Why Israel Could Strike Iran Before November

Giulio Meotti, a journalist with Il Foglio, is the author of the book, "A New Shoah: The Untold Story of Israel's Victims of Terrorism."


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If the Obama administration still vehemently opposes an Israeli strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities for fear of hampering his chances for reelection, the latest Debka report reveals that Tehran is closer than ever to an atomic bomb. “The months of negotiations with the six world powers were happily used by Iran for great strides toward bringing its nuclear weapon program to fruition,” explains Debka, a publication close to Israeli intelligence agencies.

We knew that Tehran produced low-enriched uranium for four nuclear warheads in the fortified bunker in Fordo. We knew that the centrifuges are enriching uranium to a fissile concentration of 20 percent. But according to Debka, uranium enrichment levels have crept past 20 percent in expanded quantities.

“The six powers are understandably reluctant to admit that in the time bought by negotiations, Iran was able to refine uranium up to 30-percent grade or even a higher and go into advanced preparations for 65 percent grade enrichment. Now the Iranians are well on the way to an 80-90 percent weapons grade.” This is the weaponization of the nuclear cycle.

That’s why Israel could launch a preemptive operation against Iran before the US presidential election in November. Or as the former Israeli Mossad director, Ephraim Halevi, just commented to the New York Times, “if I were an Iranian I would be very worried in the next 12 months.”

“The period before the US elections is the best for an Israeli strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities,” Israel’s leading analyst Efraim Inbar, head of the Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies and one of the informal advisors of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, told me this week. “The diplomatic talks failed, the sanctions are not working, only a military operation can stop Iran’s atomic program. We already stopped Iraq and Syria’s nuclear programs. We will take in consideration only our security and Jewish survival, because a nuclearized Iran would be an immense threat for the Jewish State.”

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  • alphakilosingh

    I don't think Israel is going to attack Iran.
    For Israel to attack and have a reasonable chance of initial gains, it must use surprise as a weapon.
    Since Iran is at war-alert, and Israel cannot surprise her, there is going to be no attack.
    There can be an attack on Israel however-with or without a nuclear bomb. And it will be a surprise for Israel.

    • PaulRevereNow

      Why would an Iranian attack be a surprise to Israel? They are on war-alert too. Also, "War alert" doesn't mean a surprise attack won't work. The Egyptians were on "war alert" in 1967; the Israeli attack on them was a complete surprise.

  • alphakilosingh

    I don't think Israel is going to attack Iran.
    For Israel to attack and have a reasonable chance of initial gains, it must use surprise as a weapon.
    Since Iran is at war-alert, and Israel cannot surprise her, there is going to be no attack.
    There can be an attack on Israel however-with or without a nuclear bomb. And it will be a surprise for Israel.

  • cheese_burger

    The Islamic Filth deserves what it threatens the rest of humanity with… total annihilation… global genocide against ALL Muslims, and ALL their Fellow Travelers.

    • Vermont Yid

      I agree with what you have written. However, it's too big a task to go after them world wide – impossible to organize people all over the world. The best we can hope for is that, here and there, around the world, people wake up, organize themselves into small groups, arm themselves and take them out on a local scale. I'm not so very patiently waiting for Americans to come to their senses and declare open season on muslims, with – of course – no bag limit.

      • Kufar Dawg

        The head of the snake of islamofascism is their oil rich petrocracies, obliterate them and most of your problems w/islamonazism are over, because the rest of them won't have enough money to bribe a monkey to throw fecal matter.

  • Andrew Corsi

    Please change the title of this great article. Let it read, "Why Israel SHOULD strike Iran."
    Iran is no friend of America, and no friend of Israel and no friend of Christians and no friend of Jews.
    Iran is a hater and a threatening, intimidating, loud mouthed, terrorist supporter and importer. It's purpose is to shed as much non-Islamic blood as it can.
    Iran's theme is, HATE AND KILL. They also use the permission to lie as found in the Koran. So, they can say anything and lie to you with the Koran's permission. That permission is called, "Al Taqiyah" and it has another name, "Kitman." They are allowed to look you in the eye and swear while lying. Mr. Obama knows this but uses their "promises" as proof.

