The Surrender to Iran Begins


IRAN-NUCLEAR-POLITICS-ROWHANIThe mainstream Western media is lauding the implementation of the so-called “landmark” interim nuclear agreement Iran entered into with the P-5 +1 nations – the United States, United Kingdom, France, Russia, China, and Germany. Beginning when the agreement took effect on January 20th, the Associated Press reported, “Iran halted its most sensitive uranium enrichment work… easing concerns over the country’s nuclear program and clearing the way for a partial lifting of sanctions.”

An Iranian state TV broadcast proclaimed Iran’s suspension of enrichment of uranium to the 20 percent level at its Natanz facility:  “Production of 20 percent enriched uranium has been halted by cutting the links feeding cascades in this facility.” The UN’s International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), which is being allowed to broaden its inspections under non-public procedures agreed to as part of the implementation of the interim agreement, confirmed that the centrifuges were disconnected. A similar enrichment suspension is to take place at Iran’s Fordo underground complex, also subject to IAEA verification.

Furthermore, Iran claims it is complying with its agreement to convert some of its existing stockpiles of 20 percent enriched uranium to oxide to produce nuclear fuel and to dilute the balance from 20 percent to 5 percent enrichment over a period of six months.

In return, Iran will receive some sanctions relief, estimated by Obama administration officials to be in the range of $7 billion. There will also be a halt to any new sanctions for the six month duration of the interim agreement, which is subject to a mutually agreed upon extension for an additional six months if the parties believe that they can reach a definitive agreement regarding Iran’s entire nuclear program within that timeframe.

It all sounds so good – indeed, “historic” to use another adjective bandied about by the mainstream press – until one scratches the surface. In reality, after stripping away all the hype, the interim agreement is full of loopholes big enough to drive both key portions of Iran’s nuclear program and its reviving economy through.

For example, the interim agreement leaves completely untouched Iran’s Parchin military research facility. The IAEA has raised concerns about clandestine nuclear weapon-related activities that may have gone on there, involving development and testing of a nuclear explosives device. Iran denies the claim, but at the same time has continued to refuse access to IAEA inspectors.

The interim agreement also preserves Iran’s alternative route to building a nuclear bomb – a heavy water production plant, which is designed to supply a heavy water reactor under construction nearby that could be used to produce plutonium for a nuclear bomb. Although IAEA inspectors have been permitted to visit the site in Arak, there does not appear to be anything in the interim agreement that would require Iran to stop the building of components for future installation in its heavy water facilities in Arak, much less dismantle what is already there. The only thing Iran has committed to do is to refrain from actually activating the heavy water reactor, which it is not ready to do anyway right now as construction of the reactor continues.

Iranian President Hassan Rouhani is a master of faux negotiations. He is playing the same game to stall for time that, as Iran’s chief nuclear negotiator in 2003, he used then to lull the Europeans into thinking Iran had agreed to a meaningful suspension of its nuclear activities. Instead, exploiting the illusion of suspension a decade ago, Iran’s government took significant steps in finalizing the heart of Iran’s nuclear program – uranium conversion, enrichment and installation of many more centrifuges. Rouhani bragged about his artifice years later during an interview on Iranian state television. In that interview, he asked a rhetorical question and then responded regarding how Iran’s enrichment technology capabilities significantly advanced during the supposed suspension: “We halted the nuclear program? We were the ones to complete it! We completed the technology.”

What Rouhani is now doing is right out of the same playbook. He is using the suspension of Iran’s uranium enrichment above 5 percent – a technology which Iran has long since fully mastered – as a cover behind which Iran completes the development of the technology necessary for successfully triggering a nuclear device. It is also moving ahead with the construction of all the components necessary for heavy water plant facilities useful for producing plutonium for a nuclear bomb.

Moreover, the Iranian regime can easily reverse course on uranium enrichment in a twinkling of an eye. Iran’s top nuclear negotiator, Abbas Araghchi, boasted last week in a television interview that “We can return again to 20 percent enrichment in less than one day and we can convert the [nuclear] material again. I can say definitively that the structure of our nuclear program will be exactly preserved. Nothing will be put aside, dismantled or halted. Everything will continue, enrichment will continue.”

