Former IDF General Amos Yadlin would like you to think so at any rate.
“The American stance on an Israeli strike against Iran has changed dramatically recently,” said Amos Yadlin, who served as chief of the IDF’s Intelligence Directorate from 2006 to 2010.
“In 2012 the [Americans'] red light was as red as it can get, the brightest red,” Yadlin said in an interview with Army Radio Wednesday morning. “But the music I’m hearing lately from Washington says, ‘If this is truly an overriding Israeli security interest, and you think you want to strike,’ then the light hasn’t changed to green, I think, but it’s definitely yellow.”
Yadlin is thought to be close to parts of the US defense establishment. He served as Israel’s military attache in Washington from 2004 to 2006, and was a Kay Fellow in Israeli national security at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy in 2011.
So what’s going on here?
Another Israeli insider is being trotted out to assure the Israeli public that the unpopular prisoner release was really a smart move since the whole thing suggests there was a quid pro here. But if so, then Obama Inc. always wanted Israel to go protect Saudi Arabia, it just wanted to extract its pound of peace flesh first. So either way, the Israeli side has once again been played for suckers.
Yadlin has been a curious figure. He has a credible pedigree with the left, but he avoided the left’s swing to the Anti-Israel camp, differentiating him from the likes of Yuval Diskin or the “Gatekeepers”. He’s walked an odd middle ground on Iran that’s difficult to chronicle, but that has given him some credibility in quarters where Netanyahu isn’t taken seriously. How much that credibility is worth is another matter, but even some on the Western left do pay attention to him.
It seems unlikely however that Obama has dramatically changed its position on Iran, especially when he has a new fake moderate Iranian president to play footsie with.
Changing the light to yellow smacks of bait, giving Israel just enough rope to hang itself in final status negotiations while waiting for a green light that never comes.