An Alternative “Peace” Scenario for the Middle East


palIsrael’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is scheduled to fly to Washington on March 2, 2014, where he will address the AIPAC Conference. The following day, Netanyahu will meet with U.S. President Barack Obama in the White House. The two will likely focus their talks on the ongoing negotiations over Iran’s nuclear program, and the Israeli- Palestinian peace process led by Secretary of State John Kerry.

Kerry, according to Israeli sources, is preparing to present the framework for an agreement which would include Palestinian recognition of Israel as the nation state of the Jews, side by side with Israel’s recognition of Palestine as the nation state of the Palestinian.  Regarding borders, Kerry’s document is said to note that the negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians will be based on the 1967 lines, allowing for land swaps, and taking into consideration demographic changes that have occurred in recent decades.

Some pundits have concluded that PM Netanyahu may accept Secretary of State John Kerry’s framework proposal. A plan, that according to Charles Jacobs, co-founder of Americans for Peace and Tolerance, “pushes the Jewish state back to the 1967 lines, with land swaps, abandons 25-30% of Jewish ‘settlers’ behind those lines, and cedes or leases to the PA for a dozen or so years the Jordan Valley, long valued by both Labor and Likud as Israel’s protective barrier, without which there will exist an Arab land bridge from Baghdad to the gates of Tel Aviv.”

Then, there is another scenario to be considered… attending the Bar Mitzvah celebration of a mutual acquaintance, both PM Netanyahu and Professor Israel (Robert) Aumann, the recipient of 2005 Nobel Prize in Economics (a prize he shared with Thomas Schelling for their work on conflict and cooperation through game-theory analysis), have a discussion.

Netanyahu approaches Aumann, a professor at the Hebrew University in Jerusalem, with a request to prepare a scenario in which a war breaks out five years after Israeli forces withdraw from Judea and Samaria (West Bank). Netanyahu urges Aumann to use his vast knowledge in game-theory analysis to prepare a report, which he plans to show Obama in a private meeting.

Professor Aumann provides Netanyahu with a 92-page report, which details the development of operation “Steel Punch,” also known by the people as the “war without Judea and Samaria.” Using data from the Second Lebanon War (2006) and the Gaza War (Cast Lead, 2008-2009), Aumann notes that…almost immediately after statehood, the Palestinians announce a plan for the buildup of an industrial and agricultural infrastructure that requires the aerial shipment and importation of heavy equipment. Soon thereafter, Israel’s intelligence services would discover that along with the importation of “heavy equipment,” sophisticated arms manufacturing equipment is being smuggled in for the construction of missiles of various ranges, armored cars, and explosives.

Three years following the establishment of an independent Palestinian state in 97% of the West Bank territory, including the Gaza Strip and a land bridge that would connect between Gaza and the West Bank, the Palestinians would inaugurate two airports, an international airport somewhere between Ramallah and Nablus, and a domestic airport in Gaza.

Five years following the establishment of an independent Palestinian state, a war against the Jewish State will break out on all fronts: Lebanon, Gaza, and the West Bank.

The Islamic Republic of Iran, which had signed an agreement with the P5+1 five years earlier, allowing inspection by IAEA inspectors of its nuclear facilities, provides the nascent Palestinian state with the so-called industrial and agricultural “heavy equipment,” that was a mere cover for  arms shipments. Let us recall that Abu Mazen (Mahmoud Abbas), President of the Palestinian Authority, vowed in an interview with the New York Times (February 2, 2014) that “We will be demilitarized.”

The same Iranian regime that would provide “industrial and agricultural heavy equipment,” demands as a quid-pro-quo that at a given signal the Palestinians in Gaza and the West Bank and Hezbollah in Lebanon launch a massive bombardment of Israel covering the entire length of the country. The ostensible excuse for the war on Israel, as expressed by the Prime Minister of Palestine Marwan Barghouti (currently in Israeli prison), is that Israel failed to carry out its commitments on the “Palestinians right of return.”

Professor Aumann’s report covers the various actions taken by the combatants including the hurried mobilization of the Israeli reserve forces. Fighting occurs between the IDF and Arab-Israeli “Fifth-Columnists” who deliberately block the crossroads on the way to mobilization points. Israeli Arabs openly express their support for the war against Israel in spite of being victimized by the Palestinian heavy bombardment of Israel.