This is no bluff. Olli Heinonen, former deputy director of the International Atomic Energy Agency, confirmed in a recent radio interview that Iran can re-connect the centrifuge links to enable resumption of 20 percent enrichment “in one day’s time.” Even more ominously, he warned that Iran has the technical capability to put the requisite number of linked centrifuges into operation, after which “it would take about two, three weeks to have enough uranium hexafluoride high-enriched for one single weapon.” If Iran abides completely by the terms of the interim agreement for the full six months in regard to the conversion of its full stockpile of 20 percent enriched uranium, it could take three months, rather than two to three weeks, to get back on track to enrich enough uranium to build a bomb. Meanwhile, nothing is stopping Iran from continuing its work on its plutonium production facilities and nuclear triggering technology.

While Iran will hardly miss a beat in its enrichment program if it decides it is in its interest to abandon the negotiations for a more permanent deal, the benefits of the sanctions relief it will have obtained in the interim will be irreversible. The Iranian economy will receive an immediate direct infusion as assets currently blocked overseas are released. Sanctions are being immediately lifted on key industrial and commodity sectors comprising petrochemical products, gold and other precious metals, the auto industry, and passenger plane parts and services. In addition, Russian and West European companies and government representatives are already making frequent trips to Iran in anticipation of renewing commercial ties as the entire fragile multinational sanctions regime begins to unravel. This in turn has helped stabilize Iran’s currency and sent its stock market soaring.

In short, the “historic,” “landmark” interim deal trumpeted by the Obama administration is in fact an historic giveaway to Iran full of landmines and loopholes. It is up to Congress to pass legislation with sufficient bipartisan majorities to override an expected Obama veto that would send a clear signal to Iran. Under such legislation, if Iran cheats on the interim deal or simply pockets the economic windfall from the sanctions relief it obtains under the interim deal and abandons good faith negotiations to reach a meaningful, verifiable permanent agreement that prevents it from getting anywhere close to a nuclear bomb breakout capability, it will face the immediate imposition of crippling new economic sanctions, added to what is already still in place. The sanctions would reduce Iran’s oil exports to a trickle and completely isolate Iran from the global financial system, with little latitude for President Obama to grant waivers. Anything less is surrender, the precise word that Iran’s President Rouhani himself used to describe the West’s cave-in to Iran’s demands in the interim agreement.

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  • George Goyim

    The question is: what’s in this for Obama? – his opinion polls have not gone up for all the “historic” nonsense, so what’s the end game for him and his coven?Nuclear Iran means war – and likely before Obama is out of office – is it all about Israel and seeing that country brought to its knees? Apparently so. There can be no other explanations for the foreign policy choices of Obama. They all come down to surrounding Israel with fanaticism, chaos and war as a deliberate goal. it is not an administration that is naive, or incompetent, it is a barely cloaked hatred of Israel and Jews. That the Christians in the Levant are being persecuted is not altogether so bad either. America has a monster in charge of its republic and no one seems to have a clue how to stop him.

    • defcon 4

      “That the Christians in the Levant are being persecuted is not altogether so bad either”? Do you mean this from the zero’s perspective? Or your own?

  • antisharia

    People make the mistake of thinking that developments such as these are the result of incompetence, but that’s not the case. Obama and his capo’s are doing exactly what they want to whether it be foreign policy, legislation, or economic policy. They want to destroy America. They’ve succeeded. Even if conservatives are victorious in 2014 and 2016 there will be no fixing this from within the system as it exists now. The only option will be to completely erase the system and start over again something that conservatives, by nature, are reluctant to do.

    • TheOrdinaryMan

      “There will be no fixing this from within the system as it exists now. the only option will be to completely erase the system and start over again….” Specifically, what does this comment mean?

      • Drakken

        I do believe he means to say, Let the system collapse under its own dead weight, and then start from scratch, if Hildabeast gets elected, its all over for us in this country and at that point I say let it fail and let the chips fall where they may.

        • turk182

          Because once things fall apart,it’s highly unlikely we’ll ever be able to put together anything that even comes close to what we have now. Foreign enemy nations won’t allow it. We no longer have the isolation of distance that we had in the 1800′s. This is their big chance to eliminate their only serious impediment to world domination.

