In his self-congratulatory State of the Union address, Obama claimed credit for everything from reduced obesity rates to victory in the War on Terror. The words seemed to be describing some other world that exists only inside the minds of his speechwriters.
Take Obama’s claims about Syria, where he said, “American diplomacy, backed by the threat of force, is why Syria’s chemical weapons are being eliminated, and we will continue to work with the international community to usher in the future the Syrian people deserve – a future free of dictatorship, terror and fear.”
In the real world, Syria has made it clear that Assad isn’t leaving and there isn’t anything resembling a Syrian opposition force that even Obama feels comfortable about working with.
An amicable resolution that removes Assad and somehow neutralizes the Al Qaeda militias that have become the dominant force in the opposition is so utterly unrealistic that probably not even John Kerry believes it’s possible. The forces with the greatest strength on the ground are not going to be removed at the negotiating table in a process dominated by Syrian allies and apathetic enemies.
Especially once Obama turned his own red line into a laughingstock.
The only thing left for Obama to take credit for is the supposed elimination of Syrian chemical weapons. The elimination didn’t happen because of the threat of force, a threat that Kerry described as “unbelievably small” and that Obama had backed away from even before the Russians proposed the elimination deal.
The deal was part of the Russian long game for letting Iran go nuclear. It’s the biggest misreading of a situation since Chamberlain came back promising peace in our time.
Furthermore the Syrians will miss the deadline for shipping weapons out of the country and less than 5 percent have been shipped out. That’s not exactly something to brag about.
It’s clear that, despite Kerry’s empty blather and Obama’s emptier boasts, Assad or someone backed by the Russians, will remain in power. Parts of Syria are likely to remain under the control of Al Qaeda linked groups. It is highly unlikely that Syria will end up giving up most, let alone all, of its WMDs.
Obama has nothing to brag about in Syria or anywhere else in the Middle East where he…
1. Allowed Iran to keep nuking along
2. Pressured Israel to free terrorists
3. Tried to intimidate Egypt into keeping a Muslim Brotherhood thug on the throne and failed
4. Is now more hated in some countries than George W. Bush was