The Syrian Civil War stopped being a civil war last year, to the extent that it ever was. It is now largely a Sunni and Shiite regional war fought with foreign fighters.
Despite what the Washington Post and the Obama Inc. mouthpieces keep claiming, the war will not end if Assad falls. Assad stopped being the issue some time ago. Sure all the propaganda Twitter feeds and Al Jazeera’s daily coverage is full of regime atrocities, but Assad is now just a counter in a game between Iran, Turkey and Qatar.
The Assad family opened the door to this particular hell by climbing too far into bed with Iran. To the extent that the mess in Syria is their fault, it’s because they allowed Iran to turn Syria into an extension of Iranian foreign policy. And that made the Turkish response nearly inevitable.
Assad can’t turn off the war. Not even by getting on a fleet of jets with as much of the elite and their loot as they can carry.
Iran is reportedly planning for the Post-Assad era with a 150,000 strong army trained by Hezbollah and drawn from Shiite and Neo-Shiite populations. Qatar has already helped finance and fill Syria with foreign Sunni Jihadis from around the world. This is a holy war, an ethnic war and a tribal war that isn’t going anywhere no matter how many Muslim Brotherhood front groups, Obama Inc. endorses as the secular moderate solution.
Syria is being colonized by both sides,with Islamist groups like the Al Nusra Front carving out their Sharia spheres and digging in for the long haul, while Hezbollah prepares to fight for the Alawite populations.
Neither side can afford to back down now. An unstable Syria dominated by Sunni militias will be a serious danger to Iran and Iraq. And likewise an unstable Syria dominated by Shiite militias will be a danger to Turkey.
Both sides are riding the beast and neither side can afford to get off.