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[Order David Horowitz’s new book, America Betrayed, HERE.]
Consumed with its war in Gaza, and the need to achieve both its goals — that is, to finish off Hamas as a military force, and to have all of the hostages still living to be returned — Israel has been holding back from a major operation in the north, despite the fact that Hezbollah keeps up a steady barrage of rockets, most recently firing 250 of them at northern Israel within 24 hours. The IDF will get to Hezbollah, in a major way, and in due time, but for now it is still in the process of taking apart what it believes are the last four intact battalions of Hamas operatives, hiding in Rafah, well aware that they have to act now, before a not-impossible ceasefire descends — although at the moment it looks like Hamas, demanding absurd changes to the latest deal proposed by Biden, will do as the Arabs so often do, which is to “never miss an opportunity to miss an opportunity.”
The IDF has withheld responding with its full fury to the daily rocket barrages on northern Israel from Hezbollah. Instead, it has made do with tit-for-tat responses, hitting a half-dozen Hezbollah targets one day, and a dozen the next, but all of them carefully calibrated so as not to set off a full-scale war. It’s not a war Hassan Nasrallah wants. On June 11, Israel was able to strike a command-and-control center in the village of Jouaiyya and to kill Taleb Abdallah, the most senior Hezbollah commander killed during the last eight months of hostilities. In response, Hezbollah fired 250 rockets at Israel, with 100 of them fired in a single continuous barrage. There were no Israeli casualties, but the rockets started fires in the north that so far have consumed several thousand acres. Israel has responded with attacks that are more damaging — but only slightly so — than the previous Hezbollah attack.
But Israel will have to soon make a decision as to whether to launch a major campaign, with a ground invasion of south Lebanon, against Hezbollah. The reason is simple: right now much of Israel’s territory on and near the Lebanese border has been emptied out of its population. Sixty thousand people from the north have been displaced for the last eight months, having been forced by Hezbollah attacks to move south to live in hotels, or with relatives or friends. They cannot go back; the Hezbollah attacks make it too dangerous. About the same number of Israelis, who had been living in the south of the country along the border with Gaza, have left their homes to avoid rocket attacks from Hamas.
This means that Israel’s inhabitable land area is “shrinking,” with parts of the country, along both the Gazan and Lebanese borders, now largely empty. When Hamas has been dismantled, and the Gaza campaign at an end, Israelis will be able to return to their homes in the south. But in the north, Hezbollah still remains an active threat, and Israelis are not going to return to homes in the border area with Lebanon until Hezbollah’s constant attacks with missiles and drones come to an end or, at least, are reduced to their pre-October 7 frequency. Right now, the IDF has contented itself with answering each barrage with slightly stronger attacks of its own on command-and-control centers, on weapons depots, and on Hezbollah fighters’ positions.
There are many in the IDF high command who now think that war with Hezbollah cannot be avoided, that in delay there lies no plenty, because Hezbollah is acquiring more and better weapons, some from Iran, via Syria, and some, such as drones, made in its own weapons factories. As soon as it is determined that the Gaza war is coming to a successful conclusion, the IDF must launch a ground offensive into southern Lebanon, along with massive waves of airstrikes to which Hezbollah has no adequate defense. The IDF needs to reduce Hezbollah’s stockpile of 120,000 to 200,000 short-range guided ballistic missiles, short- and intermediate-range unguided ballistic missiles, and short- and long-range unguided rockets, to manageable proportions.
But Hezbollah’s Nasrallah may come to his senses before that IDF ground offensive begins. He has seen what the IDF has done in Gaza, with 80% of the Strip’s built surface heavily damaged or destroyed, and does not want to bring that kind of destruction to Lebanon, where Hezbollah is already hated by the Christians, the Sunnis, and even by some fellow Shi’a, fr bringing such destruction in the past to the country. Nasrallah may decide to ratchet down considerably the attacks from Hezbollah. He is known to be very worried about his own safety; he moves every few days and has joked that “even I don’t know where I am sleeping tonight.” And he has been made even more anxious by the recent pinpoint killing of that senior commander, Taleb Abdullah (Abu Taleb). Obviously, the Israelis know a great deal about the location of Hezbollah’s higher-ups. Nasrallah does not want to be a martyr. And he remembers the war with Israel in 2006, which he later said he would never have started had he known how hard Israel would hit back.
