The kamikaze drones the Ayatollahs of Iran provided Russia to aid Moscow’s war against Ukraine are merely a precursor for a full-fledged alliance. The pact between the two nations includes communist China as well. This emerging unholy alliance does worry the western world, and Israel. Iran has now permitted Moscow (for pay) to improve its drone accuracy and distance, as well as that of the Iranian provided rockets. This should concern not only the Ukrainians but Israel as well. Iran is more than likely to transfer the technologically improved drones to Hezbollah terrorists. Putin, Russia’s desperate president, may even seek to limit, if not deny, Israel’s preventive attacks in Syria against Iranian transfers of arms to Hezbollah in Lebanon. Perhaps even more worrisome is the prospect of Russia aiding the Islamic Republic to complete the weaponization of its nuclear program.
National Security Council spokesman, John Kirby, during a press briefing at the White House (November 28,2022) declared that “Russia and Iran are moving toward a full defense partnership.” Kirby cited US Intelligence assessment, that Russia was offering Iran “an unprecedented level of military and technical support that is transforming their relationship into full-fledge defense partnership.” Kirby added, “Russia and Iran were considering setting up a drone assembly line in Russia for Ukraine conflict, while Russia was training Iranian pilots on the Sukhoi-SU-35 fighter and Iran could receive deliveries of the planes within a year. These planes will significantly strengthen Iran’s air force relative to its neighbors.” Among these neighbors is obviously Israel, which faces an existential threat from Iran. Estimates in Israel and the West are that Russia will be helping Iran with intelligence gathering from the ground and from space. Russia might launch spy satellites on behalf of Iran.
Iran is also about to sell hundreds of ballistic missiles to Russia on top of the drones Iran had already provided Russia last summer. Kirby pointed out that it is imperative that the truth about Iran’s supplying Russia be exposed and should be investigated by the UN as soon as possible. Strangely, Russia’s ambassador to the UN, Vassily Nebenzia, denied that Iran is supplying weapons to the Ukraine combat zone.
For Iran, the new alliance with China and Russia is most profitable. China and Russia are aiding Iran in evading US sanctions by helping Iran’s theocratic regime sell its oil on world markets while simultaneously protecting the Ayatollahs from UN resolutions. This alliance of the three authoritarian and undemocratic regimes is posing a serious challenge to the western alliance and will impact on the global balance of power.
The Iranian-Russian cooperation is currently centered around the war in Ukraine. Putin seeks to defeat the Ukrainian quest for independence and sovereign rights and prevent Kyiv from joining the West. There are, however, additional ramifications to this war that will impact Israel, the Arab Gulf states, and even the West. A nuclear Iran will surely be an existential threat not only to Israel but ultimately to the whole world, nor can the West minimize a strengthened conventional-armed Iran. During the war in Ukraine, the Russian military captured American supplied Javelin anti-tank missiles. These missiles are the most sophisticated and lethal in the realm of ground warfare. Russia might transfer them to Iran so the Iranians could adopt the technology and provide such missiles to Hezbollah, Hamas, and Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ). This would certainly pose a challenge for the Israel Defense Forces (IDF).
While transferring technology and arms to Iran, Putin is still cautious about interfering with Israeli Air Force (IAF) freedom of operation over the skies of Syria. He understands that for Israel preventing the transfer of lethal arms to the terrorists of Hezbollah, Hamas, and PIJ is a top security imperative. He wouldn’t want his air force to engage with the IAF given the current poor performance of the Russian army in Ukraine. He might even remember that during the “War of Attrition” (1969-1970), when Soviet pilots engaged the IAF, they were shot down by IAF pilots in dogfights.
Historically, there no love lost between Russia/Soviet Union and Iran. In August 1941, during WWII, Soviet and British forces occupied neutral Iran in what was called Operation Countenance. During the reign of the Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, Iran joined the Baghdad Pact in 1955, a bulwark against Soviet Middle Eastern expansionism. After the fall of the Shah and the establishment of the Islamic Republic in 1979, the Soviet Union was the first nation to recognize the Ayatollahs Islamic Republic in February of that year. Iran’s supreme leader, the Ayatollah Khomeini was averse to communism, but he was also intensely anti-American. The current western sanctions imposed on both Iran and Russia made the two nations coalesce into the present alliance. In recent years (since 2015), Iran and Russia cooperated in Syria, fighting against the Sunni-Muslim rebels to preserve the dictatorship of Bashar Assad, Syria’s president.
