2024 is a huge question mark for the Dems.
Most of the party doesn’t want Biden or Kamala for 2024. But Biden keeps saying that he’s going to run. Will the Dems try to stop him?
Here’s an early sign, at least by omission, that they are putting up roadblocks.
Less than a year ago, Iowa and New Hampshire appeared poised to lose their privileged places on the Democratic Party’s presidential primary calendar.
But Democrats, including in the White House, suddenly have more pressing problems. And as party leaders gathered in recent days for year-end meetings here, interest in what was once a red-hot effort to overhaul the order of the early nominating states had all but vanished.
Other “pressing matters” include the self-destruction of the party.
The arguments against New Hampshire and Iowa were, among others, that they’re not diverse. But Biden made it through the primaries because of support from black voters. And black voters remain the only Dem base still loyal to Biden.
Moving more diverse electorates up would lead to a primary season in which Biden would begin as the front runner and that would likely ensure that he becomes the nominee.
Keeping New Hampshire and Iowa near the top will at least lead to Biden losing primary races early on.
Iowa and New Hampshire, after fending off challenges to their one-two order in the primary calendar for years, appeared especially vulnerable following the 2020 election. The two heavily white states were derided as insufficiently representative of the Democratic Party’s diverse electorate, while Iowa’s caucuses were marred by delayed results and calculation errors. The eventual nominee, Joe Biden, lost both states badly, further straining their claims to privileged status.
Keep New Hampshire and Iowa there and the challenger to the Left of Biden likely wins them.