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You can say a lot of things, most of them unpleasant, about former Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad. But you can’t say he didn’t have a nose for coffee.
He knew what was coming once the Syrian rebel fighters took Aleppo, more than 200 miles to the north.
He flew to Moscow the next day, on November 28, begging for Russian military support, but was given the cold shoulder. By the time the Iranian foreign minister visited him in Damascus on December 2, the rebels were moving south toward Hama and Assad knew it was only a matter of time — and not much of it — before they reached Damascus. Assad was so despondent he didn’t even ask the Iranians for help.
We now know that he secretly flew to Moscow in the wee hours of Sunday morning, December 8, after telling his top generals that help was on the way from Russia. He wasn’t going to get Qaddafied by his own people.
Now the question is, will Iran be next?
The regime’s Supreme Leader has undoubtedly already made his escape plans. Some of my Iranian sources believe he’s got a jet gassed and ready, but that could just be wishful thinking on their part.
What’s sure is this: all those surrounding Khamenei and his generals have been wearing adult diapers for the past week. They are terrified that they could be next.
Once the sleeping giant of the Iranian people awakens and starts to pursue them, they won’t have time to get to the airport. And they know it.
We are living through a momentous upheaval in the Middle East, greater even than the Arab Spring disaster set in motion by Barack Obama.
As President Trump remarked repeatedly to his advisors during his first term, whenever bad things happened in the Middle East, Iran is at the center of it. And now, the Iranian regime has suffered three huge defeats in a matter of weeks, which the legacy media continues to paper over, for reasons that are beyond me.
First, is the defeat in Gaza. Yes, Hamas has been smashed. They still believe they will live to fight another day, but not without Iranian regime assistance. That is why last week we heard rumors that they were getting ready to negotiate with Israel and possibly even release the hostages before Trump is inaugurated.
Second is the defeat in Lebanon. The Israelis smashed Hezbollah, and smashed enough of Lebanon that the Lebanese people and their normally weak-kneed leaders demanded that Hezbollah end their attacks on Israel and get the hell away from the border.
And third, of course, is the fall of Assad.
All three of these defeats involved Iranian proxies, but proxies that the Iranian regime was using to demonstrate their power at home.
The Iranian people can smell the coffee, too.
When the strong horse becomes weak and falters, the vultures swoop down. And they will pick its bones clean. I can’t think of a more fitting demise for the Iranian mullahs.
It reminds me of these words from Rudyard Kipling, when describing the disastrous British retreat from Afghanistan after the battle of Gandamak in 1842:
When you’re wounded and left on Afghanistan’s plains,
And the women come out to cut up what remains,
Jest roll to your rifle and blow out your brains
An’ go to your Gawd like a soldier.
I won’t be saying prayers for the mullahs when it happens.
Ken Timmerman is a senior fellow at the America First Policy Institute. His latest work of non-fiction, The Iran House: Tales of Revolution, Persecution, War, and Intrigue, was recently published by Bombardier Books.
Steve Chavez says
“The Only Power that can knock the Dam down .. is The Water Behind It!” SC
Joseph Heartland says
Hamas “went down” but is still holding the aces in the Israeli hostages. Hizbolleh “went down” but is still an integral part of of Lebanon. Assad “went down” but is in control of multiple billions in paper dollars and gold. The mullahs “will go down” but have, do doubt, provided for themselves somewhere else in the world. Otherwise, they will be dragged on the ground behind fast moving cars and trucks. When animals are trapped they use every bit of strength to defend themselves. I am sorry, but the world is in for hard times if the mullahs are not given a graceful exit. I can think of dirty nuclear bombs to ruin our world or sleeper cells to disrupt lives to the point of death. First then the trouble starts. Iran will implode and fractionate. Everyone will get their own state or else. Good will will be hard to find. Only wiping out your enemy will provide momentary comfort, but just for a minute. Popcorn please!