          • defcon 4

            If things don’t “fall apart” we might end up living under sharia law, one step at a time.

          • turk182

            Our SYSTEM is not the problem,it’s the people that refuse to follow the system,that intentionally work against it. So instead of dumping the system,I suggest we “dump” the ones screwing it up. to “reset” the Constitution.
            Besides,once the system crashes,what gets put in place after is not likely to be an improvement. Do you comprehend that,in all it’s ramifications?
            Ever read Unintended Consequences by John Ross?

      • defcon 4

        The system is corrupt from the top down. Why was there no investigation done into the allegations of voter fraud that elected the zero? Why is the justice dept. so very interested in insuring that voter ID laws aren’t passed anywhere in the USA? I think the 2012 presidential election was rigged.

      • antisharia

        What I mean is that future elections are meaningless. The situation is so bad that even if someone like Ted Cruz were elected in 2016 and he had a supermajority in Congress they wouldn’t be able to put humpty dumpty back together again. The only way the country has any hope of being a free republic again is that the system dies, either by violent or natural causes. There are too many left wing judges, an entrenched bureaucracy, and left wing pressure groups that never give up the attack. Secession would be preferable, I don’t believe we should be one country anymore, but it’s unlikely. But it’s clear that America is doomed if the current power structure stays intact

  • chuckie2u

    The only reason I can see in submitting to Islam is OIL. I dare say the Liberals also look on Islam as a way to rid the U.S. of Christian influence and controlling middle east oil. By allowing Islam to over run Israel to satisfy their demands of getting them out of Muslim land the U.S. will endear themselves to over 1 Billion believers. The betrayal of Israel is a small price to pay for controlling all that Oil.

    • SCREW SOCIALISM

      Why should the entire world pay $100 per barrel for oil?

      The US should take over the oil fields of the Middle East, and lower the price of oil back to $10. The entire World benefits – but it hurts OPEC and terrorists.

      Kick OPEC where it hurts most. In their purse.

      The US military stays with the oil fields to protect them and the islamofascists kill each other in their cities warring over their religious disputes.

      • Drakken

        Excellent plan! The best I have heard so far!

      • HettyT

        We had it all once, until they nationalized the oilfields and all of our equipment and other technologies. So we pay more up to the present for what they stole from us. We have enough energy at home to last us for many generations, but our corrupt government will not let us take it. So we’ve been screwed by the Arabs (Persian oil doesn’t account for much) and screwed by our government. $100 oil. That’s what we get.

    • Drakken

      Back when these desert bandits pulled an embargo against us in the west, we should have taken that oil and called it a day, then the little Islamic savages could have humped their goats to their little jihadist hearts content and left us alone. Who said that colonialism is a bad thing?

      • defcon 4

        The muslimes never said colonialism is a bad thing — they’ve been practicing it for a thousand years or more.

    • kikorikid

      there is NO reason to submit to Islam.

  • SCREW SOCIALISM

    DEATH to iran and the ayatollahs!

    LONG LIVE PERSIA!

    • defcon 4

      Long live the Parsi, the true inheritors of the Persian empire.

  • Dyer’s Eve

    Geneva will be Iran’s first nuclear target.

    • Drakken

      no, it has too much money there, it will be a allied target or Israel proper.

    • turk182

      Nuking Geneva accomplishes NOTHING. it would be a waste of a costly and hard-to-obtain nuke.
      Iran’s first use of a nuclear bomb may not be over Israel,but the US,an EMP attack. An EMP attack on the US would set us back to 19th century living conditions we are NOT prepared for,and many millions would die from starvation and disease in the first year. It could mean the end of the US. Iran has been testing SCUD launches from containerships,with HIGH altitude detonations characteristic of an EMP attack,and not usable for attacks with conventional warheads . This type of attack is not needed for Israel,Iran’s IRBMs already can reach Israel. But with the US crippled or destroyed,Iran is free to do as they please,without any other Western nation able or willing to interfere with them.

      • Painted Horse

        I agree. As the Great Satan we are, in their eyes, the head of the snake. Why would they nuke their own backyard and the capital of their nation.

