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Are you feeling doomed? Good because we’re in double-secret doom territory now. If you scoff, just check out this latest terrifying ‘milestone’ of doom.
Earth passed a feared global warming milestone Friday, at least briefly – Washington Post
Global warming? I thought we switched over to climate change. But climate science is about whatever’s convenient. Now that there’s some warming to discuss, we can go back to calling it global warming. And it really is warming.
The planet marked an ominous milestone Friday: The first day global warmth crossed a threshold, if only briefly, that climate scientists have warned could have calamitous consequences.
Preliminary data show global temperatures averaged more than 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) above a historic norm, from a time before humans started consuming fossil fuels and emitting planet-warming greenhouse gases.
Ominous milestones are my favorite kind.
This is a big deal in warmunist circles. A number of the UN agreements are built around keeping temperatures down to this hypothetical number above “pre-industrial levels.”
But wait a minute, you may ask, if you’re not a mindless zombie, what does that even mean?
The industrial revolution began around the time of the American Revolution, but when warmunists use ‘pre-industrial’, they mean 1850-1900.
Why? Because they randomly make stuff up. Also, it avoids acknowledging that we didn’t remotely have reliable temperature records in the 1780s. Until the 1880s there was limited temperature data outside the Western world.
But how reliable are our temperature records even from 1880 compared to today? They don’t just have to be reliable, but reliable enough that we can finely compare our current high-end measurements and keep our temperatures to 1.5 c above theirs.
In the real world, much of that data is absolutely not reliable and we may not even be measuring the same things.
Temperature data from hundreds of years ago is no easier to process if it’s been obtained at sea. In 2004, for example, a team of researchers analyzing data from 18th- and 19th-century ships’ logs had to correct for the fact that in those days, sea-surface temperatures were measured with a thermometer in a bucket of seawater.
Thermometer enclosures, which shield the temperature sensor from direct sunlight and other sources of radiation, can be wooden or plastic; the variation in materials can, in turn, introduce discrepancies in the results (which some stations in the U.S. discovered firsthand in the 1980s when they switched from traditional enclosures to electronic screens). The instruments are also sensitive to their surroundings: If you measure the temperature on a sunny day versus a cloudy day, direct sunlight on the thermometer will record a higher temperature, even if the two days are equally warm.
But I’m sure we can certainly be certain of that 1 c degree mark from the “pre-industrial era”.
Algorithmic Analyst says
How to lie with statistics, yet again. Thanks Daniel!
Cheryl Barker says
“Ominous milestones” are good, Daniel. But “calamitous consequences” has more of a poetic ring to it.
Mickorn says
You never sound more ignorant than when you talk about climate change, Daniel. Could be because you randomly make stuff up!
The data on climate change is plentiful and easily accessible. This is an empirical question of basic science,. It never ceases to amaze me what lengths you will go to in order to convince your readers that something that is obviously happening is, in fact, not happening.
junkyard infidel says
^^^^this is what going “full retard” looks like^^^
Ugly Sid says
Popular Science magazine was making exactly the same claims exactly a century ago with exactly as much confidence and exactly as much accuracy.
Why the obsession with Mister Greenfield? Have you a crush upon him? I understand. He is cute and boyish. Kind of like Huckleberry Finn, from Life on the Mississippi.
Maybe you and he can run a line catching catfish together overnight and spend the morning nailing the bullheads to a tree so you can pull the skins off with pliers. Shucks.
Wallace says
That data is usually from a “science” source that is dependent on government funding, which it will not receive if it doesn’t support the warming narrative. Human activity warming the planet is absurd.
Ugly Sid says
Are you suggesting there may exist a possible pecuniary interest influencing the nature of scientific interpretation?
Ugly Sid says
Having recognised this climate emergency for its peril, Joe Biden may feel morally compelled to invoke martial law and rescind habeas corpus.
Now is the time for decisive leadership. Too bad planet Krypton didn’t have a Joe Biden on their side.
Lucky us.
Daniel Greenfield says
There’s ample credible scientific data from the era of phrenology and eugenics?
Never mind leeches and bleeding?
Do tell us more.
K.F. Smith says
Mickorn the Miserable:
The hard core data refuting man made climate change is plentiful and easily accessible, in spite of the left’s attempts to conceal anything that opposes their fake narrative (cancellation of Dr. John Clauser’s IMF speech a recent example).
Ignorance is a curse. I doubt that you would benefit from a little knowledge, but if you want to at least make an attempt to enlighten yourself, here’s a starting point:
https://wattsupwiththat.com/
While China doubles down on fossil fuels, and Germany green economy takes a massive hit, Joe and his band of criminals move to crush the US fossil fuel industry, and the ignorant, like you, fiddle.
Nothing but a big lie,
K.F. Smith says
Look at this Mickorn the Miserable.
A real scientist, not the Michael Mann dropout variety. I mean quantum mechanics, Fourier analysis, all the good stuff. He even disproved one of Einstein’s theories. Somehow I’ll lend more credence to his statements then to someone who relies on a discredited hockey stick and computer models:
“At the end of June, Clauser delivered a lecture at the Quantum Korea 2023 event in Seoul. During his remarks, Clauser told the audience to “beware,” adding, “If you’re doing good science, it may lead you into politically incorrect areas. If you’re a good scientist, you will follow them. I have several I won’t have time to discuss, but I can confidently say there is no real climate crisis and that climate change does not cause extreme weather events.”
“According to the Nobel Prize website, Clauser received the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2022 “for experiments with entangled photons, establishing the violation of Bell inequalities and pioneering quantum information science.”
