One reason there’s an ascendant right in Israel is that the age demographics have been reversed.
According to the 2018 Israeli Democracy Index (an annual study by the Israeli Democracy Institute, a nonpartisan Israeli think tank), approximately 64 percent of Israeli Jews aged 18-34 identify as right wing, compared to 47 percent of those 35 and older. An Israeli Democracy Institute survey conducted just one week before Tuesday’s election likewise found a direct correlation between age and support for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu: 65 percent of Israeli Jews aged 18-24, and 53 percent of those 25-34, favored Netanyahu winning re-election, while 17 percent and 33 percent, respectively, preferred his more centrist rival, Benny Gantz.
Gantz’s best numbers were among voters 65 years and older.
That completely flips the script of American elections. But Israel’s political demographics are driven by birth rate. Much as those in America.
If only Ashkenazi secular wealthy Jews voted (the people the media loves to interview), Netanyahu would have been a one-term president. But he gets support from Russian and Middle Eastern Jewish immigrants, and from some Orthodox Jews. 2 out of 3 of those groups have higher than average birth rates. And that way you end up with a young electorate cheering you on while yawning at the likes of Gantz.
Meanwhile, America imports immigrants with high birth rates who vote Democrat leading to the opposite effect in American elections.
When lefties claim that they have the youth on their side, break down the stats by race and you’ll see exactly what they mean.
I’m oversimplifying the situation. And this is a post, not an article. But it is a significant part of the equation.
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