This is something that I began addressing in Obama’s Post-Family America and the breakup of the family may be a major predictor of Democratic Party affiliation. As The Foundry’s Rachel Sheffield looks at the driving mechanism behind Latino poverty rates and broken families.
Among Latinos, unmarried parent families are roughly three times as likely to be poor as married families. Tragically, over half of Latino children born today are born outside of marriage. The rate has increased from less than 40 percent in the 1990s to more than half—nearly 53 percent—today.
And those numbers also translate into welfare dependency and rigid Democratic Party loyalties.
But it’s not just the conventional welfare mother who is tied to the Democratic Party through the broken family, it’s also the middle class suburban children of divorce who have grown up without any faith in the family, but some faith in the safety mechanisms of the state.
You can for example see the political mechanism of the Democratic base in the marital rates for New York. Manhattan, the most liberal area, has a marriage rate of 36 percent and a living together rate of 6 percent. The only place worse than it is the minority-composed Bronx where the marriage rate is 3 percent and the living together is 7 percent. Comparatively Brooklyn has a marriage rate of 57 percent, and the fairly conservative Staten Island a marriage rate of 60 percent and a living together rate of just 1 percent.
The broken family is what links upscale liberals and their minority clients to their dependency on the state.