Where Have All the Mexicans Gone?

Daniel J. Flynn is the author of numerous books, including "Blue Collar Intellectuals: When the Enlightened and the Everyman Elevated America," now available from ISI Books. Read Daniel's blog at www.flynnfiles.com.


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President Barack Obama has succeeded in stopping the flood of undocumented aliens from south of the border. Bringing illegal immigration to a halt has had the unfortunate side effect of bringing the American economy to a halt. Or did the reverse happen?

It turns out that the way to make America unattractive to Mexicans is to make America more like Mexico, which has been marked by bailouts, crony capitalism, and economic stagnation for several decades. “The largest wave of immigration in history from a single country to the United States has come to a standstill,” begins a study by the Pew Hispanic Center. “After four decades that brought 12 million current immigrants—most of whom came illegally—the net migration flow from Mexico to the United States has stopped and may have reversed.”

“Net Migration from Mexico Falls to Zero—and Perhaps Less” notes that the Mexican-born U.S. population rose from below one million in 1970 to reach about twelve million today. The population shift is historic in several ways. The sheer numbers of the northward Mexican migration exceeds past mass migrations to the United States from Germany, Ireland, and points beyond. “The U.S. today has more immigrants from Mexico alone—12.0 million—than any other country in the world has from all countries of the world,” the report points out. Nearly six in ten immigrants to the United States come from Mexico, and about half of those Mexican immigrants are in the country illegally. Most Mexican immigrants, illegal and legal, live in two states: Texas and California. By way of comparison, about one in twenty-five Mexicans living in the United States settled in the northeast.

The numbers tell as much about Mexico as they do about the United States. One in ten Mexicans resides in the United States. The Pew Hispanic Center explains, “No other nation in the world has as many of its citizens living abroad as does Mexico, and 97% of them live in the U.S.” As the northward march has slowed, Mexico’s murder rate climbed and its birth rate descended. Crime, which might seem a plausible cause of departure, seems almost inversely correlated to the historic population shift. Pew cites the birth rate, which declined from 7.3 babies per Mexican woman in 1960 to 2.4 today, as one of several likely ingredients contributing to the migration moratorium. But the birth rate was in decline when the exodus peaked in the ’90s and ’00s.

So what’s causing Mexicans to stay in Mexico—and to return there from the United States?

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  • davarino

    Heheheh, thanks O. Now thats change you can believe in. Now, once their out we need to keep them out.

  • namvet

    But to get their votes, no need for voter reg cards, “O” will bring them in on food stamps and housing vouchers.
    If we are fortunate enough to vote “O” out is will take years to undo what he and his Silynskites have put into place.

  • tagalog

    On the national news last night, they showed film clips of fruit lying on the ground; they said the fruit is going unpicked because of the loss of cheap illegal immigrant labor.

    So what's stopping the farmers, who find it profitable to grow the fruit, from offering pay high enough to attract non-illegal campesinos?

    Capitalism lays out the economic rules. The farmers are losing their cheap labor; are the rest of us supposed to feel sorry for them? I thought, in this atmosphere, cutthroat capitalism was bad. I guess not when it comes to Buffy Yuppie making fresh-squeezed orange juice for the family.

    Maybe the Obama administration should reconsider the idea they've been kicking around, of making it unlawful for the children of farmers to work on the farm.

  • "gunner"

    vaya con dios mis amigos, and don't come back lots. one of the things i liked about the job i retired from was that it required a pistol permit, they don't hand those out with the food stamps. i enjoyed working with LEGAL hispanics. we worked, shared jokes and had fun in a "high risk" job that paid going rates, not "under the table".

  • Questions

    They'll be back — unless, of course, we put into place strict controls on legal entry. Unfortunately, this is a step that Flynn and his type don't like. Red State populist that he is, he views issues through the prism of "patriotic conservatives vs. unpatriotic liberals." The reality is that Mexicans, even the "conservative" ones, are possessed of a very different racial and national identity. Believe it, I've worked alongside them. They don't think like us. Their loyalties are different.

  • Ghostwriter

    I think that'll suit the legal immigrants just fine. I think THEIR opinion of illegals is the same as mine. They broke the law coming here,laws THEY had to obey,and now their return to Mexico will make the legal immigrant,including the Mexican legal immigrant happy.

  • Brittanicus

    8.
    The lead attorney Paul Clement, for the State of Arizona, pushed two arguments at the hearing. First, this administration failure to enforce immigration laws has caused a calamity in Arizona that made it indispensable to enact SB 1070. Second, SB 1070 is not preempted since it does not conflict with federal law or fabricate its own system of immigration rulings. Instead it emulates federal law and aids the central government to impose it.

    The recent poll about the Arizona's Support Our Law Enforcement and Safe Neighborhoods Act, SB 1070 shows:
    •65% of voters favor the law, while 31% oppose it.

    •84% of Republicans favor Arizona’s law, while 46% of Democrats do. A 51% majority of Democrats opposes the law.

    •Independents favor the law by a 40 percentage-point margin, 67% in favor, 27% in opposition.

    •72% of voters who live in the West and 69% of voters who live in the Midwest approve of the Arizona immigration law, compared to 61% of voters who live in other regions of the country.


    •No administration or its predecessors have secured the border fence. Both political parties have failed miserably to protect this country from the illegal alien occupation. Additionally the American voter must push, track and use the severe pressure of their vote to verbally intimidate every Republican, Democrat and Liberal, informing them that they will unseat them. It is imperative that whatever the outcome of the Arizona court conflict, is to force passage of E-Verify. E-Verify mandated law would authenticate whether somebody can get employment or not? Other persons flagged will have the choice of clearing up their problem with the Social Security administration near them?


