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Hezbollah, the terror group made up of Lebanese Shi’a, is a far more formidable fighting force than is Hamas. It has a vast armory of 160,000 rockets and missiles, many of them precision-guided, supplied by Iran, as compared to fewer than 10,000 much cruder rockets now possessed by Hamas after five months of war. Hamas had 30,000 troops on October 6, before the Gaza war began, and now has about 15,000 fighters still alive, with many of them having been wounded. Hezbollah, on the other hand, has at least 100,000 well-trained and well-armed troops, thanks to the backing, in weapons and money, that it receives from its indispensable ally, Iran. And it is Hezbollah’s constant bombing of the Galilee in northern Israel that has forced more than 96,000 Israelis in the north to be displaced, having had to move out of their homes near the northern border with Lebanon for their own safety, in light of constant Hezbollah bombardments. Most generals in the IDF, and the Defense Minister, Yoav Gallant, believe that war with Hezbollah is inevitable; the only question is whether it will start while the Gaza War is still on or will Israel, when that war with Hezbollah comes, be able to concentrate all its efforts on its enemy to the north. Even now, Israelis worried about Hezbollah damaging Israel’s electricity grid have been buying generators in anticipation of what will come.
More on Israel’s war with Hezbollah that becomes more likely every day can be found here:
The few enquiring minds still left occasionally ask me what the most underreported stories of the current Israel-Hamas conflict are. I tend to reply that there are two.
The first is the issue of Israeli refugees. They are not called that inside Israel, where the authorities prefer to refer to them as ‘internally displaced people’. But while the world rightly concerns itself with the internally displaced people inside Gaza, the lack of notice paid to this other story is strange.
There are 117,000 displaced Israelis in the south, where they have moved away from the border with Gaza, where Hamas still manages to send rockets hurtling toward Sderot and Ashdod and Ashkelon, while 96,000 have moved away from the northern border with Lebanon, where Hezbollah regularly engages in tit-tor-tat exchanges of fire with the IDF. But these internally displaced Israelis are rarely mentioned in the foreign press which focuses solely on the “more than one million displaced civilians in Gaza.”
What we have seen in Gaza is merely an opening skirmish. The real showdown will be with Tehran….
The residents of the north are not so lucky. While Hamas may have been significantly degraded in Gaza (which you can also tell from the fact that what used to be daily sirens in Tel Aviv are now a monthly affair), Hezbollah’s arsenal of perhaps 160,000 rockets remains sitting on the Lebanon border. They are of a higher quality than Hamas’s rockets, longer range and far more deadly. If Hamas was Iran’s Ford Cortina, Hezbollah is its Lamborghini. And there is the question of when Iran wants to use them. It might use them any day, or it might be waiting until the regime in Tehran is on the brink of its long-sought-after nuclear bomb and can then use Hezbollah as a deterrent against any Israeli or American strike.
Which brings me to my second unreported fact. And I hope you’ve had your breakfast before digesting this.
I was on the Lebanon border 18 years ago, during the 2006 war with Israel. I well remember the shelling and the firing. Seeing the activity there in recent months (where it is much more heated than either side wants to admit) has persuaded me of something. The war in the Middle East has not yet begun. Or at least what we have seen in Gaza is merely an opening skirmish.
No country could cope with significant swaths of its population being permanently displaced from their homes. But what the world outside the region seems not to realise is that Gaza is a sideshow. The real showdown in the region will be with Tehran.
The war with Hezbollah will be many times more destructive and dangerous for Israel than the current war in Gaza, given Hezbollah’s huge arsenal of precision-guided missiles and the size of its fighting force, which as of now is about ten times what Hamas can count on, after its losses during the past five months of fighting.
Hannah Katz says
Sounds like Israel might be wise to saturate southern Lebanon with neutron bombs, killing all the soldiers but leaving the armaments in place. Then confiscate them.
Crkaen says
Another genocide?
Alkflaeda says
No, because Israel is not committing genocide in Gaza.
