Iran’s Nuclear Announcement

Ryan Mauro is a fellow with the Clarionproject.org, the founder of WorldThreats.com and a frequent national security analyst for Fox News Channel. He can be contacted at ryanmauro1986@gmail.com.


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There were three Iranian-backed terrorist plots against Israeli diplomats in India, Georgia and Thailand in the two days prior to yesterday’s announcement. An Iranian plot to kill the Saudi ambassador in Washington D.C. and bomb Israeli and Saudi embassies in the U.S. and Argentina was foiled in October. Iran and Syria’s planned wave of attacks in Bahrain was stopped in November. The Iranian regime’s provocations are becoming more frequent and more serious.

Meanwhile, there are influential voices like Republican presidential candidate Ron Paul and left-wing Middle East expert Juan Cole trying to convince the world that there isn’t much to worry about. Cole writes:

Iran has no nuclear weapon, no nuclear weapon program, and no prospect of a nuclear weapon for at least 10 years (according to the US National Intelligence estimate) even if they decided they wanted one, which SecDef Leon Panetta says they have not. Iranian supreme theocrat, Ali Khamenei, has given a fatwa that nuclear bombs are forbidden in Islamic law, and it is likely that Iran does not want to construct an actual nuclear weapon.

The IAEA’s report released in November is at odds with their assessments. The agency concluded that Iran is working on nuclear triggers and nuclear warheads and has a secret uranium enrichment program. The construction of the Fordo site does not make sense in the context of a domestic energy program. Iran has even made preparations for an underground nuclear test and is simulating nuclear explosions at its Parchin military base that is off-limits to U.N. inspectors. To believe that Iran is innocent, you must believe that the regime would be willing to subject itself to tremendous hardship and potential military action over an expensive domestic nuclear energy program it cannot afford and doesn’t need.

Secretary of Defense Panetta recently warned that there is a “strong likelihood” of an Israeli strike on Iran by June. Iran’s recent announcements and violent actions explain why.

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  • joy52

    The underground sites are around Qoms. Qoms is earthq uake-prone. What if it is underground testing?

  • gabe

    Jeremy Bernstein of the New Yorker wrote an interesting piece on how Iran obtained nuclear weapons. Worth reading, for those interested: http://goo.gl/RvCmG

  • Ron

    The real significance of Iran's announcements are being overlooked. They're producing 20% enriched U-238 rods for its "research" reactor. Those rods can quickly produce Pu-239 for use in a plutonium implosion weapon. Fuel rods for a nuclear power plant only need to be enriched to 3.5% consisting mostly of U-235 for sustained fission for 3 years.

    So, Iran has two tracks for nuclear weapons production: uranium and plutonium. Much quicker process to go the Pu route but Iran already has a lot of 20% enriched uranium that can be quickly converted to 80% for use in bombs.

  • elihu

    Yeah, those tough sanctions we imposed on Iran really worked didn't they? Why doesn't this wussie government just wait until they explode an EMP over Nebraska before they act? Oh, I forgot, Omama wanted to sit down with them in discussions of peace; what an A$$hat.

  • Nakba1948
    • Ron Carnine

      I went to the site you posted and what do I find? "Socialism for the 21st Century". That's what you post to try to persuade folks that America is the "Great Satan"? The article claims Iran has signed the "non-proliferation treaty" therefore we can trust them not to develop nuclear weapons. Islam ok's lying to fool the enemy so nothing that is signed can be trusted. Look at Egypt and their threat to negate their existing treaty with Israel. Israel is a nation in a sea of Islam. She again and again has been attacked by her Muslim neighbors and you think its wrong for her to use every weapon available to her? If I had a neighbor who continually swore my death, I would defend myself too. Your blogs never take these facts into account, nor is there anything you ever say that shows you are in any way a reasonable individual. Maybe you get that from Islam?

  • Jill

    DAM IT PEOPLE – GOVERNMENT – POLITICIANS !!!!
    OBAMA IS A HITLER – A STALIN…OR WORSE.

    WHY DOESN’T OUR GOVERNMENT – US GROUPS GET TOGETHER
    AND START TELLING IT LIKE IT IS.
    HE IS DESTROYING US SO QUICKLY AND
    WE SIT FOR YEARS TALKING ABOUT IT ON
    BLOGS!!!!!
    WE MUST UNITE AND STOP HIM!!!!!

    DIDN’T WE CLAIM WE WOULD NEVER ALLOW ANOTHER
    HITLER OR AN OPPRESSOR TO DESTROY THE
    WORLD ?
    HE IS INCITING THE WORLD TO KILL CHRISTIANS , JEWS, ALL AMERICANS.
    WE MUST DO SOMETHING NOW.
    STOP THE MADMAN. GET HIM TO
    SHOW UP TO COURT FOR CRIMES AGAINST THE
    US AND AMERICANS.
    IF WE DO NOTHING – IT WILL ALL BE OVER
    FOR THIS GREAT NATION BECAUSE WE DID….NOTHING !!!!”!

  • Divrr1230

    Islamists, even the extremists, would never think of hurting us in the West, no more than even wanting to harm Jews…they just say that to make us respect them more and to hide their loser frustrations. Their mullahs and imams are just anxious to eat apple pie in our homes and show their affection in order to promote peace and show their goodwill. Their televised hate parades, beheadings and terrorism are just mock-ups and staged. Obama wants us to learn to trust them for they mean us no harm. The word infidels only means needing peaceful guidance and love. The smile on that tinpot dictator in Iran is real…he's a nice guy you can trust with your life. His beady eyes reflect a heart of love.
    Destroy now, President Netanyau…while the remaining slit in the window of opportunity is still visible…and may the God of Abraham, beloved Jews and Christians be with you and guide you with power that will convince the Iranians to never dabble with destructive nuclear hardware again!

  • pyeatte

    I recall the liberals were saying Iran was at least ten years away, two years ago. I look at liberals and the left as an enemy of the state (of course they run the state right now). Which means the state is currently the enemy of a free people. There is a terrible resolve building, and where it goes, nobody knows. I hope it does not end up putting people in front of walls, but beware. This country has a history of being capable of great bloodshed as in the Civil War. Human nature never changes, and it all lies just beneath the surface, and sometimes the demons win.