Egypt’s False Prophet

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The U.S. is currently in a difficult position as the stability of the Mubarak regime is in its geopolitical interests. However, preserving the West’s strategic position requires siding against democratic change and it would reinforce the Brotherhood’s narrative that the U.S. supports dictatorships as part of an imperialistic agenda.

The Muslim Brotherhood leader in Jordan is making that argument right now, stating that “We tell the Americans, enough is enough” and that “Obama must understand that the people have woken up and are ready to unseat the tyrant leaders who remained in power because of U.S. backing.” Likewise, ElBaradei blames the U.S. for Mubarak’s “life support” and says that the U.S. is “losing credibility every day.” Secretary of State Clinton’s earlier description of Mubarak’s regime as “stable” and Vice President Biden’s remark that Mubarak is not a dictator and should not resign assists the Egyptian opposition in making these arguments.

Tawfik Hamid, a former member of Egyptian Islamic Jihad, says that the U.S. must now force Mubarak to resign because it is the “ONLY thing that can calm the political situation sufficiently [emphasis original]” and have him replaced by a secular military leader. Hamid argues that a new presidential advisory office that includes the opposition must be created that the U.S. can work with.

The Washington Post’s Jackson Diehl argues that the U.S. should support the replacement of Mubarak with a transitional government led by ElBaradei. He feels that if elections are held off for six months to a year while a new constitution is written, this would undermine the Brotherhood.

“Given time to establish themselves, secular forces backed by Egypt’s growing middle class are likely to rise to the top in those elections—not the Islamists that Mubarak portrays as the only alternative,” Diehl writes.

However, a poll last year shows strong support for an Islamist agenda. Over 80 percent support stoning adulterers; over three-fourths support whippings and the cutting off the hands of those that commit robbery; 84 percent favor the death penalty for apostates and 59 percent would vote for “Islamists” over “modernizers,” who would get only 27 percent of the vote. One-fifth express a favorable view of Al-Qaeda, 30 percent view Hezbollah favorably, and 49 percent view Hamas favorably.

The other problem with Diehl’s analysis is that the opposition coalition has not stated how long of a period there would be before elections. The Brotherhood would push for a minimal delay so its opponents could not organize effectively. ElBaradei has tried to ease concerns about his alliance with the Brotherhood by estimating they would only have the support of “maybe 20 percent of the Egyptian people.” This is unlikely given the results of the aforementioned poll, but even if it were true, the Brotherhood would still be in a position to have a significant say over the direction of the government.

The decision by the Brotherhood to rally behind ElBaradei is a trick to win power without bringing scrutiny that could derail its agenda. El-Baradei may not share the Brotherhood’s ideology, but his advent will empower the group and he will make Egypt an opponent of the U.S. and Israel and a friend to their enemies.

With Hezbollah taking over Lebanon and Mubarak likely on his way out in Egypt, the balance of power has shifted in favor of Iran and its Islamist allies. The pro-American Arab regimes may feel they have to cave to Iran after having lost their powerful Egyptian ally. The fall of the Mubarak regime may pave the way for a Middle East whose future is dictated from Tehran.

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  • Rick

    Just imagine how different the world would be if President Bush had focused US military forces on eliminating Al Qaeda instead of invading Iraq.

    The Neo Cons must be so proud of themselves, by insisting on the Iraq invasion they destroyed the US government's moral, millitary and financial security. And remember drowning the government in a bathtubs is their objective.

  • Rick

    Just imagine how different the world would be if President Bush had focused US military forces on eliminating Al Qaeda instead of invading Iraq.

    The Neo Cons must be so proud of themselves, by insisting on the Iraq invasion they destroyed the US government's moral, millitary and financial security. And remember drowning the government in a bathtubs is their objective.

  • ViewPoint

    The Egyptian protestors did not begin with their typical Islamic demands of, "Death to America"… and… "Death to Israel"… and…"Allah is Great"… instead, they began with demands for freedom, livable wages, and bread. They were resisting the death of the middle class, but their struggle appears to be on the verge of being hijacked by opportunistic radicals backed by the obam administration. Obam has not yet failed to promote the Muslim agenda, even within the U.S…. so, naturally, he is eager to encourage the downfall of Mubarak and the united elevation of former U.N. head Mohammed ElBaradei (who shielded Iran's nuclear weapons program from the Security Council by repeatedly ignoring evidence indicating that Iran's nuclear program was a military program rather than a civilian energy program) and the Muslim Brotherhood. It is tragically ironic that although the protestors were willing to risk their own lives for freedom, they will, most likely, end up with zero freedom under Sharia law.