Professor Aumann presents in his report, the balance sheet of the war that lasts a month and a half. Greater Tel Aviv in particular, pays the heaviest price in destruction and casualties as a result of the war. The war does, however bring about full unity between the political Left and Right in Israel. This unity results in a forceful Israeli response. It lifts all restraints from the IDF as Israel faces the possible destruction of its Third Commonwealth. The Palestinians and Palestine pay an even heavier price for their aggression. The loss of life on the Palestinian side is horrendous.

PM Netanyahu, in presenting the report to President Obama says, “My dear friend President Obama, the State of the Jewish People, the State of Israel, where the People of the Book assembled after 2000 years of persecution and exile, are unwilling to step off the pages of history as a defeated nation. We are in opposition to an additional sovereign state between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea.”

In his article at Aish.com, titled The Blackmailer Paradox: Game Theory and Negotiations with Arab Countries, Professor Aumann writes: “The political relationship between Israel and Arab countries is conducted according to the principles of this (Blackmailer) paradox. The Arabs (that of course refers to the Palestinians) present rigid and unreasonable opening positions at every negotiation. They convey confidence and assurance in their demands, and make certain to make absolutely clear to Israel that they will never give up on any of these requirements. Absent an alternative, Israel is forced to yield to blackmail due to the perception that it will leave the negotiating room with nothing if it is inflexible.”

PM Netanyahu has choices to make. He will likely press President Obama on stopping Iran’s continued advancement of its nuclear program, and call for sanctions to be strictly maintained. Obama will press back, demanding that Israel comply with Kerry’s framework for peace. Netanyahu will probably accept the ‘framework’ with some reservations. The Palestinians might be persuaded to recognize Israel as the national state of the Jewish People, but will then demand “the right of return” of Palestinian refugees, or alternatively, call for the immediate and total control over the Jordan Valley. Should the Palestinians fully accept the Kerry framework parameters, it is all the more imperative for Netanyahu to present Obama with the Aumann scenario. Israeli governments in the past have rejected U.S. administration pressures and threats when Israel’s vital security interests were imperiled.  PM Netanyahu should do no less.

*

Don’t miss Jamie Glazov’s video interview with Mudar Zahran, a secular leader of Palestinians in Jordan who has been living in exile in the UK since 2010. He calls out John Kerry on his Mideast “Peace” Plan — and asks why a U.S. Secretary of State is threatening Israel to commit suicide:

To sign up for The Glazov Gang: Click here.

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  • Zeke

    In the big picture, India, Black Africa, China, Myanmar, Russia, several European countries, and possibly a post-m’bama America, are just about ready for total war. Israel’s victory won’t occur in a vacuum.

  • Bamaguje

    Under no circumstance must Netanyahu accept the Kerry-Obama peace plan, which would be suicide for Israel.
    Despite their public pretenses otherwise, Kerry & Obama do not mean well for Israel as evident by their servile capitulation to Iran’s nuclear program.
    In fact Israel should suspend relations with America until there’s a more friendly president in the White House.

    • sustapha

      Why not they befriend Muhammad way of life?

      • Drakken

        Because your Mohamed(may you pizz on his dusty bones) is an abomination to humanity, that is why, and the infidels are waking up to the fact that you muslims are a danger to us all.

        • sustapha

          If he is in deed an abomination to humanity, why has that abomination yet to be changed? He asked for an alternative. Tell us.

        • Abe Bird

          You said it as it is. I am sure that the Muslim knows it as we’ll.

      • Moa

        Mohammed was the MOST EVIL MAN THAT EVER LIVED.

        He was a slaver, rapist, pedophile, warlord, torturer, assassin, liar, deceiver, thief, murder, and racist.

        We utterly reject Mohammed based on our knowledge of the Qur’an, ahadith and Sunna.

        I suggest you learn the truth about warlord Mohammed, the truth that Islam hides to keep you enslaved:
        http://www.wikiislam.net/wiki/Main_Page

        • sustapha

          How could he have been a warlord when he said, “Do not manufacture arms and fight with your tongue?” Please learn that truth from www//sbpra.com/allamadrsanisalihmustapha. Be civilized! Let us talk on education.

          • Hass

            I can see from your uneducated comments, you’re in over your head with FPM commenters.
            As an Ex-Muslim, I can assure you the majority of them know more about Islam than most Muslims themselves do.

