Lost in the noise of social media outreach and the barrage of youth oriented celebs pledging their allegiance to The One is that Obama isn’t doing all that well with the group of young people most likely to support him.
Obama is now below where Bush was in 2006 and the latter had been subjected to a sustained media assault for years while the formers has been slobbery on so much by the media that there’s a path of drool through the room at every press conference.
The usual liberal explanations are given in the article and they don’t pan out. Stressing volunteerism. The NSA. Millennials want to use “technology” to help people, but that’s a broad generalization.
Millennials despise partisanship and gridlock, according to a wide variety of polls, and they have little patience for the inefficiencies of a sprawling bureaucracy built for 20th-century needs.
But who likes partisanship, bureaucracy and gridlock? Besides Obama. That’s hardly a unique generational trait.
It would be more accurate to say that political cynicism is a national trend and millennials have the least emotional investment in the system. They can opt out more easily than lifelong Democrats or Republicans.
A new national poll of America’s 18- to 29- year-olds by Harvard’s Institute of Politics (IOP), located at the John F. Kennedy School of Government, finds low expected participation for the midterm elections as less than one-in-four (23%) young Americans say they will “definitely be voting” in November, a sharp drop of 11 percentage points from five months ago (34%). Among the most likely voters, the poll also finds traditional Republican constituencies showing more enthusiasm than Democratic ones for participating in the upcoming midterms, with 44 percent of 2012 Mitt Romney voters saying they will definitely be voting – a statistically significant difference compared to the 35 percent of 2012 Barack Obama voters saying the same.
That’s bad news for Obama, but it also helps explain the poll numbers. Republicans remain engaged. Democrats are tuning out of a lame duck White House whose shrillness is becoming boring and a little embarrassing.
Obama’s sales tactics have worked, but like Wal-Mart, he’s turned off too many people for every sale he’s made.
While his overall approval rating is up to 47, among white millenials it’s at 33 percent. And this is a poll whose makeup is Democrats by 10 percent over Republicans.