Obama's Admission that Deal Will Give Iran a Zero Breakout Time Should be a Gamechanger

And so the buck will get passed until the boom.

This is the closest that Obama has come to admitting that his deal is a dead end. Even if it works as he has billed it, it passes the buck while promising that the time for action will always exist... unless there's a miscalculation, in which case, Boom.

Defending an emerging nuclear deal, President Barack Obama said Iran would be kept a year away from obtaining a nuclear weapon for more than a decade, but conceded Tuesday that the buffer period could shrink to almost nothing after 13 or more years

Obama, whose top priority at the moment is to sell the framework deal to critics, was pushing back on the charge that the deal fails to eliminate the risk because it allows Iran to keep enriching uranium. He told NPR News that Iran will be capped for a decade at 300 kilograms — not enough to convert to a stockpile of weapons-grade material.

“What is a more relevant fear would be that in Year 13, 14, 15, they have advanced centrifuges that enrich uranium fairly rapidly, and at that point, the breakout times would have shrunk almost down to zero,” Obama said.

Although Obama acknowledged that Iran’s breakout time could shrink, he said at least the world would have better insight into Iran’s capabilities because of extensive inspections in the earlier years.

“The option of a future president to take action if in fact they try to obtain a nuclear weapon is undiminished,” Obama said.

Of course it will be diminished because all this assumes that we know the full extent of Iran's capabilities. There's no certainty that we do or that we will. Sanctions relief makes it easier for Iran to scale up its nuclear capabilities while playing the same familiar games. The breakout time will have the most optimistic possible projections because Hillary Clinton certainly won't want to be pushed into a corner of having to do something about Iran. And so the buck will get passed until the boom.

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