  • Donald J DaCosta

    How can the U.S. Congress re-institute and enforce a punishing sanctions regime on Iran given Obama’s veto power, a spineless Republican opposition and without the full cooperation of its European “allies”? Not to mention stiff opposition from the world’s manufacturing industries who’ve likely been ramping up production to take advantage of this “windfall.”

    As in the physical world, rebuilding the sanctions dam will take a lot longer than blowing it up.

    Speaking of “blowing it up,” exercising that option, perhaps the only one with a hope of preventing Iran, under its present leadership, from acquiring nuclear weapons, will result in world condemnation against the perpetrator; a reality Israel is sure to be keenly aware of.

    And speaking of choices, allow Iran to get the bomb, a country whose theocratic leadership has loudly proclaimed, to anyone listening, that Israel is
    a cancer that must be eliminated, or defy the world already aligned against it and go for Iran’s jugular?

    Israel is between the proverbial rock and a hard place but will not likely sit idly by while its very existence is being threatened by the Muslim fanatics in Tehran. Question is, if successful, will they then be threatened by the Muslim fanatics and appeasers in Washington and around the world?

    Population of Israel: About 8 million
    Population of Iran: About 80 million
    Anti Zionists in D.C. and around the world: ???

    May the God of Israel be with this tiny, democratic, civilized oasis in a part of
    the world that despises its citizens and considers the land they walk on to be rightfully theirs.

    • Erudite Mavin

      The Republicans are the ones who are fighting Obama and his Iranian friends.
      It is the spineless Libertarians such as Ron Paul who is pounding away on his site against Sanctions on Iran.
      Ron Paul has stated , Iran is not a threat and has a right to have nuclear weapons.
      HIs site is a pro Iran, pro Muslim Brother Hood cheering arena.
      The Republicans stand alone against the Democrats and Libertarians
      in exposing and understanding Iran is the enemy

      • HettyT

        The Republicans are part of the problem. Just look at all those RINOs! If we had Republicans who had any backbone or ‘principles,’ we wouldn’t be in the dire straights we find ourselves in.

        • Erudite Mavin

          You either don’t follow politics and world affairs and or are a typical Democrat or neo Marxist libertarian

      • antisharia

        Amen.

      • Donald J DaCosta

        I admire your loyalty to the republicans. I’m a conservative who unenthusiastically voted for John McCain in 2008 and Mitt Romney in 2012 but am perhaps less sanguine about the republican leadership, in both the house and the senate.
        They demonstrate on a regular basis that they do not know how to effectively deal with the predominant progressive left that has gained control of almost every venue, in the U.S. and around the world, dedicated to mass communication.

        That the progressive movement has taken nearly complete control of academia, the fertile garden where the weed of progressive ideology grows, is a major catastrophe that will
        take decades to correct. And this is all our fault, not just our
        political ideology, but our complacency. The left has gained considerably and become more progressive while the right now wallows in the pit of disrespect, disrepute and despair where the left has successfully put us. Rush Limbaugh, Mark Levin, Sean Hannity, Ann Coulter, David Horowitz, etc., etc., all strong conservative voices, are portrayed as evil incarnate. As are Ted Cruz, Mike Lee, the Tea Party and all whom they support. And what is the republican establishment response? Join the opposition in their condemnations? To what purpose? To curry favor with these hacks?

        Back when GW Bush was president, a man I truly like and admire but thought too passive when responding to the almost daily barrage of mendacious accusations against him and his administration, you may remember the huge kerfuffle over the Scooter Libby incident. The original democratic attack machine falsely accused Libby of “outing” Valerie Plame, an alleged covert CIA operative but, when it later came out that the leak to syndicated columnist Robert Novak actually came from Richard Armitage, deputy Secretary of State, rather than drop the case special prosecutor Patrick Fitzgerald charged Libby with 5 counts of perjury, lies rather than lapses in memory, “intentionally” told by Libby to a Grand Jury during the course of his “investigation.” I’m left wondering, “investigation” into what exactly? True to
        form, GW Bush later pardoned Libby rather than declare him acquitted, innocent of the charges. Don’t want to stir up that progressive hornets nest do we.

        If needed, you can research this for yourself but the point here is to compare the vendetta committed by democrats over what they ginned up as a major scandal, leading right
        to GW himself, with the near total blackout of a growing number of scandals at least a few of which are far more egregious than ostensibly “lying” under oath with regard to a crime one did not commit.

