The Crisis in Ukraine Intensifies

140412-ukraine-russia-mn-01_f3f489860357a657f16a3b8c468ce9a2Yesterday the crisis in Ukraine significantly intensified. Hours after Ukraine’s acting president Oleksandr Turchynov announced an “anti-terrorist operation” against the numerous pro-Russian uprisings that have taken place in at least nine cities, government forces engaged about 30 armed militants at Kramatorsk airport, just south of the city of Slovyansk, approximately 100 miles from the Russian border. The exchange prompted a warning from Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev. “I will be brief: Ukraine is on the brink of civil war, it’s frightening,” he was quoted as saying by Russian news agencies.

The move is part of an overall counteroffensive aimed at reclaiming control of the eastern part of the country, following the takeover of official government buildings by pro-Russian separatists in at least nine cities. According to eyewitnesses, Slovyansk itself was being surrounded by Ukrainian troops, backed by armored personnel carriers and two helicopters. Pro-Russian forces have had effective control of the city since last Saturday.

What happened during the fighting is largely unclear, but Russian media sources claim between four and 11 militants were killed when Ukrainian troops stormed the airfield, while Yury Zhadobin, coordinator of a pro-Russian defense force, claimed two people were slightly injured and were taken to a hospital. The Ukrainian government claimed there were no casualties at all, but that they had taken an unspecified number of prisoners. Gen. Vasyl Krutov, Ukraine’s security services anti-terrorist unit chief, spoke outside the airport, saying his men had repelled an attack by men in green uniforms who had attempted to storm the facility earlier that afternoon.

After the standoff, hundreds of locals surround the airport, fueled by rumors that Ukrainian forces were getting ready to attack the city of Kramatorsk itself. Some attempted to enter the airport facilities, prompting Ukrainian forces to fire warning shots. When Krutov appeared outside to defuse tensions, he was attacked by the crowd.

Russia’s Interfax news agency quoted a pro-Russian militiaman who said Ukrainian troops had seized the airfield, but Kramatorsk remained under their control. “We have, in fact, been pushed out of the airport, but the town is under our control,” the unidentified militiaman told the agency. “We won’t let anyone in.”

President Turchynov explained the reason for the move on his website. “The aim of these actions is to protect people,” he said. “Apart from Russian special forces and terrorists, there’s hundreds of thousands of innocent Ukrainian people deceived by Russian propaganda, and that is why we will take any needed anti-terrorist actions prudently and responsibly.”

Turchynov also addressed the Ukrainian parliament in Kiev. “I just got a call from the Donetsk region: Ukrainian special forces have liberated the airport in the city of Kramatorsk from terrorists,” he told lawmakers. “I’m convinced that there will not be any terrorists left soon in Donetsk and other regions and they will find themselves in the dock – this is where they belong.” 

Another troop buildup is going on near the city of Izyum, which is close to the border of the Kharkiv and Donetsk provinces in the east, 32 miles northwest of Slovyansk. An Izyum official who requested anonymity said the city has been used by Ukrainian troops as a feeding and fueling area since their arrival beginning last weekend. An Associated Press reporter claimed to have seen at least 14 armored personnel carriers with Ukrainian flags, along with helicopters and military vehicles, stationed 24 miles north of Slovyansk. Additional military equipment was also nearby, as were at least seven busloads of government troops wearing black military fatigues. “We are awaiting the order to move on Slovyansk,” said a soldier identified only by his first name of Taras.

In the city of Donetsk, Mayor Alexander Lukyanchenko begged pro-Russian forces not to follow through on their threat to seize city offices. “If the city authorities are paralyzed, it would be to the detriment of all inhabitants of the city,” he told reporters.

The move by the Ukrainian military follows an ultimatum issued Monday by Turchynov that was promptly ignored by pro-Russian militants. That ultimatum then became an offer to hold a national referendum to determine Ukraine’s future, followed by yet another offer for a peace-keeping intervention undertaken by U.N. forces.

Unsurprisingly, Ukraine and Russia had completely different takes on the escalating tension. “We have to tell the Ukrainians the truth: the Russian Federation is waging a real war against Ukraine in the east, in the Donetsk and Luhansk regions in particular,” said ex-prime minister and presidential candidate Yulia Tymoshenko, who also called on the West to “recognize Russia’s aggression against eastern Ukraine as a war.” Ukrainian First Deputy Prime Minister Vitaly Yarema echoed that assessment, saying Kiev had “evidence that those people occupying Slovyansk and Kramatorsk right now are servicemen of the Russian 45th Airborne Regiment.” Ukrainian security forces also claimed that a Russian foreign intelligence agent named Igor Strelkov, who had helped coordinate the seizure of Crimea, was part of those leading the resistance in Slovyansk.