    • aziz

      the hater is not Iran but yourself…..read and recognize the islam……

  • Andrew Corsi

    If oil prices go up a lot, Obama loses the election!
    That, and his love for Islam, are exactly the reasons why Obama does not want Israel to attack Iran. If Israel does that, Obama loses the main anti Jewish and anti-Christian nation, besides losing the election.

  • Pagael John

    Israel will not attack Iran in the end, but…there are going to be some major surprises with Turkey, Syria and the Kurds. Israel may be drawn into a major war with the Arabs along side it but please note here that Turkey may realign itself, consider these thoughts as the war in Syria unfolds.

    • Drakken

      The Kurds now see a major opportunity to unite and when they do, Turkey,Iraq,Iran and Syria are going to be in for a major surprise and of course it will be a surprise to the West. This would be in Israels best interest and if I were them I would be encouraging the Kurds to seek independence.

  • Steve Chavez

    I think Israel will wait till after the election. If Obama wins, they will attack within days. If Romney wins, they'll wait till he is sworn in with hopes that they will join the fight.

    BUT ALL THIS TALK OF WAR WILL END WHEN PUTIN GIVES IRAN A FEW NUKES just like China gave North Korea theirs which abruptly ended any plans on the drawing boards.

    LOOK AT PUTIN, and China's, veto's on meaningful sanctions ON IRAN AND NOW SYRIA and then Obama's non-action in both areas while at the same time, letting his radical and extremist friends like Hamas, Hezbollah, and now Muslim Brotherhood, build up their influence, and eventual takeover of the rebel movement which will Obama and Putin will immediately embrace.

    • PaulRevereNow

      Why would Israel wait until AFTER the election? The window of opportunity will be closed by then.

    • Drakken

      Russia will never give the muslims a nuke, they have their own muslim problem in their southern regions, you never hear much about it because the Russians deal with them with extreme prejudice and silence. Russia has interests as we do, but never in a million years would they be that suicidal to give the muslims a nuke. They will sell them conventional arms to to the little muslim hearts content but they aren't stupid.

  • Bob Smith

    If the Israelis strike before the election, Obama will be forced to help the Israelis or face a massive loss of American Jewish support.

    If Obama wins the election and Israel strikes after the election, US forces will be instructed to defend themselves but do little to help the Israelis.

    I expect an Israeli strike sometime from late in September to late in October.

    • Vermont Yid

      If I were a betting man, that's where I'd put my $.

  • Lori Cos.

    Israel will Defend thier own! Really the World had better wake up With Humans having The bomb! Pretty wierd to think Any Man can contain themselves! It is not to wise to let any man have The Bomb! Wake up America and THe World! A mad Man with those kinds of weapons is A destruction To the entire World! Really Iran is getting more crazy each day as The World sits back! Go Israel you better do Something fast regardless of the World for approval! Mad Men are Mad! Israel will attack before to long regardless!

  • watsa46

    Pr. O wants to impose a "fait accompli" to Israel and the Jews of the world. This would allow him, he believes, to impose his views on Israel and the Jews. Many Jews support this position. They are all on the left. They have learn nothing from 2000 years of history. That is why history repeat itself. The Jews of today are not the one who went to the crematories. Their turn may come if they persevere in supporting the left.

  • Pacifist1

    When they first built the bomb… they thought… it would bring world peace, forever, because people would fear the bomb so much they would not want to go to war; but today people are to afraid of living in world without fear i.e., the Stockholm syndrome on steroids.

  • Gene W 1938

    Stop guessing and read the Bible. There will be a war in the near future and I believe Biblical Christian will not be here at that time. The war on earth will be heavenly compared to the eternal destination of those left behind.

  • Ghostwriter

    I would have no problem with Israel striking Iran. They need to defend themselves and they're running out of patience. The Mullahs should have been overthrown a long time ago.