    • Spirit_Of_1683

      What they call freedom and what we call freedom are two different things. The same words to us have a different meaning to Muslims. For us 'freedom' means doing what we like as long as it is lawful. For them, it is the 'freedom' to live under repressive Sharia, and to plot the downfall of Western civilization.

    • cjk

      I heard them screaming 'allah u sh*tbar' from day 1.

      There, fixed it.

  • Shaun

    Don’t get what you’re arguing Rick: al Qaeda is an offshoot of the Brotherhood. If al Qaeda had been crushed in Afghanistan that still would have left the Brotherhood in Egypt untouched.

  • Andres de Alamaya

    The future looks darker and darker.

  • Eagle in NYC

    ElBaradei is the stalking horse for the Muslim Brotherhood. As soon as power has been established his usefulness to them will be over and he'll be pushed aside in favor of the shariah-jihad-caliphate industrial complex. All, while Urkel Mugabe dithers. Not only was HE not ready for this 3am phone call, but neither was his Secretary of State, Hillary.

    • Steve Chavez

      Come on Eagle. We have the Community Organizer-in-Chief, Joe "Gaffy Duck Quack Quack What a Quack" Biden, and to round off the Three Stooges, Hillary "The Nag Hag" Clinton who had no honor, integrity, or bravery by not leaving her cheating husband when most women leave with nothing. Tipper and Elizabeth have honor!

      I can't believe these Stooges spend their time telling the Egyptian government to not "over-react/restraint" when there is looting, robbing, burning buildings, and worse, stealing and trashing ancient Egyptian artifacts, their history! They are blaming the police?

      I wonder what would happen if the Tea Party did the same things as the Egyptian rioters and reasons to be against a dictatorial leadership. I bet the National Guard would be called to mow them down! "Restraint?"

  • SemperCivis

    ElBaradei has proven himself to be a sham, like other followers of the false prophet. Islam exists to enslave its followers and to kill the infidel. Any surprise here? I hope Jews come together and remember their history so they can unite against a common foe. This historic interview on Israel National Radio sheds light on Pre-Abrahamic history and exposes Islam for the reconstituted Baal worship that it is — under the guise of a pseudo-monotheistic "religion"

    and watch Americans take back their country and throw the criminals in jail in this LOL animated satire with the "head-up-the-butt" people — which applies to any Eqyptian who supports the MB too.

  • Irandissident

    The Biggest Trick that Khomeini ever Pulled:

    About two weeks ago the former Revolutionary Guard commander in Iran (Mohsen Rezaii) said that “the biggest trick pulled by the Imam Khomeini to hoodwink the Americans back in 1979, was the appointment of Mehdi Bazargan” (a Western dressed engineer with relations with the Americans) as the prime Minister following his role as the “civilized” point man in the weeks leading to the downfall of the Shah regime.
    The slogan of “Death to America” was not raised during the revolution but a year later following the take over the US Embassy in Tehran.
    Bazargan even looked like Al Baradeii in Egypt ( google him for his photos) !!! ….. I guess 32 years from now, a Muslim Brotherhood commander will proclaim, on a conquered hill top in Jerusalem “The biggest trick pulled by the Brotherhood to hoodwink the Americans was the appointment of Al Baradeii”

    • cjk

      The true sad reality is that they don't have to pull any tricks, their allies in our MSM and demonrat party will gladly do it for them

  • Fred Dawes

    THE MUSLIM Brotherhood will use the young and toss the good people into some hell of a prison.
    Egypt will become a new al qaeda state and jordan and syrian and Americans will be forced to fight or die!

  • Greg

    The players are being allowed to take their places because Gods word is true and every man will bow before Him. Blood will flow to the horses bridle during the failed attempt to destroy Israel by all those who surround Her. This isn't new news by any stretch. Who can stand before God and say I didn't know after watching all that is taking place right in front of our eyes? Unfortunately America will no doubt wind up being a useful idiot who turns on Israel leading up to Armageddon. Look how Obama treats our closest allies today… as he ushers in on a grand scale the old spirit of hatred, making no apologies for his actions. There's a reason he supports the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt, he was raised with similar beliefs. I wonder what Jeremiah Wright thinks of Israel? No one made Obama go to that church for 20 years, it was Obama's choice and he continues to make those same choices his parents made when he was growing up. As he has stated in the past, America is not his home.

  • sodizzy

    This is seriously scary. I just continue to pray for God to prevail and save us all.