If the Hezbollah rocket barrages do not die down or cease, then Israel — once the Gaza war is essentially over — will be ready to launch airstrikes, send into the sky over Lebanon death-dealing drones, let loose endless artillery barrages, and also start a ground invasion with hundreds of tanks, all dedicated to destroying much of Hezbollah’s massive arsenal, and to pushing Hezbollah operatives much farther back from the border with Israel. The IDF really has no choice. Those 60,000 Israelis need to return to their homes. Israel needs to reclaim, and make habitable again, the western Galilee.
“The IDF really has no choice.”
No it does not.
But will the Biden regime’s apparent policy of “Iran First” (and therefore its proxies) in slow-walking or stopping the resupply of essential war materiel ultimately limit Israel’s choices?
Sadly I think it might.
Maybe what is required is that Israel should launch a nuclear armed Jericho on the largely uninhabited Dasht-e Kavir desert in a message to say enough is enough and an existential threat to Israel is an existential threat to Iran. One which Israel will not hesitate to turn Iran into a shinning sea of green Trinite if the time comes.
I don’t think that Israel needs to use tactical nukes yet. I do think Israel should strike Iran first before it takes on Hezballah.
Israel demonstrated it can overcome Iran’s missile defenses a few weeks ago when it retaliated against Iran’s attack on Israel. A massive attack on Iran’s military assets and secret police forces together with significant destruction of ports, the navy, their long-range missiles, and whatever parts of their nuclear program that can be reached could trigger the rebellion by the Iranian people we have been hoping for..
It is worth a try. We can fight a war with Hezballah anytime. If the regime collapses we will not have to.
Israel’s Islamic enemies have a grand strategy which is to put Israel and its citizens under a semi-permanent terrorist siege from several directions.
The purpose of this siege is to indefinitely make life as miserable and difficult as possible for individual Jews to live in security and reasonable safety and comfort.
These depraved psychopathic murderous Islamic scum, Hamas, Hezbollah, Houthi, the Saudi and Qatar, and all the other “Royal” families are part of this strategy.
They are going to press Israel and Jews to the point where many Jews will feel forced to leave. Israel and create an outflow of Israeli citizens.
This, along with the US government/Biden administration, pressuring Israel and taking an effective position of non-support, will work against the survival of Israel..
This is Biden’s stab in the back and betrayal of Israel.
This is a major policy and strategy move against Israel being implemented by all Islamic and American and UN enemies of Israel and the Jewish people.
It is war against Israel. Make no mistake about it.
Israel. and America should counter this with a devastating attack on all enemies of Israel and the USA.. And that includes all the depraved psychopathic murderous insidious Islamic “Royal” families who are financing and encouraging and facilitating and conducting the ongoing war against Israel for decades. The Islamic OPEC blackmailers must finally be crushed.
IMO this is a rather silly question as the answer is self-determined:
IFF, post Hamas, Hezbollah continue to fire rockets into Israel or to make any such aggressive action on ground, the answer has to be “yes”.
BUT, if Hezbollah ceases to fire rockets and behaves itself (Sure! I can see that happening) there should be no IDF action. However, if it does not, then it fully deserves to be plastered like Hamas.
Whether Israel can go ahead and do so after removing Hamas (and that is still a way off from what I read) would really push the IDF to the extreme as thanks to Biden interference the IDF has now to fight more of a ground war in a built-up area and that is always associated with high casualties and the net result is that the side who can handle the death toll better usually win such a war of attrition.
