While Republicans have been down ever since the 2012 elections, it’s the Democrats who may have more reason to worry. The Republican lack of leadership is a problem, but on the left side of the aisle, one man with one huge ego, who isn’t exactly known for being a team player, is being accused of cannibalizing the Democratic Party.
“Since Obama was elected President, the Democrats have lost nine governorships, 56 members of the House and two Senate seats,” Doug Sosnik, the political director in Bill Clinton’s White House, writes in a new memo.
The memo hesitates to put too much blame on Obama, but it does, after paying formal tribute to the official Evil Tea Party Republicans Won’t Work with Obama line, move the ball into his court.
Obama’s victory last November was a great political achievement, but the fact that he didn’t set out a clear policy agenda for a second term left him without a clear mandate to govern over a politically divided Congress. Compounding the problem is the fact that during his first term Obama did not put the time or effort into building personal relationships with members of Congress, an essential element to getting a recalcitrant Congress to act on difficult issues
And Sosnik suggests the dirty money isn’t coming through like it used to…
we have now experienced two consecutive years of decline in lobbying expenditures, as well as a continued reduction in the number of lobbyists who have registered with the federal government
CRP also reports that the first quarter lobbying reports for this year show a 16.7% decrease in expenditures from the same period in 2010. The CRP analysis projects that lobbying expenditures for 2013 will be the lowest level since 2007
But the point is that Obama is being blamed for abandoning the Democratic Party to the political wolves.
Obama’s successful 2008 campaign and his 2012 re-election masks a party that is also in decline and one that is at considerable risk when Obama is no longer on the scene. Since Obama was elected President, the Democrats have lost nine governorships, 56 members of the House and two Senate seats. During his presidency, the party’s favorability has declined 15 points.
Obama not only got elected by running against the party establishment, but he has governed as a President who does not emphasize his party label.
Obama also didn’t campaign for other Democrats or raise money for any down ticket candidates during the 2012 elections. Since his victory, he has also established an independent $50 million organization to advance his legislative goals rather than focusing on creating a lasting legacy for the party.
And the news isn’t any better for the future…
According to Pew polling from last year, 45% of Millennials self-identify as Independents, which is a six-point jump since 2008, and 31% self-identify as Democrats, which represents a four-point drop since 2008.
The same analysis showed that 42% of Gen Exers identify as Independents, an eight-point increase since 2008, and 29% self-identify as Democrats, a five-point decline in Democratic self-identification during the same time.
And the piece finds that the minority vote may not be all that reliable either post-Obama.
According to a Census Bureau report on the 2012 elections issued this week, for the first time in history black eligible voters turned out at a higher percentage than whites (66% v. 64%). In addition, a Gallup analysis of the African American vote found that 18-34 year olds are nine-points less likely to self-identify as Democrats (75% v. 84%) than African American voters 55 years or older.
Although Hispanics have overwhelmingly voted against Republicans since George W. Bush’s re-election in 2004, younger Hispanics feel less of an allegiance to the Democratic Party than their elders. A Gallup analysis of last year’s tracking polling found that Hispanic voters aged 18-34 are nine points less likely to self-identify as Democrats (50% v. 59%) than Hispanic voters 55 years or older. Young Hispanic voters are a disproportionately large share of the Hispanic electorate.
That’s what you get with a high birth rate.
Despite voting overwhelmingly for Obama in the past two elections – with their support topping 73% in 2012 – a 2012 Pew poll found that only 50% of Asian voters self-identify as Democrats.
The problem is that the left used the Democratic Party as a political trojan horse. That’s what the left always does.
As a compulsive egotist, Obama was never really much of a team player and the left-wing Chicagoites who surrounded him were not invested in the Dems either. Only in the left. They used the Democratic Party like a sock puppet to get what they wanted done, but their vision is that of the left, not of the Democratic Party. That’s why OFA is threatening gun rights Democrats.
Obama doesn’t care about the Democratic Party. He has ensconced himself in an Imperial Oval Office while giving Congress little to do except stalemate itself.