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	<title>FrontPage Magazine &#187; prostate</title>
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		<title>If Ayatollah Khamenei Dies, What Next?</title>
		<link>http://www.frontpagemag.com/2014/majid-rafizadeh/if-ayatollah-khamenei-dies-what-next/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=if-ayatollah-khamenei-dies-what-next</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Oct 2014 04:40:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Majid Rafizadeh]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Daily Mailer]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Ayatollah Khameini]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.frontpagemag.com/?p=243066</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Preparing for the post-Khamenei era. ]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="color: #1a1a1a;"><a href="http://cdn.frontpagemag.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/10653322_941581589191709_3639992395284817096_n.jpg"><img class="alignleft  wp-image-243067" src="http://cdn.frontpagemag.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/10653322_941581589191709_3639992395284817096_n.jpg" alt="10653322_941581589191709_3639992395284817096_n" width="298" height="270" /></a>The news regarding the health of the Islamic Republic’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has become unprecedented in the last few months. Several other indications suggest that Khamenei&#8217;s health is not only deteriorating but it is cause for a security concern. For example,  following Khamenei’s recent surgery on his prostate, high level officials such as Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, Hassan Rouhani, and Mahmoud Ahmadinejad made an unprecedented visit to the ailing leader.</p>
<p style="color: #1a1a1a;">This issue raises the question of what will happen if Iran’s current Supreme Leader, who has the final say in the Islamic Republic’s domestic and foreign policy affairs, dies. Who would be the successor? Will the Islamic Republic refashion its foreign policy towards the West, particularly the United States and Israel?</p>
<p style="color: #1a1a1a;">First of all, we have to understand Iran’s political structure and power relations in order to develop possible projections. Iran’s Supreme Leader, Velayateh Faqhih, is chosen by the Assembly of Experts, which has 86 members. According to Iran’s revised constitution, “In the event of the death, resignation, or dismissal of the leader, the (Assembly of Experts) shall take steps within the shortest possible time for the appointment of the new leader. Until the appointment of the new leader, a council consisting of the president, head of the judiciary, and a jurist from the Guardian Council, upon the decision of the nation’s Expediency Council, shall temporarily take over all the duties of the Leader.”</p>
<p style="color: #1a1a1a;">Although Iranian people elect the members of the Assembly of Experts, it is crucial to point out that the Guardian Council, another crucial political power, vets the candidates beforehand. Only the previously selected members can run for the Assembly of Experts. In other words, the election is just a façade and purely ceremonial. In addition, the turnout for the elections for the members of the Assembly of Experts has always been very low. This is due to the fact that many Iranian people question the legitimacy of these candidates or do not believe that their votes can bring fundamental change.</p>
<p style="color: #1a1a1a;">The members of the Guardian Council, on the other hand, are either directly selected by Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (six members), or by the Judiciary and Majlis, Iran’s parliament (the other six members).</p>
<p style="color: #1a1a1a;">The other key player in making decisions in selecting the next Supreme Leader is the Expediency Council, which oversees disputes over legislation between the Guardian Council and the Islamic Republic’s parliament. It is worth noting that the members of the Expediency Council are also selected by the Supreme Leader. In other words, the aforementioned political bodies have never questioned the decisions, the power, or the political and divine authority of the Supreme Leader.</p>
<p style="color: #1a1a1a;"><strong>The Most Crucial Player in Post-Khamenei Era</strong></p>
<p style="color: #1a1a1a;">Without a doubt, when it come to choosing the next Supreme Leader and making a decision on the nation’s post-Khamenei era, the most powerful political organization is Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). First of all, the IRGC not only militarily and politically controls the domestic and foreign affairs of the Islamic Republic, but it also owns main economic sectors of the country. Under the rule of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps gained more power to suppress domestic oppositions and intervene in domestic affairs of other countries in the Middle East. In addition, the senior cadre of IRGC has control over Iran’s nuclear program.</p>
<p style="color: #1a1a1a;">As a result, having control over the economy, military, politics, and nuclear program, the IRGC will wield the most influence in choosing the next Supreme Leader. Although the Assembly of Experts might ceremonially elect another Ayatollah, the future Supreme Leader will have been chosen by the high officials of IRGC in advance. This suggests that it is likely that the IRGC leaders already have an option or list of names in their agenda.</p>
<p style="color: #1a1a1a;">Nevertheless, the key question is what kind of cleric or political figure will the IRGC be looking for as the next Supreme Leader. Although some scholars have put out some names of influential Ayatollahs and clerics as potential and prospective Supreme Leaders for the Islamic Republic, it is less likely that the senior cadre of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps will desire to choose a powerful Supreme Leader who would fully control their activities. In other words, a charismatic, powerful and influential Ayatollah and political figure will be considered a threat to the rule of the senior cadre of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps. The best option for the IRGC is a weak figure whom they can control.</p>
<p style="color: #1a1a1a;">Even when Khamenei was selected, he was considered a weak candidate in comparison to more powerful figures such as Ayatollah Montazeri or Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani at that time. At the time, Khamenei was not even a Mujtahed, a senior jurist who can issue fatwas. As time passed, Khamenei consolidated his power by marginalizing powerful opposition clerics and giving more power to the senior cadre of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps.</p>
<p style="color: #1a1a1a;">In addition, the IRGC will attempt to choose an individual who serves the IRGC’s objectives: obtaining nuclear capabilities, having a monopoly over economic and political affairs, having power in foreign policy and having the capability to intervene in other countries&#8217; affairs without hurdles from any political figures including the Supreme Leader.</p>
