Obama’s ‘Wait and See’ Foreign Policy

ShowImage.ashxOne of the early policy gaffes that the Obama administration made, and which will ultimately have severe negative repercussions on the United States, was not commanding a strong leadership when protests erupted during Iran’s debated 2009 elections. It was during this time that the U.S. leaders had the potential to significantly alter the balance of power against the ruling clerics and Ayatollahs. A second, and similar, geopolitical, national and strategic mistake that the Obama administration is currently conducting is allowing Russia and the Islamic Republic of Iran to take the leadership position in regards to Syria. What the Obama administration is adopting is the policy of “Wait and See”; a strategy that supports taking the back seat rather than the steering wheel. In comparison to other mistakes and miscalculations implemented by the Obama administration, these particular uninformed policies and strategic lapses regarding the over two-year-long Syrian conflict may bring about a more significant level of threat to the United States’ national, global, geopolitical and strategic interests.

First of all, the absence of robust leadership from Obama’s administration has sent a formidable message to Hezbollah and Hamas: that these two groups can militarily operate regionally and globally as they desire without being held accountable or politically reprimanded. After witnessing the Obama administration take a back seat in the ongoing conflict between the rebels and the brutal police-state of Assad, Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah came out publicly announcing that he will support Assad’s regime and the Alawite sect until they score a victory. Nasrallah emphasized that his thousands of professionally trained soldiers are committed to fighting against what he projects in his propaganda to be radical Sunni Islamist rebels in Syria, at whatever the cost. In a televised speech on Saturday evening, Nasrallah stated, “We will continue to the end of the road. We accept this responsibility and will accept all sacrifices and expected consequences of this position….We will be the ones who bring victory.”

Hezbollah has long been covertly operating in Syria. Through military support, intelligence advisement, and furnishing of necessary equipment, the group has been able to assist Assad’s brutal crack down on civilians. Yet, if the leader of Hezbollah, Hassan Nasrallah, and Iran’s ruling clerics would have instead perceived the Obama administration as being serious about removing Assad from power and taking leadership, Hezbollah would have never been emboldened and empowered to the extent that it is now to publicly undermine the United States’ national and regional interests, global prestige, as well as its leadership role in the region and in the international arena.

The recent announcements by U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry, which declared a shift in the U.S. position from asking Assad to step aside to now adopting primarily the Russian position, has been especially detrimental to U.S. national interests. The Russian position is a superficial negotiation between the regime of Assad – a brutal regime which has lost its legitimacy and credibility in the eyes of the Syrians, regional and international circles, and oppositional and rebel groups. Following the Russian leadership, the Obama administration will be holding a so-called “peace plan conference” with a regime notorious for committing crimes against humanity.

In addition, the absence of credible leadership in the Obama administration has also emboldened Russian leaders to send the most advanced anti-aircraft weapons to the Assad regime, which poses a severe threat to Israel’s national, geopolitical and strategic interests. After the Obama administration agreed to hold the “peace plan talks,” which are primarily being orchestrated by Russia, Russian deputy foreign minister Sergei Ryabkov announced that he defended Russia’s planned sale of S-300 missile systems to the Assad regime, despite strong opposition from Britain, France and Israel. Ryabkov pointed out that this action is intended to “stop” and “restrain” the “hotheads” who are hoping to remove Assad from power and to conduct an international intervention in the Syrian conflict.

Moreover, it is worth noting that the growing presence and influence of the Salafists, Islamists groups, Al-Qaeda members, and Al-Qaeda-affiliated terrorist groups have become more evident not only in various cities in Syria (including Damascus, Allepo, Homa and Hama) but also Lebanon (in cities such as Tripoli) and Iraq, where they are also strongly operating. These groups have become empowered to the extent that they are now calling for mobilization in the Islamist state of Syria and Iraq, having found the appropriate and ripe environment to regroup in numbers larger and stronger then when the terrorist act of 9/11 was conducted from Afghanistan.

While the Obama administration has been adopting the effortless strategy of “Wait and See” in the Syrian conflict  – choosing the back seat instead of the steering wheel, avoiding taking serious geostrategic and geopolitical actions, and permitting Russia and the Islamic Republic of Iran to govern regionally and internationally – severe long-term and short-term negative repercussions for the national, regional, global, geopolitical and politico-economic interests of the United States are brewing.

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  • Elisa

    That's exactly the term I was so long looking for: " Wait and See" foreign policy of Obama

  • http://www.adinakutnicki.com AdinaK

    Here is what his "wait and see" is helping to unleash – http://adinakutnicki.com/2013/05/30/war-drums-bla

    And even if the daily rhythm in Israel is "business as usual" don't be fooled. Those of us who operate deep in the fray know better. And we also realize Obama Inc's handiwork therein.

