The Israeli left has been unpopular for a while so it has developed a habit of using fake centrist third parties as stalking horses. Unfortunately the voters have been fooled a few times too many.
But the interesting thing about the war is that it appears to have polarized Israel. The fake lefty center is vanishing leaving only the real right and the real left.
The poll gives Likud 28 seats (up from 19) and the Jewish Home 19 (up from 12). If that holds, then the new big third party will be a party that is farther to the right than the sorta conservative Likud.
Yisrael Beytenu 9 (down from 12) and Shas 7 (down from 11). Frankly good riddance. Especially to Shas. If the party entirely collapses, it would be one of the best things to happen to Israel. Unfortunately Deri would just find a new gimmick.
Also in the poll, Yesh Atid is clipped down to 11 seats from the current 19, Hatnua is at 4 seats, down from the current six, Meretz has 10 (up from 6) and Labor remains at 15. Kadima is wiped off the political map.
Yesh Atid was a successful fake lefty centrist party. Meanwhile Meretz, the radical left, is hitting big numbers and Labor, at its strongest and leftiest in a while, it remaining stable.
This isn’t “good news”, but the right is still stronger and the weakening of fake centrist lefty parties is a plus. Unfortunately the left just generates new ones.
Israelis continue to favor Binyamin Netanyahu for prime minister. Thirty percent see him as the politician best suited for the role. Jewish Home leader Naftali Bennett is in second place with 16%. Labor head Yitzchak Herzog has 11%, whereas ministers Avigdor Liberman and Tzipi Livni each enjoy 6% support. Yair Lapid is at a meager 3%, along with Defense Minister Moshe Yaalon.
Strangely enough we’re in the age of Netanyahu. That’s not a positive reflection on Israeli politics, but Bennett’s rise is a good thing.
All in all, this leaves Netanyahu in the uncontested top spot.