Dmitry Peskov, a spokesman for Russian President Vladimir Putin, dismissed the allegations altogether. Putin himself called the military maneuvers “unconstitutional,” demanding an international crackdown in response. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov insisted Kiev was being contradictory. “You can’t send in tanks and at the same time hold talks,” he contended. “The use of force would sabotage the opportunity offered by the four-party negotiations in Geneva.”  Those talks, scheduled to take place tomorrow, involve the Russians, the US, the European Union and Ukrainian officials. In the interim, the EU and the US are ostensibly considering widening sanctions against the Russians.

Or perhaps not. While the Obama administration is reportedly ready to up the ante, the EU is less enthusiastic, due to the reality that stronger sanctions would threaten an already weak economic recovery. Thus, while the US may suggest targeting Russian economic sectors such as financial services and energy, the EU prefers an expansion of individual asset freezes and travel bans. Without EU support, any additional sanctions by the US would have minimal effect. “The level of trade between the US and Russia directly is quite limited,” said Simon Mandel, vice president for emerging Europe equity sales at Auerbach Grayson & Co. “Whatever sanctions the US comes out with, unless the Chinese government or the EU are willing to support them, they will still have a minimal impact on the Russian government.”

Gary Greenberg, who oversees about $785 million in emerging-market stocks at Hermes, believes the latest move by Ukraine greatly accrues to Russian interests. “Russia is in an excellent bargaining position before the start of talks,” he contended. Having provocateurs in Ukraine or having the Ukrainian government forces start shooting puts Russia in much stronger position in its negotiating dance with Europe and the U.S. This is part of their strategy.” 

It is a strategy underscored by a U.N. human rights report that contended ethnic Russians in eastern Ukraine have falsely claimed to be under assault to justify Russian intervention. “Although there were some attacks against the ethnic Russian community, these were neither systematic nor widespread,” the report stated. “Photographs of the Maidan protests, greatly exaggerated stories of harassment of ethnic Russians by Ukrainian nationalist extremists, and misinformed reports of them coming armed to persecute ethnic Russians in Crimea, were systematically used to create a climate of fear and insecurity that reflected on support to integration of Crimea into the Russian Federation.”  

The report further noted that during the Crimean referendum, there were “credible allegations” of harassment, arbitrary arrest and torture targeting non-supporters of the referendum, as well as “many accounts of vote rigging.”

It was blasted by Russian officials. “One gets the impression that the report was fabricated to correspond with conclusions formed in advance,” the Russian Foreign Ministry said in a statement.

In the meantime, 40,000 Russian military troops, replete with tank columns and fighter jets, remain based just outside Ukraine’s border. Putin rejects any links to the unrest sparked by pro-Russian forces in Ukraine, even as Ukrainian security forces have produced recordings of conversations between Russians and Ukrainian separatists., and U.S. forces remain on high alert in the Black Sea. The situation is on a knife-edge and a wrong move by either party could ignite a deadly showdown. 

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  • Mladen_Andrijasevic
    • truebearing

      Obama is showing Putin that “flexibility” he promised once he got reelected. Who could have predicted that Obama’s flexibility was limited to bending over.

  • CaoMoo


    • truebearing

      We can’t have a war with Russia if the Europeans and Obama are on one side. WWIII will start in the Middle East, where once again, Obama has set up a situation where the outcome has to be war.

      • CaoMoo

        I’d bet on the middle east for WW3 starting as well. However Things are getting messy in a lot of places.

    • Drakken

      My better half is from Ukraine and her father is a retired General, he has simply stated the Russians will come and that will be it. I am preparing for her family to flee west. There will be NO, WW 3 type scenario involved as the Europeans are all looking at each other with their thumbs stuck up their collective azzes and Putin has played them to a tee and is still 10 steps ahead while the Obummer administration thinks you can negotiate with cancer and still trying to figure out how to put the pieces on the board for a game of checkers. Oh let us not forget that Brave Obummer thinks economic sanctions are going to hurt Russia when all it will do is hurt the west’s economies even worse. You just could not make all of this stuff up!

      • CaoMoo

        If it stops with the Ukraine that’s probably it. If it goes further who knows. I’d still bet the middle east for starting the next world war but being weak has made alot of messes in a lot of places.

        • Drakken

          The Russians have already told those boy molesting, goat f**king Saudi’s not to interfere in their affairs or else, and the Russians absolutely despise the arabs with a passion.

