Romney Winning Latinos in Florida 46-44

Lucky for Obama, Florida isn’t a swing state and the Latino vote isn’t a reliable element of the Democratic Party base.

Especially ominous were the numbers for Hispanic voters, a demographic where the Obama campaign is banking on an advantage of at least 15 percentage points. The poll showed 44 percent of likely Hispanic voters favoring Obama and 46 for Romney,

Now traditionally Republicans have won Florida Latinos due to the high percentage of Cubans and other refugees from Socialism living there, but Obama did win them over in 2008.

Obama carried the Latino vote by sizeable margins in all states with large Latino populations. His biggest breakthrough came in Florida, where he won 57% of the Latino vote in a state where Latinos have historically supported Republican presidential candidates (President Bush carried 56% of the Latino vote in Florida in 2004).

So Romney isn’t yet within Bush 04 margins among Florida Latinos, but the immigration of Mexicans and Puerto Ricans into Florida makes that unlikely anyway. And Romney isn’t running off Bush’s patriotism numbers or the resentment toward the Clintons and their goon squad kidnapping of Elian Gonzalez on behalf of Fidel’s regime.

Still he’s got one thing going for him. A sizable percentage of Florida Latinos are rating as unaffiliated and feel alienated by both parties. And Obama seems highly unlikely to hit his old 56 percent.

  • toddcourt1

    I used to be a Democratic Senatorial District Delegate and this trickle up poverty isn't what I signed on for. Hillary would have done a much better job getting the US back on it's feet and back to work. Obama is no Clinton. What Bill Clinton had Barack Obama couldn't even borrow to get. Clinton had true bi-partisanship, Obama couldn't bribe a vote from legislators, even in the Democratic Senate! We don't need another 4 years of this BS. We don't need a do-over president, we need a do-er. Obama couldn't make a profit in a lemonade stand, he'd give away all the product and earnings and have too much overhead. I want a real businessman to turn our suffering economy into a surplus economy. I want someone who has proven success, and can demonstrate it in his own life. I want the same opportunities for my kids that my folks had for me, I want my kid to be able to find work when he graduates in four years. That's not going to happen under Obama. Anyone who says it will is full of it, just look at his record. Are college graduates able to find work? Hell no. Obama's gotta go.

  • Questions

    The Florida "Latino" vote, more accurately, is the Cuban vote. Its slight Republican leanings are entirely the product of strong (and obviously justifiable) anti-Castro sentiment. But the notion that Hispanics as a whole are "natural conservatives," and that Republican candidates should court them while avoiding "harsh rhetoric" on immigration, is a delusion. Every poll of Hispanics, especially Mexicans, reveals the same thing: They are overwhelmingly Democratic on every issue. And they drive the welfare state.

    Perhaps Mitt Romney can focus his energies on courting the nation's largest bloc: whites. Why not? We're natural Republicans. And we vote.