    Adina Kutnicki, Israel http://adinakutnicki.com/about/

  • Samantha

    What is Hezbollah going to do? launch rockets in Syria?

  • EarlyBird

    Hey, here's an idea: rather than worrying that the savages are becoming emboldened to take control of and run their own nations, let's "allow" them to do so! How about we get out of their business to the greatest degree possible, and let them know should they genuinely threaten us – not our pride – we will destroy them?

  • kafantaris

    We are made of stone when it comes to Syria, and Qusair is proof positive of this.
    As for the U.N., it is impotent as presently constituted. Why even bother to have it around?
    We need another world body with power to timely act when need be. The results of inaction are now all over the Middle East, and we reap what we have sowed.
    Yes we were naïve to expect neighboring countries to remain indifferent while the Syrian people on both sides suffer.

    • EarlyBird

      Not to suggest for a moment that the Syrian rebels or Syrian government have the same values and goals as the United States did during the Civil War, but imagine for a moment how warped our nation would be if we had not been "allowed" by the powers of the day, due to their humanitarian horror at the bloodshed we were putting ourselves through, to have our civil war and decide these Ultimate Issues which had been splitting the nation apart up until that time?

      We need to allow these Syrians to work out the blood fueds they are engaged in. Remember it all started out as a desire to overthrow a decades-long tyranny of the Assads.

    • John

      More than 80000 people dead….

  • LibertarianToo

    Does anyone remember the story of the 9-year old boy, then the sole survivor of a Coptic Christian family, who was hanged by the brave Rebel forces in Syria a year or so ago?

    If Muslims spend the next two decades killing each other in Syria, and sending in Jihadis from all over the globe to do the fighting and dying, it will keep them from having the leisure and funds to savage the rest of us.

    The last thing we need is for Obama to spend American tax money aiding and abetting another Brotherhood takeover of another Mid-East country. Or getting us into a proxy war w/Russia and Iran.

    • EarlyBird

      Amen.

    • Sarah

      So what should be done liberatiantoo ?

  • κατεργάζομαι

    RE: "Obama’s ‘Wait and See’ Foreign Policy"

    That's what my Great Grand Mother called:

    Playing Stoop-Tag in an Asparagus Patch!

  • Saga Handuk

    If Obama and his followers has their way the constitution will be totally disregarded. Capitalism has allowed people to keep what they have earned.and saved.

    Souvenir ultah

  • Ellman

    "…a strategy that supports taking the back seat rather than the steering wheel."

    Otherwise called "driving from behind", or "back seat driving". The Obama administration is so preoccupied with what's in front of them (political risks) that it fails to look in the rear view mirror to see the danger catching up from behind.

  • Ellman

    "These groups have become empowered to the extent that they are now calling for mobilization in the Islamist state of Syria and Iraq, having found the appropriate and ripe environment to regroup in numbers larger and stronger then when the terrorist act of 9/11 was conducted from Afghanistan."

    But haven't these "groups" heard what Obama said recently, that war on terror is over and Gitmo will close? Is it possible they don't take him seriously? Is it possible that Obama has been spending time in outer space the last 6 months looking for more supporters? More members of the 'middle class'?

    • Miriam

      Your comment is really informative/ interesting. But you are not telling what is the alternative?

  • Ellman

    "…severe long-term and short-term negative repercussions for the national, regional, global, geopolitical and politico-economic interests of the United States are brewing."

    If the Democrats are smart they'll let a Republican win the Presidency in 2016. That way all the problems Obama is responsible for causing will become a Republican problem. The Republicans will never have the MSM to support potential claims that they 'inherited' Obama's problems. Of course, if the Democrats should win the Presidency in 2016 then all of this will become irrelevant because the country will be obliterated by 2020 (financially, economically or literally, or all of the above).

    • Sam

      Like it

  • abid mehmood

    OBAMA ADMINISTRATION IS CREATING MORE COMPLEXITIES &COMPLICATIONS IN THEIR POLICIES TOWARD SYRIA, ITS NEW INTEREST GAME, WE ARE GOOD HUMANS, WE CANNOT UNDERSTAND THEIR PROFESSIONAL WORK, &THE FUTURE IS MORE WORSEN & ALARMING, ITS SEEMS THEY HAVE MUCH WORK TO DO ON OTHER SIDES, THAT’S WHY THEY INVOLVED RUSSIANS TOO MUCH, BECAUSE RUSSIA IS TO CALM FOR LAST TWO DECADES, ITS GOOD TIME AND METHODOLOGY TO EXPOSE RUSSIA.