Whereas the military alliance between Russia and Iran presents a significant threat to Israel, there is yet a silver lining for Israel emanating from it. The western democracies who were hitherto eager to conclude the nuclear deal with Iran have gotten cold feet. Iran’s support for Russia in brutalizing the Ukrainian people in winter’ cold has turned public opinion even in appeasement-oriented Europe against Iran. Still, the Biden administration has insisted on keeping the nuclear talks with Iran on a separate track, despite Iran’s gross violations of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) provisions.
Though the Biden team condemned Iran’s sale of drones to Russia, it has been prepared to make serious concessions to the Ayatollahs. It seems that nothing will deter Washington from pursuing the nuclear deal with Iran. Not even the missile attacks on US personnel in Syria and Iraq, as well as such attacks on its regional allies. Additionally, the wrongful detention of US citizens in Iran, the Holocaust denial of the Iranian Supreme leader, or the Ayatollahs crack down on Iranian women demonstrating for their basic rights did not dissuade the Biden administration.
In both America and Europe, the people have forced their governments to realize that Iran is a real and present threat to world peace and Middle East stability. As a result, the Biden administration’s motivation to conclude the nuclear deal with the Ayatollahs has cooled-off significantly. Hence, Iran might have to endure the burdens of western sanctions that could even increase. This will limit the resources the Ayatollahs have to invest in Iran’s nuclear project, and its involvement in military adventurism throughout the region. At the same time, Iran’s deteriorating economic conditions and the persistent nationwide demonstrations threaten the very existence of the Ayatollahs regime.
Walter Sieruk says
That photograph of Putin and Rasis standing together and also joining their hands together is a very strong reminded of the Bible verse of Proverbs 11;21 . Which reads “Though hand join in hand , the wicked shall not go unpunished.” [K.J.V]
Tortoise Herder says
Part 1
“The Ayatollah is certainly wicked,due to having been brainwashed by Islam when young,but not Putin.”
No, Putin is thoroughly wicked. Not as bad as the Ayatollahs (though not many are), but still a thoroughly nasty, corrupt, globalist, progressive, hypocritical piece of work. The best I can say about him is that unlike the Ayatollahs he does not plan to blow up the world in order to bring the Last Imam out of hiding, but he is happy to make vague threats about it.
And as someone who witnessed some of his regime up close and has been an Eastern Europe/Caucasus Watcher for a quarter century, I am still baffled why you are inclined to extend the benefit of the doubt to a dishonest, tyrannical “Chekist.”
“Remember the slogan NEVER AGAIN?
It refers to never let Nazis and their admirers have power.”
No, it refers to never allowing an atrocity like the Holocaust to happen again. And that’s important because focusing solely on the Nazis ignores the fact that they were hardly the first or only ones to commit genocide against the Jews or others. That includes even in the Holocaust itself, as we can attest with the likes of Bandera in Ukraine, the Ustasha in Croatia, and so forth. I’ll also note that the Holocaust was allowed to happen in the first place because so many people were willing to turn a blind eye or even help the Nazis. Like the Soviets, whose legacy Putin now defends.
Tortoise Herder says
Part 2
“Since 2014 white supremacists,most being Nazi admirers,to the point of using Nazi symbols,have been helped by the US GOVERNMENT, your government,”
Irrelevant even if it were true, for multiple reasons.
Firstly: if we’re talking about “Nazi admirers to the point of using Nazi symbols”, let’s talk about Wagner. One of the Kremlin’s not so secret auxiliary Armies. Formed in 2014. One of the chief lieutenants of its owner Prigozhin is Dmitry Utkin, who has SS Lightning Bolts tatooed on his body and regularly uses NSDAP iconography. Likewise with Rusich, who are low even by the standards of Eastern European Neo-Fascists. In Syria they fought alongside the Baathist Government of Bashar al-Assad, itself a student of Baathism, an ideology meant to be a blend of Fascism and Communism One of their allies in the Syrian Civil War was the “Syrian Social Nationalist Party”, a Nazi Party that explicitly embraces the NSDAP’s legacy and influence.
