Has the ongoing insurrection in Iran, now into its seventh month, exposed glaring splits in the theocratic regime? In his Nowruz (Persian New Year) address to the nation, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the elderly and increasingly delusional Supreme Leader, insisted that the main priority of the theocratic regime was to fight inflation. Unveiling his concept of ‘The Year of Curbing Inflation,’ he indirectly acknowledged that his country is bankrupt, but failed to offer any way of resolving the perilous state of the Iranian economy. His mumbled remarks may have disappointed his hard-line followers, who prefer to hear pledges to “wipe Israel off the map” or cries of “death to America,” and have little appetite for economic reforms. But splits and divisions amongst the mullahs are now the trademarks of this failing fascist regime.
The Iranian economy is in plummeting decline. Spiralling inflation, currently at 43.4 percent, and a collapsing currency, have combined with tough western sanctions to bring the country to a virtual standstill. Food prices in particular have suffered massive spikes over the past year, including a 125 percent increase for meat, 250 percent for onions, 82 percent for eggs, and 78 percent for rice.The active Iranian workforce is 26 million, of whom at least 10 million were jobless even before the Covid pandemic. Youth unemployment is at a staggering 40 percent. At least 60% of the population are living in poverty, unable to meet their essential daily needs.
Combined with the mullah’s own venal corruption and regional warmongering, it is little wonder that the country with the world’s second largest gas reserves and fourth largest crude oil reserves is now facing economic meltdown. Iran, despite its once rich, civilized and open culture, has become an international pariah, its religious fascist regime condemned for human rights abuse and the export of terror, while its 85 million beleaguered citizens struggle to feed their families.
Now, the nationwide protests which began last September, have spread from the main cities to rural towns and villages, uniting the impoverished working classes with hard-up middle-income earners, whose chants of “death to the dictator” and “death to Khamenei,” clearly signify the burgeoning demand for regime change. Facing the imminent demise of his dictatorship, Khamenei has clearly panicked, even denying in his Nowruz address that Iran was siding with Vladimir Putin in the Ukraine war, calling the claim “an utter lie,” despite the export of thousands of Iranian Kamikaze drones to Russia.
The Supreme Leader’s message on curbing inflation was echoed by the Iranian President – Ebrahim Raisi – known as the ‘Butcher of Tehran’ for his bloodstained role in the mass execution of political prisoners in 1988. Raisi called for “double and round-the-clock efforts of the government to serve.” He stressed that the slogan for the new year should be “inflation control and growth in production.” The speaker of the Majlis – Mohammad-Baqer Qalibaf – in his Nowruz address, called for “a year of unity and solidarity, as well as peace and tranquillity, free from disease, violence, and war.” Coming from a man appointed to the role of Speaker by Khamenei because of his background as a senior commander in the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC), the regime’s Gestapo, and for his record of deadly suppression, particularly of protesting students, Qalibaf’s plea for peace and tranquillity has a hollow ring. But evidence of the splits in the hierarchy of the clerical regime are clear to see. Khamenei’s panic at the ongoing insurrection, coupled with the crumbling economy and international condemnation, has led to a purge of IRGC and Basij religious militia officers, who Khamenei clearly blames for the failure to stem the uprising. The Supreme Leader has also arranged for a clandestine clear-out in the diplomatic corps, with the removal of at least 30 ambassadors, who he blames for Iran’s increasing international isolation.
Meanwhile, in an attempt to dupe the West, Khamenei appears to have ordered his IRGC lackeys to back-pedal on their usual aggressive vocabulary and display a more conciliatory tone to the international community, which has condemned the Iranian regime for their savage crackdown on the nationwide protests, that has seen over 750 people killed and led to more than 30,000 arrests. Indeed, Khamenei has now ordered the release of 8,000 of the detained protesters. Such backtracking should be judged against the fact that four young men have already been hanged for taking part in the uprising and more than 100 have been sentenced to death for the spurious offence of moharebeh or ‘waging war against God,’ which carries the mandatory death sentence.
