Yes, he’s running. Unless his party manages to stop him. And not only is he running, he’s trying to make sure he can’t lose.
President Joe Biden has proposed sweeping changes to the Democratic presidential nominating calendar, upending the current primary lineup to include several states that were key to his 2020 win — and breaking with a half-century of precedent that put Iowa at the front of the line.
The co-chairs of the Democratic National Committee’s Rules and Bylaws committee, which has been charged with reordering the primaries that lead off Democratic presidential contests, announced the White House’s preferences to DNC members during a private dinner Thursday night.
The moves would dramatically change the path to the presidency for future Democratic candidates. The proposal would see South Carolina leading off the 2024 primaries on Feb. 6, followed by New Hampshire and Nevada jointly holding their contests the next week, on Feb. 13, followed by Georgia on Feb. 20 and then Michigan on Feb. 27, according to a person who attended the meeting.
South Carolina gave Biden his critical first primary win on his way to the Democratic nomination in 2020, and Georgia and Michigan gave him crucial general election victories as well, in addition to primary wins.
This isn’t just random chance, it’s demographics.
Biden performs really well with black voters and fairly badly with white voters. South Carolina is locked down for him courtesy of Rep. Clyburn. That primary helped make his candidacy inevitable. Georgia also has a large black Democrat electorate. His preferred primary calendar would give him a few inevitable wins out of the gate while draining any potential opponents of money and support. And, if it’s adopted, would scare off any serious contenders whose only real path forward depends on either major white lefty defections or Latino voters.
So yes, he’s planning to run and his people are also rigging the primaries to make him inevitable.