Indeed, these groups differ from most Ukrainian Neo-Fascist groups in both how prominent they are and connected to power, and in their explicit endorsement of Hitler, a man most Ukrainian Neo-Fascists haven’t forgiven for betraying their “heroic generation” during WWII. Even if both are, of course, thoroughly garbage.
Tortoise Herder says
Part 3
Secondly: Having established this and that there are garbage Neo-Fascists on both sides, we are left with the reason why. The merits of the case. On what justification does Russia’s government claim the right to invade Ukraine by fraud and dismember its independence?
The merits are quite simple. The Kremlin has none worth talking about. And we know this in large part because of the utter inconsistency, hypocrisy, and changing standards Putin and co have had to use to justify it. In which case the US’s interests and obligations are fairly clear. To help Ukraine defend its independence and sovereignty, as written in the Budapest Memorandum in 1994.
“in waging a WAR CRIME in the DONBASS region. Intentionally killing civilians in areas where there were NO soldiers.”
According to who? The psychopaths in the Kremlin that employ monsters like Girkin, Utkin, Bout, and Kadyrov? Who lied about the weather when Moskva was sank (and thus the cause of its sinking)? Who lied about Spetznaz invading Crimea i n2014? Who lie about equipment and manpower losses even more egregiously than the Ukrainians and many globalist mouthpieces?
If the Kremlin wished to prove this was the case, they could have done such investigation or allowed others to do so. The fact that they have generally not done so is – while not conclusive in and of itself – quite worrying and underlines the lack of reason to trust them.
Tortoise Herder says
@Part 4
” Destroying civilian homes and businesses.”
Because it’s a F-cking War Zone, heavily concentrated in an urban rust belt, and urban fighting is always hard. So even if all sides were on the up and up and trying to behave as best as they could, this would STILL happen.
Notably, Putin has demonstrated not the slightest care about these things being destroyed when he or his allies are doing it, as shown by the intense shelling of downtown Luhansk during the siege of 2014 to crush loyalists, or yet another razing of Hama by his Syrian ally,.
Even more damningly, the Kremlin has admitted its intent to destroy water filtration infrastructure in Ukraine. Equipment that is vital to the health of anybody in the region but which is of tertiary military value at best. If successful that would cause far more civilian deaths than both sides have caused, put together. It is also something that even the Kremlin has rarely accused the Ukrainians of atergeting.
“The plan was to provoke a mass exodus of Russo-Ukrainians from the Donbass (ethnic cleansing,also a WAR CRIME).”
What utter crock.
Even the Neo-Fascists of Azov recruit Russo-Ukrainians. Indeed, that is one reason why Azov was so infamous: they literally speak the enemy’s language.
Tortoise Herder says
Part 5
Moreover, Zelenskyy himself is a Russo-Ukrainian.
The idea that the Ukrainian government is engaging in ethnic cleaning is a damnable lie, and we can prove it by simply going over the makeup of the current Rada. Which is made doubly ironic considering how the Russian government’s policy of suppressing the Ukrainian language in its occupied areas and deporting civilians back to Russia is more likely to be actual ethnci cleansing.
“Putin waited for 8 YEARS,hoping for a peaceful solution.”
…. after starting the war in the first place by invading Crimea and the Donbas (funny how Kremlin apologists conveniently ignore these facts), and violating what tentative peace deals were outlined at Minsk.
Yeah, very convincing. Such a saint.
Walter Sieruk says
That photo of Vadmire Putin and Ebrahim Raiss standing there is their being political comrades may also be seen a a picture symbol the insidious dangerous and demonic movement that is the Communist- Islamic alliance. Which is also called “The Red/Green Alliance..”
P.J. Clairvoyant says
We closed the door on Russia – Iran and North Korea have opened it. Wasn’t this to be expected? Probably by everyone except our foreign policy establishment, whose stupidity is only matched by its pompousness.
Tortoise Herder says
Our foreign policy establishment had been trying to open the door to Russia constantly for about 40 years, and constantly getting egg on its face. It is rather close to the foreign policy establishment’s love of trying to make a deal with the Iranian Mullahcracy.
People like Mark Steyn with a fraction of the credentials pointed out the very simple fact that Putin and much of the bureaucratic and political elite in Russia would probably not be in favor of ties to the West and would gravitate towards our totalitarian rivals, and he was pointing this out months after 9/11. It looks like the world is just catching up to him and others.
