Romney has gained 8 points in California, though he’s still at only 39 percent against Obama, but notably he does have a decisive lead among California’s independent voters. And Romney does actively appear to be winning over voters.
The poll data released Wednesday showed Obama 53%, Romney 39%, in California. Obama carried the Golden State by 24 points in 2008, so the poll found Obama is now running 10 points weaker than he ran 4 years ago. Among Independents, Obama led by 14 in September, but now trails by 9 in October, a 23-point right turn among the most coveted voters. One explanation, based on the poll data: The number of Romney supporters who said they were voting “for Mitt Romney” as opposed to “against Barack Obama” is way up, month over month.
The shift among California independent voters is significant because of its positivity. Not only is Romney winning independents 44 to 35, but 58 percent of independents voting for Romney described it as a vote for him, rather than a vote against O.
Within the Bay Area, Obama leads Romney only 48 to 42. It’s also Obama’s weakest area in Cali.