Is Chatter about Attack on Iran Dangerous for Israel?

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The chatter about a possible Israeli attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities has become loud and dangerous.  At one point the Netanyahu government found the extensive discussion related to an imminent Israeli attack on Iran useful, as it expedited Western action against Iran in the form of tougher sanctions.  However, all this talk may now put Israel in a dangerous position wherein Iran may use it as a pretext to strike first.

A February 2 report in the Washington Post that stated “U.S. Secretary of Defense is concerned Israel will launch an attack before Iran enters so-called ‘immunity zone’ when military strike won’t bust Iran’s nuclear facilities.”  Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta is reported as saying that he believes that Israel will attack Iran in April, May or June.  The Washington Post’s David Ignatius wrote that Panetta thinks that Israel will attack because after the ‘immunity zone’ expires the nuclear facilities will be heavily fortified and a military strike will no longer succeed.

On Sunday, February 5, 2012 President Obama was interviewed on NBC-TV during the Super Bowl pre-game show. In the interview, Obama contradicted his Defense Secretary, saying he “does not think Israel has decided whether to attack Iran over the disputed nuclear program.” The president added, “I don’t think Israel has made a decision on what they need to do, we are going to make sure that we work in lockstep, as we proceed to try to solve this – hopefully, diplomatically.”

In an Earlier NBC program top figures in the U.S. and Israeli defense establishments were interviewed and confirmed that Israel has long-range Jericho missiles whose warheads can penetrate Iran’s nuclear facilities.  According to these experts, while the warheads will be conventional and not nuclear, their accuracy can be depended upon. They further suggested that Israel would employ F-15i fighter planes along with the Jericho missiles that have a range of 2400 kilometers. In addition, they speculated, Israel would use its drones, and flight paths that would conserve fuel consumption.  The experts believe that Israel will not employ cruise missiles from its submarines since Israel does not have enough of them in its arsenal.

According to this same report, Israel would target only those facilities which are critical to Iran’s nuclear bomb weaponization strategy.  American military experts believe that such an attack would delay Iran’s nuclear development by at least two to four years.  Israeli experts however estimate that the attack will set back the Iranian plans three to five years, and that if Iran persists in its plans to acquire a bomb, Israel would then attack again in four years.

U.S. Intelligence assessments prepared in the summer of 2011 concluded that any Israeli attack on hardened nuclear sites in Iran would go far beyond airstrikes from F-15 and F-16 fighter planes and likely include electronic warfare against Iran’s electric grid, internet cables, cell phone network, and emergency frequencies for firemen and police officers.

Israel, according to these intelligence sources, has developed a weapon capable of mimicking a maintenance cell phone signal that commands a cell network to “sleep;” thus stopping transmissions.  The Israelis, they suggest, have jammers capable of creating interference within Iran’s emergency frequencies for first responders.

Israel’s Defense Minister Ehud Barak, speaking at the Herzliya Conference on February 3, 2012, stated that “if sanctions don’t achieve the desired goal of stopping Iran’s military nuclear program, there will be a need to consider taking action.”  Barak views Iran as nearing the stage “which may render any physical strike as impractical,” and he said, “A nuclear Iran will be more complicated to deal with, more dangerous and more costly in blood then if it were stopped today.  In other words, he who says in English ‘later’ may find that later is too late.”

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  • Amused

    Your article contdadicts itself in a number of ways .What would you have Israel do or say ? lol…what would you have this Administration do or say ? You present scenarios pro and con and condemn both . I dont think you know what you're talking about , for this is simply another vehicle to slam the present Adminisrtration,which in your eyes would be wrong no matter what it does , and you're willing to criticize Israel off-handedly in that process .