Tortoise Herder says
Part 1
“Regarding IRAN for example,and it is an evil in many ways, there is the GELL-MAN amnesia effect,term created by the author of “Jurassic park” ( MICHAEL CRICHTON).”
I don’t believe everything globalists tell me on the likes of Russia or Iran. Especially since they have repeatedly taken a much softer stance than I have, especially on Iran.
However, I operate based off a few basic principles.
Firstly: That even the Devil can quote Scripture if he believes it is in his interest to do so. So assuming that the corrupt, dishonest liars are dishonest about literally everything and can never tell the truth is blind to how disinformation actually works.
Secondly: That if Putin is better than our Globalists at all, it is a matter of coincidence and situation rather than any inherent virtue, especially for a man who has turned over part of supposedly sacred Russia to Kadyrov’s head hackers.
Thirdly: That a regime bent on lying about itself and the past up to and including the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact is not more trustworthy than the globalists. That does not mean that every one of their claims has to be dismissed out of hand (which I have not done), but it certainly does not command trust.
Tortoise Herder says
My hatred and distrust for Putin and his regime largely stem from my own experiences in his Russia, the experience of those I trust, and my own research. Which does touch on many globalist sources but hardly is exclusive to them.
“They believe that the Iran regime has KILLED 450 protestors, that it sentenced to death a SOCCER player who defended women’s rights,”
No, I believe that Iran has killed far more than 450 protestors, because that is in keeping with the Iranian Mullahcracy’s MO. I also believe this fact is underreported by the globalists precisely because of the desire for detente with Iran, even if it means whiewashing Putin’s involvement as middleman broker in that.
“How much is true? We really do not know where the truth ends,where the lies begin. All we know is US Conservatives like zombies”
Mate, this is rich coming from someone who assumes that just because I say Putin is evil and the Globalists also say Putin is evil (at least now/when the narrative supports), I must be dependent on the globalists for that conclusion.
Tortoise Herder says
Part 1
“TRUMP was also guilty by arming Ukraine.In his case he was lied to by the CIA.As a businessman Trump should have known that one had to VERIFY what others told him.”
Asserting that Trump armed Ukraine because he was lied to by the CIA is quite incompetent. The CIA certainly lied to Trump, probably about this, but it almost certainly didn’t change the material facts.
The US was committed to defending Ukrainian independence and territorial integrity – along with the UK and ironically Russia – through the 1994 Budapest Memorandum in which Ukraine agreed to turn over its share of the Soviet Nuclear Stockpile (something you denied they had but which I explicitly had to disprove by showing the legal details) in exchange for such guarantees. Putin has decided to flagrantly and illegally violate that agreement, and so the US is committed to supporting Ukraine against aggression.
Trump recognized this, and also recognized that Putin was no friend, regardless of what lies or truths the CIA told him or how much he believed. Which is one reason why he refused to be Putin’s pawn.
Tortoise Herder says
Part 2
“A CEO does NOT just believe what he is told from ONE source about the market situation.He checks VARIOUS sources.”
You’re ignoring how Trump had access to abundant sources and was capable of evaluating them.
Including evaluating Russian sources, which as I’ve noticed were utterly incapable of defending their actions using a consistent or justified basis. Hence the need for the Kremlin’s narrative to lie like a rug and shift, from denying they had sent Spetznaz to Crimea to admitting it.
Trump has no reason to extend more trust to the Kremlin’s narrative than the Kremlin itself can produce, and the manifest failure of Putin’s claims to stand up to even casual scrutiny underlines that.
Tortoise Herder says
Part 3
“So it is obvious Trump did NOT know about the white supremacist,Nazi-loving thugs who control Ukraine”
This is stupid blood libel, Chcuo, and i won’t stand for it.
Even the white supremacist neo-Fascists in Ukraine like Sovobda (who have all of one seat in the Ukrainian Rada as of last election) are not exactly “Nazi-loving” due to their bitterness at Uncle Adolf betraying their Grandpa Bandera back in WWII. And they certainly lack power or control over Ukraine, and have since the botched resignation of the Neo-Fascist members of the Ukrainian cabinet more than half a decade before 2022.
There are far more Nazi-loving, white supremacist thugs in power in Russia than there are in Ukraine. Just ask Prigozhin, Utkin, and Medvedev. All with explicit Neo-Nazi ties. And Medvedev is at least in law one heartbeat away from supreme power in Russia. Which shows what a lie the endless drumbeat about Denazifying Ukraine is.
