight for democracy." And we are supposed to keep swallowing this yellow sheet slop? It's the MUSLIM BROTHERHOOD and Sunni death-force lapping up nitric acid onto the beachfront of Shiite suit-wearing "normalcy," such as it is. Same as Egypt, Libya et al, but the pitch is the same, and shame on us for lapping it up again…"Arab Spring." They sure have a way with spin…for those too stupid to see the truth.