It is perhaps hardly coincidental that all of these curious activities are taking place at a time when Iran has agreed to a ground-breaking normalization of relations with its former Middle East arch-rival Saudi Arabia, in a deal brokered by Xi Jinping in Beijing. The deal requires Iran to withdraw its troops from Syria, where it has bolstered Bashar al-Assad’s bloody civil war and also requires the ending of Iranian support for the Houthi rebels in Yemen. Such radical transformations point to a rigorous contraction in the role of the IRGC and its extraterritorial Quds Force in the Middle East, presumably aimed at persuading America and the EU to revive the stalled nuclear talks and lift economic sanctions. Khamenei will also be hoping that offering a less hostile approach to foreign relations may help to disarm the nationwide protests at home.
Western leaders should not allow themselves to be fooled. Khamenei’s posturing as a new international peace-broker has no credibility. Credibility can only be built on trust and Khamenei has demonstrated again and again that he cannot be trusted. It is well known that he used Barack Obama’s deeply flawed nuclear deal as a cover to continue his secret development of a nuclear weapon. As Supreme Leader he has ordered the shoot-to-kill policy that has led to the deaths of thousands of protesters. He has connived with the cover-up of the 1988 massacre of 30,000 political prisoners, mostly supporters of the main democratic opposition movement the Mojahedin-e Khalq (MEK). He has used his embassies as bomb factories and terror cells and sent his diplomats on terrorist missions abroad. Khamenei cannot be trusted and his apparent volte-face in international and domestic relations can be ignored as yet another sham. The only way to restore peace, tranquillity, warmongering and human rights abuse, and an end to the nuclear threat is to support the Iranian people in their demand for regime change.
Owen Morgan says
Good article. I’d question only the likening of the revolutionary guards to the g*stapo. The latter was, after all, the German *secret* police (admittedly, not a very well kept secret) police. The Iranian revolutionary guards seem more like the SS, with their own armed forces, taking precedence over the official ones, as well as their fingers in every Iranian pie.
I am against a theocracy in Iran but I have noticed that ALL the time there is NEVER any mention of context regarding some things,you stated:
“The Supreme Leader’s message on curbing inflation was echoed by the Iranian President – Ebrahim Raisi – known as the ‘Butcher of Tehran’ for his bloodstained role in the mass execution of political prisoners in 1988. ”
1. The number always given is 30,000. It is the number given by the MOJAHEDIN (Holy fighter, jihadi ) of the PEOPLE group. A group that is
for separation of mosque and state, MARXIST, and ISLAMIC at the same time. For a secular Iran. However, investigators into the 30,000 killed claim believe it was more like 12,000 killed. RED flag there.
2. The great majority of those killed by EBRAHIM RAISI were of that group,then came Communists,Kudish separatists.
a. The Mojahedin of the People group had been guilty of ASSASINATING many HIGH ranking Iranian officials,RELIGIOUS and non-religious,including
Mohammad-Ali Rajai (killed 30 August 1981) the PRESIDENT of Iran and Mohammad-Javad Bahonar (killed 30 August 1981) the PRIME MINISTER of Iran Before the 1988 executions it had killed about
100 government official? No. 200? No. 300? No. About ONE THOUSAND. It is called Mujahadeen-e-Khalq (MEK) in Farsi.
b. From 1980-1988 there was the Iran-Irak war that killed 1 million, During it MEK soldiers FOUGHT on the side of Iraki soldiers to overthrow Khomeini. In 1988 there was a UNITED NATIONS
ceasefire agreed by both. Then the Irakis BROKE the ceasefire, and its army with SEVEN THOUSAND MEK jihadis invaded Iran.
They were defeated. It was because of THAT that a few days later KHOMEINI signed a FATWA
ordering the execution of MEK prisoners in Iran.One of those in charge was EBRAHIM RAISI, now the PRESIDENT of Iran.
