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There were three Iranian-backed terrorist plots against Israeli diplomats in India, Georgia and Thailand in the two days prior to yesterday’s announcement. An Iranian plot to kill the Saudi ambassador in Washington D.C. and bomb Israeli and Saudi embassies in the U.S. and Argentina was foiled in October. Iran and Syria’s planned wave of attacks in Bahrain was stopped in November. The Iranian regime’s provocations are becoming more frequent and more serious.
Meanwhile, there are influential voices like Republican presidential candidate Ron Paul and left-wing Middle East expert Juan Cole trying to convince the world that there isn’t much to worry about. Cole writes:
Iran has no nuclear weapon, no nuclear weapon program, and no prospect of a nuclear weapon for at least 10 years (according to the US National Intelligence estimate) even if they decided they wanted one, which SecDef Leon Panetta says they have not. Iranian supreme theocrat, Ali Khamenei, has given a fatwa that nuclear bombs are forbidden in Islamic law, and it is likely that Iran does not want to construct an actual nuclear weapon.
The IAEA’s report released in November is at odds with their assessments. The agency concluded that Iran is working on nuclear triggers and nuclear warheads and has a secret uranium enrichment program. The construction of the Fordo site does not make sense in the context of a domestic energy program. Iran has even made preparations for an underground nuclear test and is simulating nuclear explosions at its Parchin military base that is off-limits to U.N. inspectors. To believe that Iran is innocent, you must believe that the regime would be willing to subject itself to tremendous hardship and potential military action over an expensive domestic nuclear energy program it cannot afford and doesn’t need.
Secretary of Defense Panetta recently warned that there is a “strong likelihood” of an Israeli strike on Iran by June. Iran’s recent announcements and violent actions explain why.
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