<p style="color: #1a1a1a;">In other words, the senior cadre of the IRGC will attempt to further consolidate its political and economic power by selecting a weak candidate. It follows that one should not expect any fundamental changes in the Islamic Republic’s domestic or foreign policies even if Supreme Leader Khamenei dies. In fact, the power of the elite of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps will increase, and their pursuit for regional hegemonic ambitions will intensify.</p>
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		<title>Lockerbie Bomber Megrahi Living in Luxury Villa</title>
		<link>http://www.frontpagemag.com/2010/david-swindle/lockerbie-bomber-megrahi-living-in-luxury-villa/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=lockerbie-bomber-megrahi-living-in-luxury-villa</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Feb 2010 16:43:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[David Swindle]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Abdelbaset]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://frontpagemag.com/?p=51493</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Abdelbaset Ali Mohmed al-Megrahi, who is suffering from terminal prostate cancer, no longer receives hospital treatment after ending the course of chemotherapy that he had been given after returning to his homeland last August. Professor Karol Sikora, the London-based doctor who examined Megrahi and predicted he would be dead by last October, admitted this weekend [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Abdelbaset Ali Mohmed al-Megrahi, who is suffering from terminal prostate cancer, no longer receives hospital treatment after ending the course of chemotherapy that he had been given after returning to his homeland last August.</p>
<p>Professor Karol Sikora, the London-based doctor who examined Megrahi and predicted he would be dead by last October, admitted this weekend that the fact the bomber is still alive might be “difficult” for the families of the 270 victims of the attack.</p>
<p><em><strong><a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/africaandindianocean/libya/7279123/Lockerbie-bomber-Megrahi-living-in-luxury-villa-six-months-after-being-at-deaths-door.html" target="_blank">Read the whole thing.</a></strong></em></p>
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		<title>Six Months Later, Pan Am Bomber is Still Alive &#8211; NBC New York</title>
		<link>http://www.frontpagemag.com/2010/jlaksin/six-months-later-pan-am-bomber-is-still-alive-nbc-new-york/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=six-months-later-pan-am-bomber-is-still-alive-nbc-new-york</link>
		<comments>http://www.frontpagemag.com/2010/jlaksin/six-months-later-pan-am-bomber-is-still-alive-nbc-new-york/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Feb 2010 16:27:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Jacob Laksin]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Abdelbaset]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://frontpagemag.com/?p=50546</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The terrorist who helped bomb Pan Am flight 103 is still alive &#8211; and free &#8211; in Libya nearly six months after Scotland released the mass murderer from prison on &#8220;compassionate&#8221; grounds. Scottish officials had said Abdelbaset Ali al-Megrahi would die within three months from prostate cancer when they announced they would set him free. [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/local-beat/Still-Alive-Pan-Am-Bomber-6-Months-of-Freedom--84394717.html"><img src='http://cdn.frontpagemag.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/lockerbie+bomber-640.jpg' alt='' /></a></p>
<p>The terrorist who helped bomb Pan Am flight 103 is still alive &#8211; and free &#8211; in Libya nearly six months after Scotland released the mass murderer from prison on &#8220;compassionate&#8221; grounds.</p>
<p>Scottish officials had said Abdelbaset Ali al-Megrahi would die within three months from prostate cancer when they announced they would set him free.   But nearly six months later, al-Megrahi is still calling in about twice a month from Libya to authorities in Scotland as part of the terms of his release.</p>
<p>&#8220;It has almost become comical,&#8221; said Bert Ammerman who lost his brother in the bombing.  &#8220;I have to laugh that he has to phone in that he is following his probation terms.  This is a complete insult.  Shame on Scotland.  Shame on the White House.&#8221;</p>
<p>Convicted terrorist Megrahi was set free back on August 21.  He had been sentence to life in prison after being convicted in 2001.  When he landed home in Libya, he was greeted by cheering crowds at the Tripoli airport, some waving Libyan and Scottish flags.</p>
<p>Some members of the Scottish Parliament have called on Justice Secretary Kenny MacAskill to better explain why a second medical opinion was not sought before deciding to release the terrorist.  MacAskill has responded saying the medical report stating Megrahi was dying of terminal cancer is accurate.</p>
<p>He has claimed the three month window was just an approximation. MacAskill charged critics are &#8220;circling like vultures&#8221; wondering when Megrahi might die.  &#8220;He is going to die.  That is why he was released,&#8221; MacAskill said to Scottish Parliament back in January.</p>
<p>Pan Am Flight 103 was en route from London to New york when a bomb exploded in the cargo hold of the mighty jetliner.  270 people were killed including 259 passengers and crew, and 11 people on the ground in the village of Lockerbie.  Megrahi was convicted of helping hide the bomb in a cassette recorder in a suitcase.</p>
<p>Secretary of State Hillary Clinton had said U.S. officials voiced their objections in advance about Scottish authorities plans to release the terrorist.  &#8220;It is obviously wrong to release someone who has been in prison based on the evidence about his involvement in such a horrendous crime,&#8221; Clinton said.</p>
<p>After he was set free, the FBI Director Robert Mueller blasted MacAskill&amp;apos;s decision.  &#8220;Your action in releasing Megrahi is as inexplicable as it is detrimental to the cause of justice. Indeed your action makes a mockery of the rule of law,&#8221; Mueller wrote.</p>
<p>Some victim&amp;apos;s families have charged Megrahi&amp;apos;s release was tied to future oil deals between British oil companies and the Libyan government.  Those allegations have been vehemently denied by British officials and spokesmen for oil firms like British Petroleum.</p>
<p>via <a href="http://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/local-beat/Still-Alive-Pan-Am-Bomber-6-Months-of-Freedom--84394717.html">Six Months Later, Pan Am Bomber is Still Alive | NBC New York</a>.</p>
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