Steve Chavez says
Unless IRAN’S MULLAHS are taken out, the World will be in flames.
HOPEFULLY, . PEOPLE POWER takes them out. PP took down The Wall and Iron Curtain. PP took down Ferdinand Marcos. PP took down The Shah.
There is a government-in-exile in Paris with the son of the Shah waiting for PP. Would he take power and ruthlessly keep it or join the Civilized World with Democratic Institutions? What will happen to the World’s Terrorists?
Hardball1Alpha says
Readers might have seen my recent comment elsewhere, but I was curious about a “hypothetical” future global conflict, between the CCP/PLA’s Belt and Road Initiative and Islam’s proposed Caliphate. (after the fall of the US and her allies)
So, I plugged that concept into ChatGPT and asked it “how would the online betting apps be leaning?”
I was able to get the AI brain to admit that the CCP would have no qualms about utilizing nuclear weapons, some hypersonic, in the absence of a MAD checkmate, and through its 21st century infrastructure and supply chains, the camel caravans and hawala network would be devoured by the “Middle Kingdom” with its Marxist characteristics.
Muhammed had no idea who he was up against.
You too can have fun with AI
Isabelle says
Another American war for Israeli primacy? When will all of these Middle East wars end? We have destroyed Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan, Somalia and other nations for Israeli interests. Countless lives have been lost and these places are left in chaos to be ruled by terrorists. Why are Americans sent to fight Israel’s wars? What kind of American foreign policy plans seven wars for the goal of advancing a “greater Israel?
Truth sets free says
The US has not been involved for “Israeli interests”, but to ensure stability in the ME regarding energy resources and humanitarian security.. The Islamists” in Iran are tyrannical and focused on hegemony, and the various Muslim factions in the region are locked in conflict for power. Wars and civil unrest in this region has been the norm for centuries and is not likely to stop unless radical leaders are eliminated.
Dov says
Your are ill informed and very wrong. These countries were attacked and ruled by Iran and Russia. Israel was and is still being hit because these losers hate jewelry. Bless Israel as it protects the world against Evil Muslim Atomic Jihadis.
Deplorable Me says
The end of that awful regime will be a great day…right up there with V-E day, V-J day, the fall of the Berlin Wall, and the end of the Soviet Union.
Isabelle says
Just remember, Iran is not alone. Remember that war with Iran is not in America’s interest and that if you want WWIII with nuclear weapons, you will have it by going to war with Iran. Do you really want that? I don’t. I love my American way of life and nuclear war will surely destroy that.
Dov says
If the West does not hit and wipe out Iran’s nukes they we will have war. The Mullahs believe an ancient Iman will return but first the World needs to be annihilated. These are Fanatics and need to cleanse the world for the Iman to materialize.
These people are truly insane an hope the Persians drag them and off them.
SKA says
Actually I do pray for the mullahs! And in Arabic too so their god can understand me:
LAANTULLAH ALAYHUM WA IQTAL KULLAHUM!
“Oh (Moon deity) curse them and kill every one of them!”
Walter Sieruk says
That horrendously brutal, cruel oppressive malicious and murderous Islamic regime of Iran, denies the Iranian, people their basic natural human rights.
Therefore, the Iranian people are right and righteous by engaging in bitter and strong protests against those cruel malicious and murderous tyrants in power of that cruel and oppressive Sharia based dictatorship of that Islamic regime of Iran.
In other words, those vicious despots of that horrendously horrific Islamic regime have provoked the people excessively too far.
In addition, some of the people who trapped in and forced to exist in the Islamic dictatorship of Iran might not know about the intellect philosopher John Locke, but his ideas do apply to them. For Mr. Locke taught that any good government has the duty to ensure the security and safety of its citizens. Yet when a tyranny is the people in the tyrannical government do have every natural and ethical right to overthrow that terrible and oppressive tyrannical government.
Intrepid says
I have always been impressed by Kiplings writings.
Spurwing Plover says
THE JUNGLE BOOK