          • Moa

            Thank you Hass, you honor us greatly.

            All the best in your apostasy :) I wish the World had many, many more decent and moral people like you.

            Warmest regards from New Zealand.

          • Hass

            G’day there Moa, I see you’re my neighbour.

            He needed to be told. And the sad thing is, the majority of Westerners have the same view.

            Thank you for your kind words BTW :)

          • Moa

            Dear sustapha, please have a look at the life of Mohammed. The life that the Sunna and ahadith speak about, but they do not tell you.

            Again, please have a look at this site before you comment:
            http://www.wikiislam.net/wiki/Main_Page

            Then come back and tell us that Mohamed was not the most evil person that ever lived – once you know what he actually did.

            Muslims are usually very good people, but your ideology of Islam is not, it is very evil and inhumane, just like Mohammed was.

            Peace.

          • sustapha

            Moa, it is not possible to learn about Muhammad by reading few lines in many years. You have read the text in the original language and not the translation of those who pose as understanding Arabic. Arabic is different from understanding Islam. What you read is mostly under reporting if at all close to the truth. If
            you will not listen to us to correct what false Greeco-Latin
            translates. Secondly, we have totally a different understanding of the word “Islam”. You regard Islam as Muhammadenism while it is submitting to the Laws of the Lord of the universe. Muhammad disallows us to talk to illiterates. How can you insist on http:www.wikiislam.net/wiki and refuse to read www//sbpra.com/allamadrsanisalihmustapha and also http//sanisalihmustapha.com. I viewed http:www.wikiislam.net/wikiand those websites contains what is to edited. One of the etiquette of Muhammad is in Qur’an 6:68and 108. Our etiquette is explain for if not done one will be held responsible for concealment. Please let us be on that frame. None is asking one to believe in what Muhammad says.

            Submit.

          • Ikaros3

            Sounds like a lot of, “taqiyyah” to me. We really don’t need to read anything. We just see the actions your incestuous comrades do around the world. Very very sad. You go ahead and submit. We will not submit to you. My ancestors in Greece were in slavery for over 400 years. They did not submit to the Turks and finally slaughtered them and drove them out of Greece. Does the quran tell you to kill infidels and enslave them? That’s what happened in Greece and everywhere else in the world.

            I would like to take a moment and give thanks to Charles “The Hammer” Martel for stopping the spread of islam in Europe, and for that matter, the rest of the world. You see, if it wasn’t for him, Europe would have been taken over by this fake religion that calls for death if you’re not muslim.

          • sustapha

            If you do not have to read then know that scientific knowledge is advancing and that one has to abide by the knowledge of his physician, his airline captain, his motor mechanic etc. But when it comes to knowledge of what Muhammad that is a culdesac. But how are civilized are then the Greeks? I thought you are rational and not arrogant. I am not asking you to submit to me but just to argue with you in the manner Moses told his brothers: Come over here! (Gen 33:26.)
            How could Muhammad command me to kill one when that was forbidden in Genesis and Exodus.20:13.

            Come over here.

          • Ikaros3

            Since when do you care about Moses and Genesis? He is an infidel and religions other that islam do not count, am I correct?

            Now, are you going to ignore my question about what the muslims did to Greece for over 400 years? Your quran embraces what was done, correct? Kill all infidels. The Greeks are trying to stop your comrades of building a mosque in Athens. Can you imagine after getting rid of the Turks that any Greek would want to see a minaret in their homeland? A reminder of the rapes, pillaging and murderous atrocities of the past. Is that what islam teaches? Keeping infidels down? Please respond to that. Don’t forget about the massacre of over 1,000,000 Armenians that the Turks still deny. You see? Many examples of what the quran and hadith teaches. You may be able to quote some nice things from quran, but you will not quote the terrible verses from it. I have “palestinian” friends and they confirmed me those terrible verses.

          • sustapha

            First of all define Islam and Qur’an as you learned definitions in school. For example what is what is the difference between a woman and a man.

          • Ikaros3

            How did I know that you would ignore my question of what islam did to Greece? You can’t defend that.

          • sustapha

            I do not know how you were taught in your schools. The teacher defines explains and demonstrates. Please help me know how the Greeks define Islam.

          • iluvisrael

            LAN ASTASLEM!