By the Way, it's *Kraken says
You’re right! Genocide did indeed happen in Israel, with countless innocent people maimed, tortured, and butchered like livestock; women and girls violently raped until their pelvises broke and their genitals cut open (if they weren’t shot first and then continually raped afterward); and babies as young as a handful of months old beheaded, shot, sliced open, or, in the case of one, shoved into a literal oven to bake to death while mom was raped in the background. Not to mention, hostages being held for nearly six months, many of whom are used as sex slaves and others abused – the youngest of whom is Kfir Bibas, who turned ONE year old in captivity. Hostages being held in a land filled to the brim with terror tunnels strategically placed under hospitals, mosques, schools, and living quarters–using women and children as human shields, of course–and full of people who store weaponry under their children’s cribs, teach them violent rhetoric and to hate Jews, and whose support for the atrocities committed on October 7th rests at a steady 72% while they get on social media to trash the food from the American aid being dropped at their feet. Of course, that is if Hamas isn’t BEATING civilians and stealing the food for themselves with guns pointed at bystanders. Hamas, whom the vast majority of Palestinian people support and would gladly vote for again without missing a beat. A very astute observation indeed; good on you!
Robert L. Kahlcke says
Kill them all and make Gaza, a very large parking lot.
Intrepid says
Hey I recognize that salute. I think I saw it in pictures from the late 1930s…..in Germany.
BLSinSC says
WHEN that comes to be then Israel should send notices to everyone in Lebanon that they are NOT PROTECTED if they are in a MILITARY TARGET AREA and should make their escapes! Israel should also go for the HEADS OF THE SNAKES in their first major offensives! Knock out all the infrastructure – communications, air ports, sea ports, utilities, and many others! Make the war a LIVING HELL and pray for a quick settlement and surrender!
Ed Snider says
Which side in the upcoming war do you think Biden will support?
Newsel says
Miss the article in the same FP issue?
“Biden Regime Invites Hamas-Linked CAIR to the White House”
Question answered .. 🙁
Enezio E. de Almeida Filho says
Air strikes by Israel will not defeat Hezbollah. This war has to be massive by land, air, and sea.
George says
A sane and responsible United States would have destroyed the Iranian nuclear sites by the end if the day on October 7th, 2023.
Alkflaeda says
Problem is, we don’t know whether the ones we know about are the only ones.
Saltherring says
A ‘sane and responsible’ United States would have never concocted an agreement (it was not a treaty) with Iran that established a path for Iran to develop nuclear weapons. A sane and responsible US would have not released billions of impounded dollars back to Iran’s terrorist leaders either, like Joe Bidumb has done. Obongo and Bidumb clearly hate Israel and are doing everything they can to undermine our most faithful ally and God’s chosen people., likely opening the USA up to God’s judgment.
S.Z. says
“the God of Israel neither slumbers nor sleeps.” Israel is the apple of Gods eye. They will never be removed from their land. Though they are “a stiff necked people” they are a chosen people and He will destroy their enemies. Islam is the religion of satan with it’s neverending hatred and murder of others. In the end it will not prevail. Ezekiel chapters 38-39 says that God will destroy Israels enemies on the mountains of Israel. “I will leave but a sixth of thee alive ” Only one out of six will live to go home and tell of Gods protection of His people.
Don Spilman says
I just love that passage and also the part about a virulent disease those stragglers will carry home with them that will wipe out millions in ever one of those MUZSLIME nations and Russia!!
Richard says
We in the USA must remember that we play no direct part in Israel’s future according to the Bible. We will continue to degrade as a nation since most have turned from God. Our prayers as believers are of utmost importance to beseech our merciful God for mercy upon Israel.
Moose says
You said: “We in the USA must remember that we play no direct part in Israel’s future according to the Bible.” Reply: That’s because the Bride of Christ will have been removed, taken to Heaven, to avoid God’s wrath that’s coming.
You said: “We will continue to degrade as a nation since most have turned from God.” Fortunately, a prophetess named Priscilla, says God told her He would not destroy America, only humble her. There’s hope for America just as there is redemption coming for Israel when the Bride of Christ returns with Jesus at the Battle of Armageddon to destroy Israel’s enemies so Jesus can rule the world out of Jerusalem for 1,000 years.