Nobel Prize-Winning Scientist Has Speech Canceled After Saying ‘Climate Change Is Not a Crisis’”
K.F. Smith says
I know this will make you even more miserable than your usual steady state of unhappiness, but truth must be told:
Man made climate change “Failed Prediction Timeline”:
https://wattsupwiththat.com/failed-prediction-timeline/
K.F. Smith says
Go to wattsupwiththat dot com
failed-prediction-timeline
John MacKenzie says
I live in Ottawa, Canada and personally speaking I could use a bit of global warming just about now and it’s only F ING November. Bye the Bye, last winter was the coldest in 25 bloody years!!
Steven Kardas says
Food for thought: How where the scribe marks for the scale put on thermometers back in the 1700’s ? By hand. Ponder that accuracy…. Mr. Greenfield makes a point about warming data: “they randomly make stuff up.” is key here. There Is lot and lots of money in doom and gloom and and “researchers” will tell their benefactor’s what they want to hear. The Scientific process ? Meh. That is an annoying impediment to the narrative so the process is ignored. Here is a classic documented example: Michael Mann who came up with the B.S. hockey stick graph of temps was asked by other researchers for his data sets used to come up with the graph to study how he did it.. His response, in an email:, quote: “Why should I give you the data if all you are going to do is try to prove me wrong. “
Old Fogey says
Well, Michelangelo painted the Mona Lisa by hand, too. And Tycho Brahe measured astronomical angles with great precision using a spider web. But the quality of their work doesn’t mean that modern liars don’t impute false values to past measurements.
World@70 says
Yup! The whole climate change crap is a bigger scam than Bernie Madoff’ Ponzi scheme. Humans have been burning fossil fuels from prehistoric times. Also natural events like volcanos put more CO2 in the air than the whole world does now. CO2 was the reason green plants, trees and grasses began to grow.
Algorithmic Analyst says
Good points. How many people have followed the history of inaccurate measurements in science and will realize what BS is going on?
K.F. Smith says
And how many people will remain clueless?
Dickens was right: “The boy is Ignorance………..most of all beware this boy”
From: ‘A Christmas Carol’
NAVY ET1 says
It’s unsurprising that the left confiscated the educational system many years ago so as to create the first generation in history to accept this grift and control maneuver as science. Say what you want about liberals, but they understand the long game better than conservatives…and that’s a mark against us.
Old Fogey says
One of the immutable forces of physics is entropy. Every good thing will rot, and every noble institution will be torn down by envy and ignorance. Just preserving virtue is far more difficult than degrading culture and promoting vice. Quality takes commitment every minute. But each erosion of quality takes even more effort to repair. The “liberals,” who are anything but liberal, need only chip away whenever they choose. Restoring their damage is far costlier than incurring it.
Ugly Sid says
Germans drink beer and Italians drink wine.
Why weren’t Germans growing grapes and making wine a thousand years ago?
Was it the coal based electrical generation during the Crusades that induced this upward creep in ambient temperature?
Old Fogey says
The amazing ignorance and effrontery of the climatistas never ceases to amaze. Considering all the truly earth-shaking events that have darkened the skies, obliterated whole regions of the Mediterranean, atomized large parts of Pacific islands, left as evidence the Yellowstone caldera, thrust up the Rockies, the Andes, and the Himalayas, formed the Hawaiian Islands chain, formed a land bridge to permit Asians to migrate to the Western Hemisphere, and shifted the magnetic poles, we are told to believe that the puny output of human activity outpowers the trillions of watts of solar impingement and will influence average global temperature meaningfully.
I used to laugh at these fools, but now they have the power of government to work their will on us. They are dangerous and must be stopped.
SPURWING PLOVER says
Back in the 1970’s it was Global Cooling and a new Ice Age was coming the very same leftists rags Time and Newsweek were giving it top coverage of their leftists rags back in the 1970’s
STW says
I see that the Medieval warming period is now labeled “random variation” so it no longer has to be explained viz-a-viz today’s temperatures. Naturally, random variation is never something that happens today.
SPURWING PLOVER says
The very same two rags Time and Newsweek who were going on about Global Warming/Climate Change back in the 1990’s was going on about Globa Cooling back in he 1970’s Time and Newsweek was giving it Top Coverage
Stephen Triesch says
“Preliminary data show global temperatures averaged more than 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) above a historic norm, from a time before humans started consuming fossil fuels and emitting planet-warming greenhouse gases.”
12,000 years ago, the place I am sitting just north of Seattle was covered with 3,000 feet of ice. Cyclical climate change eliminated that ice long before human activity had any impact whatsoever.
GRob says
From the 1609 scientists of the Global Climate Intelligence Group (CLINTEL):
“There is no climate emergency. Therefore, there is no cause for panic and alarm.”
“There is no statistical evidence that global warming is intensifying hurricanes, floods, droughts and suchlike natural disasters, or making them more frequent.”
[The updated “World Climate Declaration” dated October 7, 2023, which used to have 1,607 signatories and now has 1,828 signatories.]
The push for net-zero carbon emissions is not only “unrealistic,” but harmful to world economies.
[Then add the September 2023 report from Statistics Norway:
“Using theoretical arguments and statistical tests we find, as in Dagsvik et al. (2020), that the effect of man-made CO2 emissions does not appear to be strong enough to cause systematic changes in the temperature fluctuations during the last 200 years.”
“In this paper we have reviewed data on climate and temperatures in the past and ascertained that there have been large (non-stationary) temperature fluctuations resulting from natural causes. … the results imply that the effect of man-made CO2 emissions does not appear to be sufficiently strong to cause systematic changes in the pattern of the temperature fluctuations.”
https://www.ssb.no/en/natur-og-miljo/forurensning-og-klima/artikler/to-what-extent-are-temperature-levels-changing-due-to-greenhouse-gas-emissions]
K.F. Smith says
Excellent organization.