          • Drakken

            I will never bloody ever submit to the devils religion, period, end of story. If you try to enforce it upon us, your going to be unpleasantly, horrifically surprised as I return the favor with a Crusades.

          • sustapha

            There is no one with sense of direction who will ever use the word crusade today. You use it out of ignorance. There are many crusades from 1097 and I do not know which one you are referring to. It is forbidden by Muhammad to talk to ignorant people. Please tell your ignorant people about Pope Urban II on the council he summoned at Placentia in March 1095 and at Clermont in November 1095.

          • Hass

            Oh please, enough with your preposterous presentation of Islam. Your absurd “lost in translation” nonsense about the Quaran and Hadith’s is laughable.

            I challenge you to prove me wrong. Go to any reputable Anti Islam Site and compare their translations with the Official Islamic world authority on Islam and you’ll be surprised. But then again, I bet you already know that.

            As I said in my previous comment that you conveniently chose to ignore, you are in way above your head with FPM commenters.

            I suggest you stick with those clueless Left sites.

  • nopeacenow

    Israel should not make any concessions without parallel concessions agreed to by the Palestinians. Israeli concessions once made cannot be withdrawn and are used a basis for next round of negotiations.

  • Borderlegion

    Why dont these people get it. In WAR some lose and some win in 1967 there was a WAR, the palestinians lost. Why would Israel ever consider giving up any land. And why would anyone in their right mind listen to the Horse Head (john kerry). I do believe he could screw up a one car funeral.

    • nood2

      “Why would Israel give up any land?”
      OK, what would you do with the Arabs, who are not citizens of Israel?
      What would you do with them?

      • Borderlegion

        Send them to other like minded sand boxes

        • nood2

          So, let me get this straight, you are in favour of deporting all Arabs, whether they be Christian or Muslim, from the West Bank?
          Where are you going to deport them to?

          • Borderlegion

            Listen I never asked that anyone be deported form the west bank, what I find ridiculous is that Israel is being asked to give up land that it conquered in WAR. Not taking any more land but NOT giving up anymore either. As far as the Arabs in the west bank, I personally don’t think I could care less, nope couldn’t.

          • nood2

            OK, let’s say that Israel does not give up any land conquered in the 6 Day War.
            What do you do with the Arab population that today, inhabits the land conquered in the 6 Day War.
            Today, they have no status or citizenship.
            Their Arab brothers, surrounding Israel, refuse them status of any kind.
            What do you do with them?

          • Drakken

            Do you really want an answer to that question?

          • nood2

            Yes

          • Drakken

            The muslims will never ever give the Jews/Christians peace unless it is peace of the grave, as for the muslims, killem all and let allah sortem out. It is a lesson to the rest of the muslims savages as to their fate if they come for more.

          • nood2

            Ok, how do you see it unfolding “killem all”

          • Drakken

            The muslims will push another war upon Israel, and Israel, hopefully learns its lessons that you cannot make nice with these savages and gives them the total war option, Gaza would make a nice modern day Carthage, for a start.

          • 1Indioviejo1

            Syria looks good for now.

          • nood2

            OK, thanks for answering my questions.

      • Drakken

        The ragheads will push for their own destruction, give it to hard.

      • Bamaguje

        Wrong!! About 20% of Israeli citizens are Arab.
        Palestinians already have their own state – Jordan.

        In 1922 British mandated Palestine was partitioned between Arabs & Jews. Arabs got the lion share (77%) in that partition, while Jews got 23% including West bank & Gaza.
        By that deal, which is the last binding International agreement on Palestine, it’s the Palestinians in West bank & Gaza who are occupying Jewish territory.

        • nood2

          Please answer my question.
          I’ll re-phrase it for you.
          Fact, there are people of Arab origin, both Christian and Muslim, who lived and are currently living in the West Bank, who fell victims to the current situation of Israeli occupation.
          What would you do with them, as they have no status in Israel or any of Israel’s neighbours, like Jordan.
          Should they be given Israeli citizenship?

          • Bamaguje

            Kick them out if they refuse to submit to Israeli rule… just as Jews were expelled from Arab countries.

            After Israel reclaimed West bank & Gaza in the 1967 war, many Palestinians wanted to leave, as they couldn’t stomach the idea of living under Jewish rule.