  • hammar

    If Iran had the power to attack they would of…but they don't have it now. So when Israel makes the move it will
    bring them down very fast…and then we will see irun very fast into the pale of waste side forever.

  • Elie M

    Iran and Israel should consider holding talks and doing what is best for man kind and themselves. Let this power struggle and hatred between both nations completely come to an end. The ignorance among nations and governments is what causes this anxiety among their people and others. Both countries should consider weighing the options of peace among themselves and lifting this powerful hatred they have toward each other. It would be much easier if the leaders consider negotiating and starting a new chapter in history between their nations. I ask you not to do it for yourselves but for the people of your countries and the rest of the world. Extend a hand to each other and never let go as we are all created equal. These actions would of not been what your fathers, fathers would of wanted. i ask for your thoughts on the future of your people and the countries involved in this struggle to accept the facts i put forward here tonight. War and death has no morals and shameful to the destruction of life as we know it today. Iran be the better country and extend your hands in peace with Israel for once. Show the world that the middle east can forever live in harmony with Israel and they with you

    • UCSPanther

      Getting rid of the Ayatollahs would be a good start.

  • Obama Fodder

    An important historical lesson from Thomas Jefferson – do not waste precious time and resources trying to "negotiate" with the taqiyya of islamic jihadis.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lhX8_mg5AVw

    Benjamin Netanyahu is our contemporary Thomas Jefferson.

  • joel

    N.T. Wright argues that the Rapture is not mentioned in the Bible. The idea was first brought forward by John N Darby in the 19th Century and caught hold in a civil war america that was looking for a quick escape from the carnage. N t Wright counsels to not waste your time and energy on the rapture(believed by a small percentage of Christians) and concentrate on the Second Coming of Christ to establish a new Heaven and a new Earth.

  • Believer

    Pay no attention to what Joel says. The rapture is mentioned many times in The Bible. Read 1 Thessalonians, 1 Corinthians 15, Daniel 12 . . .

  • Pagael John

    Suggest you study the promises made by G-D to Abraham that have yet to be fulfilled for the nation of Israel. This has to happen before there is a new Heaven and Earth.

  • PAL

    Obama / USA does protest too much. Do not take their stance at face value. Its a trick.

    I would rather Iran strike Saudi Arabia before November. Before September. Now that will steer things up.

  • DanJ

    Israel will attack Iran when they feel they have no choice. I don't believe Israel needs the "surprise" advantage at all. I also believe any nation who sits on their hands and does not jump to Israel's defense will wish they had, and that their standing in the world will be fatally diminished.

  • Donna

    We will be delivered from God's wrath not satan's wrath. The rapture happens at the coming of Christ not before. Read Matthew 24

  • WALDA COHRS

    JESUS CHRIST WAS BORN IN ISRAEL, GOD IN HEAVEN IS THE GOD OF ABRAHAM,IZAK AND JACOB.
    JESUS CHRIST IS THE ONLY BEGOTTEN SON OF OUR FATHER IN HEAVEN. ISRAEL WILL BE PROTECTED BY GOD THE FATHER, ISRAEL IS GODS EYE APPLE. DO NOT TOUCH ISRAEL, BECAUSE THEN YOU TOUCH GOD THE FATHER IN HEAVEN THE ONLY CREATOR OF HEAVEN AND EARTH. NO MATTER WHAT PEOPLE PLAN TO DO AGAINST ISRAEL, NOTHING WILL COME TO PASS!!!
    THE ONLY PLAN THAT WILL COME TO PASS IS THE PLAN GOD THE FATHER HAS FOR ISRAEL.
    NO PEACE WILL RESULT OF ANY HUMAN PLAN BUT THE ONLY PEACE WILL COME BY ACCEPTING JESUS CHRIST AS YOUR LORD AND SAVIOUR, HE IS THE ONLY WAY TO GOD THE FATHER IN HEAVEN. JOHANNES 3 : 16