Or are you going to ignore how you can find posts from the likes of Rusich and Wagner happily portraying symbols directly tied to the Third Reich from their own social media?
Tortoise Herder says
“How to verify if the intentional killing of civilians in DONETSK CITY ( 1 million,and 6 thousand killed (2014-2022, including till TODAY) ?”
Here’s a novel concept.
Have the Russian government and its separatist shills try and prove that. It’s not like they’ve had more than half a decade to try. And yet, scant proof. Why is that?
Oh and this is assuming you can differentiate intentional killing of civilians in Donetsk City from unintentional killings or collateral damage due to the extremely heavy urban fighting in Donetsk during the first months of the war from 2014-2015.
And this is further assuming you can differentiate which side is responsible for the deaths in a war where both sides used broadly the same equipment.
Kremlin apologists like to ignore how the first side to start shelling the urban areas in the Donbas Basin were the “Separatists” and their Russian Federation Military supporters, and how Donetsk and Luhansk it took weeks – if not months – of concentrated fighting and urban bombardment in order to finally crush the Ukrainian loyalist defenders embedded around key points in the hearts of the city (most famously Donetsk Airport).
And anybody on Earth who thinks every single artillery shell fired during those sieges hit the mark and only harmed Ukrainian combatants is deluded.
Tortoise Herder says
Part 2
“Trump could have sent a secret group of honorable investigators,”
No, not easily.
Why?
Because by the time Trump came into office Donetsk City was under Russia- err, I mean “Separatist” control, and the separatists retained every right to deny most investigative teams. Which surprise surprise is exactly what they did.
Which is why I put primary responsibility for – and blame in the absence of – calculating civilian deaths in places like Donetsk City to the Kremlin and its local stooges. Who unsurprisingly are utterly untrustworthy even by the standards of Eastern European propaganda (these being the scumbags who tried to deny the Spetznaz invasion of Crimea until it was a fait accompli, and who later claimed Moskva was sunk in a non-existent storm), and who have been quite lethargic in calculating the info or allowing any outside source to do so.
Which is why I am not inclined to trust most of the claims they make.
“they would have confirmed that yes,EVERY DAY, the Ukrainian army is bombing Donetsk City,everyday somebody gets killed, a civilian,”
Because it’s a war zone and has been since 2014, and the war in the Donbas Basin has been VERY HEAVY IN ARTILLERY USE, *INCLUDING BY THE RUSSIANS AND THEIR ALLIES.* Again, I point to the initial sieges of Donetsk and Luhansk Cities from 2014-2015 where the Separatists happily shelled the city centers in order to crush dug in resistance.
Tortoise Herder says
Part 3
Normally I wouldn’t fault them for that. If anything their shelling and that of their Ukrainian Loyalist Allies was much less indiscriminate than that of the US fighting through Aachen or the Walled City of Manila in WWII.
But what galls me is a mixture of the naked hypocrisy – that it is ok for them to use copious amounts of artillery support in urban centers but not ok for the Ukrainians they attacked to do the same – and the rank dishonesty. Also the credulousness of people uncritically parroting the Kremlin’s propaganda that this amounts to something criminal.
Tortoise Herder says
Part 4
“or some house destroyed,apartment destroyed,restaurant,shop destroyed. And NO soldiers,military equipment in the area bombed.”
Any idiot claiming that there is no military equipment or soldiers belonging to the Russian military or its separatist puppets in Donetsk City is deluded, especially since we have abundant evidence to the contrary from Russian social media. This is also why most of the claims that the Ukrainian loyalists were shelling civilian targets without military value around Kherson were shot down. People could compare the different accounts and evidence and see.
“The US Conservatives who say they are for human rights can easily send investigators, contact people they trust,to verify.But they never do,never will.”
They can’t and won’t when the Russian government and its stooges make a point of blocking independent investigation that is not explicitly on their terms. This is in contrast to the Ukrainian loyalist response to Bucha and others. But apparently we’re supposed to trust the claims of a regime that lied about weather in the Black Sea and what its Spetznaz were doing in Ukraine?
In short:: I have no reason to believe the Kremlin’s claims about civilian losses and intentional targeting thereof in Donetsk or elsewhere without them proving it. And they seem to have remarkably little urgency in actually doing so.