The good news is that there is now PEACE betwen Iran and Saudi Arabia. Because of that there are REAL peace talks in YEMEN,
between the HOUTHIS,backed by Iran and Saudi Arabia. Also SYRIA and the other Arab nations ( Saudi Arabia, UAE,etc) have renewed dipolomatic relations and plans are ahead for the ECONOMIC reconstruction of Syria.
The Syrian Civil War killed 500,000. Do you know who started it? It was the GLOBALISTS under OBAMA and HILLARY in 2011, they gave financial and military aid to……………….AL-QAIDA, the same group that killed 3,000 in NYC in 2001. JAKE SULLIVAN,in a leaked Wikileaks email to Hillary then wrote:
“AL-QAIDA is on OUR side in SYRIA”
( February 2012,then Sullivan was the FOREIGN POLICY ADVISOR of Hillary Clinton )
TODAY Jake Sullivan is………………………..the NATIONAL SECURITY ADVISOR of the US.
Why try to overthrow Assad in Syria in 2011 in the FIRST place?
A. The fact Obama and Hillary financed,armed Al-Qaida,proves it was NOT because they cared about the Syrian people. Those too did the same in LIBYA,in 2011.
Overthrow Kaddafi, then let AL-QAIDA and other MUSLIM TERRORIST GROUPS take control of the country,they did NOT care about its people.
B. It was because of the WOLFOWITZ DOCTRINE,leaked out in 1992,written by then UNDER SECRETARY of DEFENSE
The official title is ”Defense Planning Guidance for the 1994–1999 fiscal years (dated February 18, 1992).”
WHAT DOES IT SAY?
It begins with:
”Our first objective is to prevent the re-emergence of a new rival, either on the territory of the former Soviet Union or elsewhere, that poses a threat on the order of that posed formerly by the Soviet Union. This is a dominant consideration underlying the new regional defense strategy and requires
that we endeavor to prevent any HOSTILE POWER from dominating a region whose resources would, under consolidated control, be sufficient to generate global power.”
What is a HOSTILE power?
The ACTIONS of Wolfowitz prove by hostile he meant powerful,not hostile in the sense of dangerous. In 2003 Wolfowitz ACTIVELY took part in
the LIES and propaganda that Sadam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction, knwoing it was a scam, a deception.
Chcuo writes another article.
Spurwing Plover says
Where the Ayatollah Hominy is right now he cant say anything bad about the Great Satan because he is screaming in the lake of Fire and Brimstone
REGARDLESS OF DOMESTIC CONCESSIONS TO QUELL THE MASSES, WE CANNOT LOSE SIGHT OF THEIR SOLID RESOLVE TO FINISH BUILDING THEIR NUCLEAR ARSENAL AND USE IT AGAINST THE WEST, STARTING WITH ISRAEL. THE FANATIC LUNATICS WOULD TRADE THEIR LEADERSHIP FOR A SHOT AT ISRAEL.
Yes indeed. Khamenei publicly said 2 years ago that eliminating Israel is “a public duty.”
He’s willing to let all of Iran come to ruin, just to reach that goal.
The priority was set by the his predecessor:
“We do not worship Iran, we worship Allah. For patriotism is another name for paganism. I say let this land [Iran] burn. I say let this land go up in smoke, provided Islam emerges triumphant in the rest of the world.”
― Ruhollah Khomeini
The Mojahedin-e Khalq (MEK) are not a “Democratic opposition” group. As noted by another it posits a bizarre synthesis of Marxist and Islamist ideas. Internally it has an almost cult-like organization of followers. While it has proven useful to the USA as a source for information on Iran’s nuclear program yet prior to the fall of the Shah it engaged in the assassination of US military advisers in Iran. It has engaged in terrorism within Iran including massive car bombings that have killed large numbers of innocent Iranian citizens. It has been on the USA’s list of foreign Terrorist Organizations.
As our own free nation sunsets
Perhaps a new birth of freedom is born.