    • Voters must demand from GOP speaker John Boehner, to stop blocking the bipartisan E-Verify “THE LEGAL WORKFORCE ACT” from being initiated in Congress by Texas Senator Lamar Smith. Taxpayers are continuously afflicted at the hands of dishonest politicians who have sold us into financial bondage by allowing illegal immigration to persist almost unimpeded in coming here. A second law to support The Legal Workforce Act H.R. 2885 is to amend the Birthright Citizenship Act of 2011 (H.R.140); the country cannot maintain in subsidizing billions of dollars being extracted from the 50 states? Not just the bad politicians should be thrown out of office, but state Governors, Mayors, Judges and all elected officials, and substitute them with Fresh Tea Party leaders who will insure everybody gets their fair share of the American Dream and enforce all laws attributed to the Constitution and the Rule of Law.


    •The consequences of expectant Mothers smuggled across our border fence, who fly in just to take advantage of the U.S. unfunded mandates laws for hospital deliveries that taxpayers are on the hook. Don’t know who to phone in Washington, and then call 202-224-3121? The switchboard will connect you with your Representatives aid, and then you tell him you’re angry? Every prospective contender, including Mitt Romney would be well advised to read the immigration sullen statistics advanced by “The Heritage Foundation”. According to American Federation of Immigration Reform (FAIR) there is a 2.5 Trillion dollars price tag to legitimize the 20 million plus Illegal’s who have already settled here? All patriotic Americans, citizens or legal residents and should join your local TEA PARTY chapter. The Tea Party is the people’s party and it welcomes every citizen and lawful resident who came to America legally. On the American Patrol website, covers the illegal alien issue, but a daily helping of the e-media from the National media, revealing everything that is against “the Rule of law’ and the sovereignty of this nation, constantly apathetic by Obama people.

    The Tea Party will enforce our immigration laws, will represent the people, will introduce a well regulated farm bill so Guest Workers can arrive here and mandatory depart after their contract, with no amnesty and benefits compulsory paid by agricultural industry. There will no importation of poverty anymore, with any more access to welfare programs. Another set of regulations to amend, would be a careful examination of the current visa system allowing around a million legal immigrants annually into the U.S. No more violation can be tolerated from businesses and we should only allow the highest echelons of Engineers, Scientists, and mathematicians and technology persons to immigrate. Incidentally anybody who believes illegal alien numbers are only 12 million, I have a bridge they can buy on the—MOON?

  • Brittanicus

    With the state of Arizona fighting for its very existence from the illegal alien occupation, and the influx of criminals that swept throughout America, then additionally having to defend its immigration enforcement law, known as SB70. That is when Arizona came under fire from the Obama administration's Justice Department and has stood cautiously to strong-armed behavior of a radicalized Attorney General Eric Holder and his Liberal peons. Arizona is looked upon with respect by the majority of states by going it alone and not being humbled by the U.S. Government. But not the mainstream media who has a deep core of Leftist editorial staff who are very persuasive, with their unreported news of the incessant rise of illegal migrant and immigrant drunk driver, splashing citizens blood of the highways. The murders, the rapes, the robberies, child molestations, Identity theft, voter fraud of criminals and where many have been released back into society or have even returned after deportation numerous times.

    Sanctuary states like California, Nevada, New York and cities as San Francisco, Los Angeles, and Denver are very critical of police enforcement in other states. These Liberal strongholds have rushed to use incendiary remarks, against Arizona and its counterparts in the Southeast. It seems logical that their Sanctuary State arguments are in fact inflammatory, because their leniency has caused the overwhelming effect of foreign nationals pouring into their states and their overlooked pandering of these people. Now they are very nervous because with the promise that with SCOTUS approval for Arizona to enforce the majority if not all its statutes, they will finally have to deal with their own illegal alien issue. This administration Homeland Security and ICE have allowed Sanctuary Cities to thrive and have done nothing to admonish these unlawful ordinances.

    But under the growing numbers of Tea Party membership growth in thousands of chapters nationwide, the Democratic obstructionists could be unseated from Congress, along with the Liberals disguised within their ranks. With the very probability of SCOTUS pronouncement being for Arizona, it could send a ripple effect for the majority of the 50 states, to enact similar policies. STATES AS CALIFORNIA WOULD FIND EVEN MORE FOREIGN NATIONALS ARRIVING AND THEIR HUGE WELFARE DEFICITS SKYROCKETING. This being true a mass exodus could be accomplished as large enough numbers of illegal aliens unable to survive, would decide to leave the country. This would save the country an estimated $113 billion a year for public assistance programs, which would be an advantage for our own low income poor and disabled. All the unfunded mandate money would remain in State coffers.

    The comprehensive law, as written, accomplishes four main things:

    1.Requires police officers to check the immigration status of any individual during "any lawful stop, detention, or arrest … in the enforcement of any other law or ordinance" where the officer has reasonable suspicion that the individual is an illegal alien. If it's determined that the individual is an illegal alien, Immigration and Customs Enforcement or Border Patrol must be notified.
    2.
    3.Forbids any state agency, county, city, town, or political subdivision from enacting sanctuary policies for illegal aliens.
    4.
    5.Requires all aliens to carry their registration document at all times.
    6.
    7.Makes it a misdemeanor crime for any individual picking up day laborers to block or impede the flow of traffic and also makes it a misdemeanor crime for an illegal alien to look for work in a public place or block or impede traffic in the pursuit of work.