            But the shortsighted do-gooder in Moshe Dayan (then Israeli defense minister) unwisely dissuaded them from leaving, in the hope of building reconciliation with Arabs by showing that Jews and Arabs could live peacefully together.

          • nood2

            And if they accept Israeli rule, what then?

      • 1Indioviejo1

        IMHO, I would beat them down until they have no more fight in them for 100 years.

        • nood2

          Thanks for answering my question

      • gawxxx

        kick them out

      • iluvisrael

        Do what Israel has done for decades – there are 57 islamic countries – they should absorb moslems just like Israel, a tiny country, has absorbed Jews from every part of the world. The trouble is, arab countries don’t want palestinians.

        • nood2

          Right on.
          So what is Israel to do?
          Nobody wants this Palestinian junk, including the Palestinians themselves.
          Israel keeps trying to get them to say YES to their state, and they keep saying NO to their own statehood.

  • Habbgun

    First thing Israel should do is pull out of the United Nations. By staying there they only justify “world opinion”. They should never go back to 1967 boundaries. They gave up Sinai and that will be their contribution to this so-called peace process. If the Palestinians don’t like that see if they can get Egypt to give back Sinai as a precondition. Good luck with that.

  • Joel Cairo

    Obama wants to destroy Israel just as he wants to destroy the USA. He supports the Iranian bomb and would like nothing better than for it to be used. Anything that this outlaw regime proposes should be rejected out of hand

  • http://historyscoper.com/ T.L. Winslow

    What do Obama and Kerry think Israel has stamped on its forehead, the word DUMBASS? Millions of peaches, peaches for free by the Presidents of the United States of America on President’s Day :)

  • Mamabear

    Next two coming wars, Israel will win, fighting alone. the last war in this age is when Russia brings ALL nations against Israel. Guess who will win, G-d a G-d the only G-d who cannot lie..It will be Israel and those who love HER, bless HER and suport HER and worship the only G-d..PERIOD

    • Drakken

      Sorry to burst your bubble but, Russia in the end helps save the west, not destroy it.

      • gawxxx

        facts?

        • Drakken

          Whether you follow biblical or ancient philosophe’s and prophesies , one thing is common, the Russians in the end are allies, not enemies.

    • Bamaguje

      I seriously doubt that Russia wants Israel’s destruction.

  • Drakken

    When confronted by this abomination, I say give WAR a chance! Israel, and take off the velvet glove and put on the mailed fist, these bloody savages will never ever give you peace unless it is peace of the grave, I say put the muslim savages in the grave before they do it to you.

  • sustapha

    The concrete and final solution to Israel winning is given in www//sbpra.com/allamadrsanisalihmustapha views. The Israelites know more than any race that arms do not bring peace and prosperity.

    • Drakken

      Utter BULLSH*T! The only thing you bloody savages understand and respect is force, period. Your allah(devil) the false God is a blight upon humanity. When there are no more muslims there will be peace.

      • gawxxx

        the extermination of islam is the only answer , all of them ,

        • Drakken

          I agree. Sooner or later it will come to exactly that.

          • sustapha

            The Goliath could have killed David.

          • Drakken

            Coulda, shoulda, woulda, didn’t.

        • sustapha

          Mother Nature you mean?

    • 1Indioviejo1

      Sustapha you are an ignorant fool. In WW II we beat the crap out of Germany and Japan, and for now they are our allies. We have had 68 years of peace with them, so I believe if we nuked the G-med Muslims to near extinction we will have peace from that quarter for centuries.

      • sustapha

        Peace manufacturing weapons of mass destruction selling to to others to fight their brothers? Peace with 99.9% below the poverty line?

  • wileyvet

    What other country in the world has had to endure what Israel has? There is no other nation that would tolerate its neighbours being in a perpetual hostile state, and aggressively killing its citizens. For 70 years plus, the Arabs have been committing depredations on Israel. If Israel disappeared tomorrow, the Arabs would still be the dysfunctional culture they always have been. It is not a problem of Jews, but one of Muslim Arabs. The problem is Islam, not Israel. One cannot be expected to negotiate with a people, whose sworn purpose is your extermination is their opening offer.

  • Hass

    Oh goody, let us except Kerry’s plan and commit suicide on mass, just so he could get that meaningless Nobel Peace Prize. Just like his boss and many of the other undeserving twats who had it handed to them.