Assad Avoids Unrest

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Syrian President Bashar Assad is one of the few Middle Eastern leaders who have been spared the wrath of his people following the overthrow of Tunisian President Ben Ali. This isn’t because he is well-liked. It is because his Baathist regime has worked hard to stamp out any potential beginning of an uprising and the opposition cannot organize, but that is something the West can and must change.

The secular democratic opposition picked Saturday, February 5 as their “Day of Rage,” though some protests were planned for the previous day. It was obvious that Assad knew he had trouble headed his way. He talked about an agenda of “reform” and increased heating oil subsidies by 72 percent and a $250 million aid package for poor families. There was an unconfirmed report of a self-immolation by a female student at Aleppo University and several tribes endorsed a democratic uprising. Facebook groups calling for regime change sprung up, including one called “The Syrian Revolution” that had 13,000 supporters. Demonstrations at the Yarmouk refugee camp and in Old Damascus were dispersed and a statue of Hafez al-Assad at Latakia was reportedly beheaded.

The Baathists worked diligently to prevent any demonstration from forming, unlike in Tunisia and Egypt where they were initially permitted. Facebook and YouTube had been blocked until this week, making it further difficult to organize. Antennas were seen being confiscated from roofs in Aleppo and the security services immediately dispersed any gathering. The army was deployed to the Kurdish areas of Aleppo and 2,000 members of Hezbollah were imported from Lebanon, substantiating an earlier report from the Reform Party of Syria, which added that the Iranian Revolutionary Guards had joined the army’s Battalion 108 in Damascus, Aleppo and Qamoshli.

One protest organizer said that security personnel showed up at every gathering, filmed those present and asked for identification from each person. Internet cafes were ordered to document who was using their computers in the week up to the “Day of Rage.” An activist named Suhair Atassi took part in a candlelight vigil supporting the protestors in Egypt and was attacked. When she went to file a report at the local police station, she was accused of being an Israeli agent.

As the “Day of Rage” neared, the Internet was slowed down or altogether inaccessible in some areas. Thousands of mobile phones were reportedly unable to get service. A group of protestors that met at a café before marching toward the parliament were locked inside the building for hours. The Reform Party of Syria reported that protestors in Hasakeh were attacked, some with pipes, and arrested. About 20 were reportedly arrested in Qamoshli and others were detained in Homs. Ultimately, the opposition was unable to assemble and the “Day of Rage” fell flat.

“The security forces have effectively suppressed civil society and scared people into submission,” said Mazen Darwish, whose Syrian Center for Media and Freedom of Expression was shut down by the regime in 2009.

There are multiple reasons for the failure of the “Day of Rage” beyond the inability to access social networking websites and the immense security measures. The opposition suffers from a lack of organization and others feared sectarian conflict or violence by regime thugs like seen in Egypt. There has also been little international support for the opposition or media coverage of their struggles over the years.

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  • dmaak112

    Ryan Mauro’s “news” article about Syria is an example of how badly the American media understands the Middle East. Filled with falsehoods–(1) Iranian Revolutionary Guards to quell the people, (2) 2,000 Hezbollah fighters to quell the people, (3) self-immolation–litter the page. Contrary to Mauro’s report, Bashar Assad is popular. Authoritarianism in Syria is no different than in Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and Egypt. The right wing (which this publication represents) is worried that if Egyptians are given real freedom that the Muslim Brotherhood will gain power in the government. As for frightening the west, the United States has done everything in its power short of invasion to overthrow the Assad regime. With the renewal of the so-called Patriot Act, we give our intrusion the facade of freedom when the government watches every thing on the internet, on the telephone, and any other form of communication. If you want to know why America is so hated, Mauro’s hatchet job is one good example. It is time to end the empire and return America to what it was suppose to be–a free republic.

    • coyote3

      Some of the most offensive parts of the Patriot Act were not renwed.

  • Syrian

    There isn't a single word of truth in this article.

  • Wesley69

    It goes to show that revolutionary movements can be averted if a dictatorship, such as Syria's, acts quickly and is determined to suppress it, just the way the Mullahs did in Iran. Now, Assad has made some concessions, but nothing that smacks of democratic reform. The big thing as the revolutions in Tunisia and Egypt have shown, the communication links must be controlled. Isolate one's people from the events going on in the world around them. A dictatorship, to survive must do this, as well as, to be savage in their punishment of dissent.

    • coyote3

      There is theory along these lines that it is possible to suppress people fully, completely and unconditionally. However, it requires what you state and more. It requires isolation, and complete savage punishment for generations, to the point where the people do not know anything better. The important thing, and this is the key, the people must not be allowed to have any expectations that things will get better. The worst thing that can happen is to make concessions, because then people develop ever increasing expectations. Now, as a practical matter this is hard to do, but it can be done. Sounds like Assad, at least for now, knows how to run a railroad. We have the same problem in this country, although not at the same intensity.