  • David M

    The Muslim Nazi mullahs have advocated destroying Israel for the past 33 years. It doesn't matter if Israeli politicians say something but it gives the Left (the allies of mullahs) a reason to blame Israel. My impression is that Israel (although with first-hand intelligence, air force and best pilots) is aware that F15s and F16s with all their capabilities are not enough to deal with tens of secret underground and many other military facilities. The F15s and F16s have short-distance capability and they have to fly over hostile countries (Jordan and Iraq or Saudi Arabia) or worse Turkey ruled by Islamist terrorist supporting Erdogan and it seems unwise and very dangerous if not impossible The only country that can help Israel with long range bombers and cruise missiles is the USA (forget Europe) but it needs a man like Santorum or Gingrich to help Israel. I'm worried that the time is running out. Iran will use the bomb and the main question is if Israel has the bomb and in that case I suggest the city of Qom (the epicenter of Shia terrorism) as the first target and there are targets in the Sunni world but I restrain to name for the sake of avoiding controversy. I STAND WITH ISRAEL.

    • choi

      Destruction of Qom and it's nearby Fordo (built into a mountain)Nuclear Plant would truly make the world a better & SAFER place.
      Qom is the DEVIL's LAIR and Fordo is where they're "cooking" the DEVIL'S BREW.

  • Marty

    iran will attack Israel and other intended victims when it believes it has the means to do so and the political clout to get away with it. In that sense, what Israel does and when Israel does it, may not matter. The dilemma remains: the only strategy worse that rendering iranian nuclear installations harmless is to do nothing and wait for annhilation by genocidal sociopaths.

  • Nakba1948

    This is one of the most ridiculous articles I've seen on this website, and that's saying a lot. If the chatter about Israel attacking Iran is "dangerous" for Israel, it's because Israel has been doing the lion's share of the chattering. It's like worrying about a bully who may get a black eye because he keeps threatening to beat everyone up on the playground! No doubt Iran rhetoric toward the Zionist entity is less than friendly (and who could blame it?), but it's never threatened to attack Israel. Israel and its fifth column here in America, by contrast keep saying that the Zionists WILL attack Iran; it's not a question of if but when. Man, you Zionazis can dish it out, but you can't take it. Hopefully both the Zionist regime and the Islamist government in Iran will "vanish from the pages of time," preferably through nonviolent struggle.

    • choi

      NOT ONLY has Iran threatened to DESTROY Israel,but SO HAVE Y.O.U.R. FAKE "people".
      The PLO ,HAMAS ,PALESTINIAN ISLAMIC JIHAD,etc. EXIST TO attempt the DESTRUCTION of Israel,and your very screen name here bearsthat out.
      There was NO "Nakba" in 1948,but the GLORIOUS RE-BIRTH of INDEPENDENT ISRAEL !

    • Ghostwriter

      C'mon Nakba1948,you're living in a dream world. Iran has repeatedly said it wants to wipe Israel of the map. Why don't you live in the real world,instead of your fantasy one. Why don't you and the rest of your Jew hating friends disappear back to the Middle East where you will be much happier.

  • choi

    Destruction of Qom and it's nearby Fordo (built into a mountain)Nuclear Plant would truly make the world a better & SAFER place.
    Qom is the DEVIL's LAIR and Fordo is where they're "cooking" the DEVIL'S BREW.

  • Amused

    Nakba , you're irrelevant , and btw so is your screen name .
    When the threat level reaches critical mass in the eyes of the Israelis , they will act accordingly ….it's their survival at stake . Blunderbust from American chicken-hawks notwithstanding .
    While conservatives and liberals , right and left ,are engaged in their unrelenting pissing contests , Israel through it's own intelligence apparatus , will be calculating and assessing the situation …their timing will be right as it always is .
    Confusing political babble such as this article , are in the realm of the useless chatter .

    • Nakba1948

      Wrong. It's the Israel-firsters like you who are irrelevant. The people are seeing through your murderous, hate-filled ideology. One day, the Zionists won't be able to rely on their American puppets for assistance. And when that day comes, the world will finally be able to deal justly with the Apartheid State and vanquish it once and for all. Viva Palestina!

      • choi

        Folks here is a prime example of TURNSPEAK.
        This POS and his MADE-UP 'Palestinian" people FALSELY ACCUSES the Zionists of EVERYTHING the Arab/Muslim world has been GUILTY OF DOING to them since Time imemorial.