Egypt’s Defining Period Begins

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The spokesman said that the Muslim Brotherhood’s form of governance will be different than that of Turkey. “In Turkey, women may go to university without a headscarf. They have adultery and homosexuality. We will not allow that in Egypt,” he said. A spokesman for Hamas admitted that the group wants the Brotherhood to win, saying, “We have the same ethics as the Muslim Brothers, the principles are the same.”

The Muslim Brotherhood has been building a political operation for decades through mosques and social services and its advantages showed. It’s been reported that each Brotherhood operative was asked to deliver 100 votes. The Brotherhood registered a huge amount of voters and by some accounts, had 30,000 volunteers working in Alexandria alone. Six operatives were at each polling station.

In Tunisia, the Islamist Ennahda Party exceeded expectations and took 41% of the vote. Middle East expert Barry Rubin subsequently adjusted his projection for Egypt. He now believes the Islamists will take around half of the seats in parliament. Samuel Tadros is even more pessimistic and talks of the Islamists possibly winning a two-thirds majority. “It is quite apparent to anyone that has been paying attention that their victory will be nothing short of a tsunami,” he wrote.

Tadros predicts that the results of the election will dispel numerous comforting myths in the West. His opinion is that the weaknesses of the secularists will be exposed. The main competing forces, he says, will be the Brotherhood and the Salafists and not the secularists and the Islamists. The Sufis and Brotherhood splinters will not perform well and the secular Wafd Party will not come in second place, as some polls showed. Tadros believes that the largest non-Islamist force will be the Egyptian Bloc of three parties, led by the Free Egyptian Party, which almost all Christians will vote for.

One of the Islamists’ main advantages is that the secularists are extremely divided. In Tunisia, almost all of the 59% that did not vote for Ennahda chose liberal parties. Over the weekend in Morocco, the Islamist PJD had the highest vote total and won 107 of the 395 seats, but most of the rest went to non-Islamists. If the Islamists dominate the first round of voting, it might encourage these non-Islamist forces to rally behind one candidate in the run-off and to coordinate their campaigns in future votes.

It is also possible that the Muslim Brotherhood will face a backlash for cutting a deal with the military council and pulling out of protests against it. Secular activist Mohamed Ghoneim said that the protesters were “very, very disappointed” in the Brotherhood. Wael Nawara of the Democratic Front Party didn’t mince words and said, “The Muslim Brothers really screwed this revolution. They’ve done everything possible to monopolize and hijack the revolution.”

The future of Egypt, and perhaps the region, will be decided over the next few months. This initial vote will tell us where the Middle East is headed, and so far, it doesn’t look good.

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  • Larry

    Those secular activists won't be active in Egypt for long after the MB win this election. Like the secular activists in Iran 30 years ago they will either be dead or in exile.

    Anybody who thought differently was tooting on waayyy too much wacky baccy.

  • StephenD

    We can all relax knowing Hillary is already smoothing out the way for us to give our money to the M.B. Last week she said she "looks forward to working with the Muslim Brotherhood." To me, this translates into acquiescence of the entire election proceedings and sanctioning them as legitimate (even if they were not) and opening us up for "dialogue" with them. How do we speak to the M.B. with our ultimate hope of being eaten last? Why we give them our Tax Dollars is how! We turn a blind eye to the eventual legal suppression of women. We ignore the blatant hostility toward the Copts and Jews. We continue to give in to them even though their stated goal is to destroy the West from within until Islam is all that is left on the earth. We go merrily along with it because, well they smile at us and sometimes they say things like…they don’t hate us!

  • L8gr8usa

    Muslim Brotherhood use similar tactics as Democrats, acorn, SEIU, Teachers union, UAW, etc., and secure in the knowledge that the ACLU, MSM, judges, Secretaries of State have their back if the hateful “do gooders” try to uphold the rule of law.

    Like their using the same playbook… who is mentoring who???

  • alan g

    Egypt is in deep doo doo now. Thanks Barry.

    • ziontruth

      Not to defend Barry, but Egypt has been in deep doo doo ever since Mo's hordes conquered it in the 7th century.

      • Bill

        You got that right!!!

  • WilliamJamesWard

    No matter who you are, what you believe, what you want, where you go, rich or
    poor, Sharia and Islam is out to get you and make you submit or it will kill you.
    How close to your comfort zone is the truth about this demonic cult, no one is
    safe, not even it's followers, they are in the grip of it's slavery and oppression
    and barbarism, What we call criminal behavior, the most detestable conduct
    they see as their good and normal success in life. Make no mistake Islam is
    the enemy of mankind and any alignment with it will produce destruction.

  • BS77

    I pity the Copts now that the thugs are going to take over….at least with Mubarak, things were relatively peaceful.

  • Deborah Weiss

    The problem is that the MB is legal in this country. Maybe it shouldn't be. We should make the MB a state-designated terrorist organization. That would solve so many problems, but I'm not optimistic about this happenning any time soon (if at all). The U.S. is on a suicide mission.