2012 Presidential Election

Are Atheists the New Swing Vote?

Obama did lose religious voters in swing states, but not by a large enough margin. Irreligious voters are less of a group and more of a symptom. But they are also a reminder that this is not an economic debate, but a culture war, and that the social issues cannot be detached from the political issues.

Why the Republican Party Can't Win Without the Tea Party

A Republican Party that caters to an establishment elite is never going to be able to replicate the radical left's organizing efforts. So there are two choices here. Organize and radicalize or lose. The Republican Party can no longer win a race against a radical leftist without the Tea Party.

Republican Establishment Rushes to Surrender to Obama

The GOP chased the voters it didn't have. The Democrats chased the voters they did have and made sure as many of them as possible showed up to vote. The GOP softened its message. The Democrats hardened theirs. The GOP tried to be moderate. The Democrats tried to be extremist. Guess which plan worked?

The Latino Vote and the DREAM Act

In the short term, getting 44 percent of the Latino vote can win elections. In the long term you're shifting the demographics so that winning elections becomes impossible. And that's at 44 percent. Imagine it at 31 percent. Then imagine running against the first Democratic Mexican candidate for president.