It would be interesting to look at the homicide rate for Obama voters and Romney voters and that is doable on a community level. But for the moment let’s take a look at the big picture. As discussed in my previous article, “America Doesn’t Have a Gun Problem, It Has a Gang Problem“, gun violence is concentrated in urban areas where most victims and shooters have existing criminal records.
Not only is gang violence dramatically higher in cities compared to surrounding areas, but 60 percent of U.S. firearm homicides happen in the 62 cities of the country’s 50 largest metro areas.
In the 2012 election, Obama won 70% of the vote in cities. He won the plurality of votes in every major city with the exception of Jacksonville and Salt Lake City. In some of the biggest cities he won 85% of the votes.
These are the cities where gun violence rates are the highest in the country. Often, the higher the gun violence rates, the bigger the margin of victory for Obama, as documented in my article, America Doesn’t Have a Gun Problem, It Has a Gang Problem above.
The 50 MSAs had a combined firearms homicide rate (in 2006-2007) of 17,000. The 62 cities in them accounted for 9,800 of that. That’s out of a total of 25,423 firearm homicides nationwide.
How out of whack are these numbers?
“Residents of these MSAs represented 54% of the U.S. population during 2006–2007, but accounted for 67% of firearm homicides.”
Those are 5-6 year old numbers. They are likely to be worse now as many cities are reporting spikes in their homicide rate. And the numbers for the cities are even worse than for the MSAs. “Central cities frequently had firearm homicide rates at least twice as high as those for their MSAs,”
It’s quite clear that America does not have a gun violence problem. Obamerica does.
If Obama wants to deal with gun violence, he will have to deal with the social problems of his own voting base.