Hezbollah should be doing their very best to aid Hamas in theory and why they have not attacked full scale seems strange to me. Perhaps they see Hamas as a nuisance and want Gaza themselves. I do not know. But, their failure to actively help Hamas even with a commando raid into Israel or similar seems strange to me.
My guess is that Hamas struck too early and that Hezbollah are not quite ready for a full-scale war but are using the Gaza conflict as a test vehicle for themselves and their future military aims.
Jew hating scumbag from the M.E.
They are trying to tempt Israel into fighting on two fronts. Actually three because the propaganda war is running too, as can be seen in the comment above.
I wonder how many pro-Iran State Dept. reps the Biden administration has moved into Lebanon, how many arms and rockets. meant for Israel, they have moved into Lebanon, and how many deals they have made with Iran in order to sabotage the Israeli effort to defeat the Iran backed terrorists.
It seems they are, for now, biding their time so as to appear they are still supporting Israel, while trying to screw the Netanyahu government.
Islamic Nazism is alive and well in the U.S.. There is an Islamic attack coming, probably after the election.
Keep your powder dry. Stock up on ammo and emergency food. Get ready for Leftist/Islamic riots, particularly in the blue part of the country.
America is quickly heading into civil war in some form as the Biden Junta will never hand over power to Trump so it will be necessary to take it from them; with this in mind i think Trump will pick General Flynn as his VP then plan on fighting for the presidency between election day and inauguration day . The BLM morons and feral migrants will take over the streets so Trump’s first act as president could be to declare martial law and use the NG to shoot some of those creeps That will be a good start
I have always felt Flynn should be VP……..or AG. Tough as nails and probably looking for a little payback for what Comey and the FBI did to him.
Perhaps if you said that you were a muslim or a leftist on the first line I could have saved myself the trouble of reading it The mixture of truth (globalists) and lefto-islamic fantasy is well done I will admit, but WRT to Nukes, you are shaking the wrong tree. Fanatics are the ones who will use nukes with no concern for humanity but a big concern WRT their concept of heaven. Any clues there?
Globalist billionaires have far more practising muslims than practising Christians in the elite group as elite concepts are not compatible with Christian values (the religion NOT the churches) but they fit nicely with islamic ones where anyone muslim or not who is not elite is treated like trash, except in the west. The muslim elite break every muslim law, often openly, but still call themselves muslim and their position and wealth enable escape from sanction.
WRT to the Red Sea and the US dollar you can thank those in the USA who think as you do as well as those they elected by honest or fraudulent means, for that as well as much of what you posted. AFAIAC you being muslim or leftist makes no difference and BTW Assange is wanted by the democrat elite not any conservative ones. Nice try but your bias is showing somewhat I spoke to him once, congratulated him on his courage and then asked why his “revelations’ were so one sided. I wish that I could repeat my words to him and thank him for his turnabout.
Try the Guardian or the Independent or the NYTimes and most there will lap up your posts.
Now you know who and what he is. “Aslan” is a Turkish name.
Peaceful Palestinian demonstrations? that’s an absurd concept!
BTW, Hezbollah….love the little yellow flags with the AK-47 decorations. Maybe you should turn them into the “fancy” green little headband shmatas שמאטע your Iran backed co-terrorists in Gaza wear. What, no smelly keffiyas?
Yellow and green, to go with yellow stripe on your backs, and the color of the vomit you guys spew up on a daily basis.
Got news for ya, tough guys. Israel ain’t going anywhere.
““Hamas is an idea”? Ideas don’t fire thousands of rockets from Gaza, Ideas don’t rape, murder, and kidnap the elderly and children. Ideas don’t put babies in microwaves. Ideas didn’t murder people at a peace festival.
The threat of Hezbollah is there only because Israel lacked the political will to eliminate it when they had multiple previous opportunities. The only answer for Lebanon is to clear out the Muslims and create a recreate it as a Christian Arab state, where Christian Arabs can live free of the oppression of the Muslims.