California Running Out of Kids to Subsidize its Teacher’s Union Pensions


As mentioned before, blue states have a serious problem. Lots of teachers and administrators with big pensions and a shortage of kids for them to mishandle. For example, take Detroit. (Please)

The Detroit Public Schools could be faced with a staffing dilemma in a couple of years if steps are not taken to reduce the number of teachers employed by the district. If projections of dwindling student counts are accurate, the district could soon have 1,800 more teachers than it needs, with the annual bill to pay them costing in the range of $100 million… This would mean that the district would have lost 61 percent of its student enrollment since 2003-04 when it had 150,000 students.

This isn’t completely fatal for Detroit, since it will just go on feeding off Michigan, while boasting that it now has class sizes of 6 students to a teacher. But it’s a big problem on a state level. Take California. (Please.)

In 1970, six years after the end of the baby boom, children made up more than one-third of California’s population. By 2030, they will account for just one-fifth. The state’s birthrate fell to 1.94 children per woman in 2010, below the replacement level of 2.1 children, according to the study. California’s rate is lower than the overall U.S. rate of 2.06 children in 2012, according to the Central Intelligence Agency.

This is really bad news, because you can’t tax the dead. Pension plans depend on new generations showing up and paying the bills. California’s aging demographics move it into the category of a retirement community and its high taxes take it out of that category because who wants to have their wealth drained by an incompetent and ceaselessly greedy state government.

California’s young population is trending non-white. Latinos are a majority in the under 18 category. 50.4 percent of live births are Latinos. And 21 percent of Latinos have an income below the poverty level. A quarter of Latino children live in poverty. That means California’s growth population is also the most expensive and the least likely to provide tax revenues. All this sounds good to liberals, but it’s an economic disaster that puts California on the road to becoming Detroit.

You can build a whole lot of schools and fill them full of teachers, but Latino births, though higher than the native population are still falling, and that leaves you with a skeleton state and a lot of unfunded pensions that no one is going to pay for when all the “old white guys” who are the current revenue source are dead.

With more than 90% of the state’s children under age 10 born in the state, “the majority of the next generation of workers will have been shaped by California’s health and education systems,” Mr. Myers said.

The birthrate for Hispanics, who account for 51% of children under 18 in the state, was slightly above replacement level. But Hispanic birthrates are seeing the steepest drop of any group and are expected to fall to the replacement level in 2020, the report said.

And there’s your outcome of that “shaping”. California’s health and education systems are unsustainable. They destroy their own future.

And it’s not just California.

California’s demographic shift mirrors that of many Northeast and Midwest states, including New York, Massachusetts, Illinois and Michigan, where the percentage of children fell even more sharply from 2000 to 2010

Meanwhile Chicago is down to its lowest population level in 90 years.

  • Elaine

    Not to worry. The "let's give amnesty to the 20 million illegals today" crowd on both sides of the political isle will prevail. And a concerted effort to allow immigration of millions of Islamic and Socialist-leaning Hispanics will create the demograhics necessary to keep the Socialist welfare-state and union-controlled public educational system going as the murder of millions of unborn Americans continue on unabated and funded with federal income tax dollars.

  • Mary Sue

    well, you can tax the dead, once, but that's federal.

  • http://www.adinakutnicki.com AdinaK

    First of all, no one wants to discuss why the shift of Latino's in demographics is happening in the first place. Many of these kiddies are illegals and that is that. But since it isn't PC to speak about such mundane topics as legal citizenship, then the whole discussion becomes a sideshow.

    In tandem, when "gayness" becomes the new family paradigm, then having kiddies the traditional way is moot too. Adoptions, for those who want a family, is the only alternative.

    In any case, there are prices to be paid for leftist dogma, and the fact that the thuggish teacher's union has to pay its share, well, that is just icing on the cake – http://adinakutnicki.com/2012/07/01/leftist-dogma

    Leftist bullying has its blow back!

    Adina kutnicki, Israel http://adinakutnicki.com/about/

  • carrie

    People have been fleeing IL for 10 years . The high quantity of illegals and muslim refugees has covered that up for a few years .
    Mfg companies and farmers have also fled IL in the tens of thousands .
    Union control,high tax rates ,high crime,and the ghettoization of most major cities and pollution (never eat fish from IL) leaves the whole state undesirable .

  • mike Bernsts

    Teachers are for Abortion they should be against it as it kills students

    • Mary Sue

      Teachers who, if they lived in Canada would be voting NDP, never take such things into consideration. It's all about them.

    • Mary Sue

      also where do they think students come from? The baby fairy? the stork? XD

  • eatingdogfood

    Democratic Hustler Politicians + Corrupt Greedy Unions = BANKRUPTCY BABY!

  • benzene265

    Maybe these states should consider buying off the contracts of their excess teachers. It'd probably be cheaper to drop a few hundred grand per teacher to buy them out than to keep them on as diversity coordinators or whatever it is teachers without students do for 20+ years and have to pay their pensions on top of that.

  • cynthia curran

    Actually West Virginia, Lousiana, and Miss were down on the Republlcian side West Viriginia has a lot of older whites since younger whites leave and LA and MS have higher than average poverty mainly because of their black populations.

  • cynthia curran

    Sac Bee Asians are outmirgating Hispanics to Calfornia 160,000 to 60,000 but asians tend to have low birth rates not good news for republicans but they tend to be less on welfare than hispanics in California. It probably will take 15 years of less hispanic immirgation and dropping birth rates and asian immirgation to have a drop in hispanics and an gain of asians against hispanics.

  • cynthia curran

    Sac Bee less low skilled construcation work or manufactoring like garment work or even the recession has caused a dropped in maid work to explain the Hispanic drop. In California heavily hispanic towns like Santa Ana have much higher unemployment like at 11 percent so folks back in Mexico here this and less come. The Asians are coming to do the jobs in Silcon Valley or more professional jobs in other places or nursing jobs like the Flipinos.

  • cynthia curran

    Well, La will not reach the Detroit situation to 2030 since Hispanics have higher birth rates than blacks. Even the article states that they probably will not go under replacement until 2020. As I stated West Virginia is experiancing this as well.

  • cynthia curran

    Well, actually in Texas the poorest ethinic group hispanics are growing more than whites even if they are getting whites from the outside. In texas 48 percent of kiddies are currently Hispanic and also 20 percent or more are below the poverty level.