        And what has been the republican establishment response? Much ado about serious allegations regarding what the Obama administration refers to as “phony scandals,”
        accompanied by a refusal to appoint a special prosecutor to
        investigate any of these. Perhaps three of the biggest, certainly of far greater import than perjury, Benghazi, Extortion 19 and the IRS overt attack against the Tea Party, conservatives, organizations with the words “freedom” or “liberty” in their title, etc., where is the clamor for justice? Where is the republican furor against a president who overtly states his intention to circumvent the constitution using a pen and a phone to write and implement executive orders thus circumventing those “obstructionist, do nothing” republicans who currently dominate in the House of Representatives?
        Where is the furor over the Obama administrations numerous overt violations of the Constitution?

        I respect your right to your opinion but do not see any evidence of republicans recognizing America’s plight and doing anything of substance to confront what is the virulent, anti American agenda of Obama and every political
        appointment, executive order, legislative, foreign and economic policy initiative he’s responsible for. We, republicans, libertarians, conservatives and traditional democrats, are losing this fight because our leadership is more interested in smoothing ruffled feathers in an environment where the ruffling of those feathers is controlled by a very dedicated, effective and extensive progressive attack machine. If the so called “right” loses this fight, America, as we’ve known and loved it, will cease to exist. It is long past the time when republicans, conservatives, libertarians and traditional democrats demand a more assertive, aggressive, “in your face” approach coupled with a concerted effort to explain and clarify the principles that were and are what made America, the one Ronald Reagan referred to in his farewell address as “the shining city on a hill,”
        http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=332QeTNmfh8
        Where is our modern day Ronald Reagan?

        • Erudite Mavin

          Following politics and world affairs since a kid in the 1950s, the Republican today are on the issue of Obama and his disasters.
          their speeches on the floor of congress to interviews on FOX and more.
          One of our 5 congressmen here in San Diego, Issa and his committee who have been stonewalled, lied to are still on Benghazi, IRS,and more and won’t give up
          along with tens of dozens of other Republicans in the House and Senate.
          BTW, I remember the Libby issue very well. Another Democrat manufactured issue.
          If the Republicans were allowed on CBS, NBC, ABC, MSNBC, CNN, PBS, you would hear more of their comments and exposing Obama, Hillary and the rest of the Democrats.
          In todays society which is more left thanks to the MSM and Public School who have had over 60 years brainwashing kids, the now voters. Reagan would not be elected.
          I worked at Reagan’s headquarters here when he first ran for Gov. met and spoke with him saw him many times then and many times in person when he was Pres. Great man.

  • sendtheclunkerbacktochicago

    Don’t worry about Barry Soetoro (aka Barack Hussein Obama). Come March 2014 there will be “universe shattering” evidence seen around the world that will end this Fraud in Chief’s reign of terror on America. He will get a double dose of reality when Operation American Spring comes crashing his party on the weekend of May 16th, 2014. Pass this along to as many as possible. The goal is to have 10 MILLION protesting patriots in DC that weekend and beyond.

    http://thelastgreatstand.com/lgs/2014/01/15/militia-mobilization-under-way-for-may-16th-senior-chief-geoff-ross-u-s-navy-ret-o-a-s-update/#comment-16296

  • turk182

    Iran already built TWO nuclear sites in secret,only reported to the IAEA after they were completed and exposed by Iranian dissidents. So there’s no reason why they couldn’t build more secret enrichment sites,to go to weapons-grade.
    also,Iran is currently testing a new,more advanced centrifuge,and getting them ready to put them into production. At the end of this 6 months,Iran will start them up and begin enrichment of more uranium. They aren’t making them only to never use them.
    Besides,since Iran didn’t comply with the NPT,the FIRST “agreement”,why should they with this second,TEMPORARY “agreement”? Especially after we’ve relaxed the sanctions.

  • kikorikid

    Obama has already shown his proclivity to Shariah Compliance.
    “Workplace Violence”… is Shariah Compliant.
    As for Isreal holding back and not acting hastily,
    When Isreal does act it will already be late. Probabley after
    a nuclear device has gone off in Haifa Harbour. But then
    Isreal will catchup really quickly, and everlastingly.