  • Grey Sniper

    The American people simply need to help Putin go the HELL! Free ride provided.

  • Buserhansen

    It’s kind of hard to control an area when all the military guys you send in turn around and start fighting the people that sent them. It’s blatantly clear that the east and south want absolutely nothing to do with the government that was installed after the elected government was overthrown. It’s really pretty sick that the west is trying to force them to live under an unelected regime that is clearly hostile towards them, purely because the other option is Russia. It’s none of our business. We should let these people do what they want to do – even if it benefits Russia. This is especially true since what they are trying to do is the “democratic” thing to do and what we’re pushing is effectively foreign installed dictators.

    • Wolfthatknowsall

      And you explain Russia’s complaints about the persecution of Russians in Moldova and Estonia how? Please note that Russian troops would have to move through all of Ukraine to get to Moldova and that Estonia is a member of NATO …

      • Buserhansen

        not sure what you asking.. or it’s relevance to my point

        • Wolfthatknowsall

          Allow me to put it a different way …

          What Putin is doing are shades of the 1938-39, and the Western world … desperate for peace at any price … is falling for it, again.

          Does the West get its act together before Russian troops stand on the German border?

  • DontMessWithAmerica

    Can’t make a judgment here since I just got out
    of five days in hospital and am not properly informed but whenever I see men
    with guns wearing masks – be they Russian protesters or Muslim terrorists or
    domestic college students – I feel the civilized world needs to act
    appropriately by shooting to kill. As for bully Putin, if Obama were a
    man he should say, “Hey, tough guy, we were getting along so great and now
    you’re acting like a Hitler. You don’t really want a war, do you?
    Do you want Moscow bombed? Come on, Bubele. Grow up. If
    just one of your armed vehicles crosses the Ukrainian border you’ll have to put
    stores of food in your bomb shelters, I promise you that.” That is
    the only way to deal with bullies.

    • RMthoughts

      Our freedom is more at risk by the hundred plus BLM “bullies” para-militaries with their sniper focused on the Bundy family as it confiscates their property and way of life. I’m more concerned about the police officer outside Georgia public school and intercepting parents and informing them they were trespassing on school property because they opposed the school’s process of testing all children. I’m more concerned about the IRS wanting to have the Justice Department jail conservatives who apply for tax exemption.

      • DontMessWithAmerica

        Putins and Obamas surface in all cultures. I would like to think that there was a time in America in which Obama would never have got in for a second term. Your concerns a valid. At the risk of thoroughly depressing you, consider this – none of these losses of liberty would be possible if American’s hadn’t lost the Spirit of ’76. The only place in the world where I can find it today is in Egypt – they tossed out their would be Hitler and thumbed their nose at Obama and his money.

  • Ellman48

    “Pro-Russian forces have had effective control of the city since last Saturday.”

    What does the phrase ‘Pro-Russian forces” mean? In includes operatives from the FSB (formerly KGB), Russian intelligence services, Russian elite military forces, Russian citizens transported from Russia, and occasionally Russian citizens living in the Eastern Ukraine.

    What Hitler did with the Sudetenland in Czechoslovakia, Putin is attempting to emulate with Eastern Ukraine (in other words, repeat the Crimea annexation all over again).

  • Ellman48

    “The situation is on a knife-edge and a wrong move by either party could ignite a deadly showdown ”

    Watch for Ukrainian leaders to be eliminated via various assassination techniques. Assassination of a few individuals is far more expedient than a full scale war. One way or another the Ukraine is lost and will be dominated by Russia before all of this is over. Putin will NOT lose the Ukraine regardless of the costs!

  • Katya

    For people who want to know what’s really going on in Ukraine: the article
    “Ukraine as the Country of Liars” written by a ukrainian journalist and analyst Alexandr Rogers.

  • Habbgun

    Isn’t it interesting that the same people who shrug when rockets hit Israeli children on video are the first to lecture us on realpolitik when it comes to Putin and the Ukraine. That KGB payroll goes a long way. Wouldn’t you just love to see what a Pro-Russian defense militia looks like? How many are currently or have just served in the Russian armed forces? You would think there have been years and years of Russians being treated like non-Moslems in a Moslem state are (not that we are supposed to think there is anything wrong with that). The hypocrisy is amazing but a politician is lower than a stripper. At least the money changing hands is out in the open.

  • Veracious_one

    I noticed no one is talking about the Christians in Africa…

  • truth & liberty

    Why is nobody talking about the Nazi Flags that are always in the Ukrainian protests that our ( US ), government is supporting in the Ukraine ?