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Gingrich also laid out his strategy forward. On Super Tuesday, he will win his home state of Georgia and “do very well” in Tennessee and Oklahoma, “well” in Ohio and “better than expected” in Idaho. He said he plans to win Mississippi and Alabama on March 13, which will “set him up to compete” in Kansas. He must have misspoken because the Kansas primary is on March 10. He has also talked about winning Texas on April 3, as Governor Rick Perry endorsed him after suspending his own presidential campaign.
The next contest will be the Washington caucus on March 3, which is not receiving much attention. The last poll there had Santorum ahead by 11%. Then comes Super Tuesday on March 6, when 10 states will hold their primaries and caucuses.
Super Tuesday is looking good for Rick Santorum. He is ahead by an average of 8% in Ohio, 21% in Oklahoma and the last Tennessee poll had him winning by 18%. He is also likely to win Alaska, Idaho and North Dakota. Newt Gingrich is only ahead in his home state of Georgia, where he has a 9-point lead on average.
Mitt Romney is certain to win his home state of Massachusetts, where the last poll had him ahead by 48%. He will probably win Vermont handily, but there are no recent polls out of the state. The last one, taken in July, had him ahead by 19%. He will also almost certainly win Virginia, as only he and Ron Paul qualified for the ballot.
Romney goes into the Washington caucus and Super Tuesday with some momentum but the polls show that Santorum will probably have the momentum after March 6, especially if Gingrich drops out or his supporters move en masse to Santorum. Romney have a good night but the campaign is not yet over.
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