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On Oct 7, 2023, thousands of Hamas terrorists invaded Israel. Their mission was to wipe out the Jewish population in the nearby towns, secure them and use them as forward operating bases for the next phase of the war. While the atrocities they committed in that initial assault, entire families burned alive in their homes, women raped and kidnapped, and babies killed, made it look like a terrorist attack on a large scale, Oct 7 had not been meant as a hit and run operation.
Hamas had risked too much and put too many men in the field for it to be anything other than an invasion. Its plans to continue advancing into Israel appear unrealistic only out of context.
The thousands of terrorists from Hamas, Islamic Jihad and Fatah had been meant as the tip of a larger spear. Thousands of Hezbollah and allied terrorists had been in position on Oct 7. Had Hamas been able to hang on to Israeli territory, they would have invaded the Galilee, but after the initial shock and long delays throughout that first day, the Israeli military regrouped.
The Hezbollah invasion was postponed until it was briefly revived by the Islamic terror group around the time of the pager attacks and then shut down by targeted Israeli strikes.
Oct 7 had been Hezbollah’s plan before it was executed by Hamas. Hezbollah had even spent years boasting about using its network of tunnels to invade and conquer the Galilee, but the funding and plans had come out of Tehran. Yet when push came to shove, Hezbollah hesitated.
Iran had planned for an Oct 7 that would have dealt a catastrophic blow to Israel. The original plot would have seen coordinated Hamas and Hezbollah invasions backed by heavy rocket campaigns not only by Hezbollah, but by the Houthis in Yemen and Iran’s militias in Iraq targeting Israeli bases, military assets and infrastructure. Terror groups in the West Bank would have launched their own assaults creating a multi-front guerrilla war deep inside Israel. Even if Israel had beaten back the attacks, many of the Jewish communities would have been in ashes.
And seeing Israel’s weakness, hostile Muslim major military forces from Egypt and Turkey might well have joined in leading to a conflict more on the scale of another Yom Kippur War.
The death toll would not have been over 1,000, but in the tens of thousands at the very least, and perhaps, unimaginably, even more than that on the scale of another Holocaust.
Iran had planned to break Israel on the final day of the Jewish High Holy Days. And to also break the United States with it by taking out a key American coalition partner in the region.
The Biden-Harris administration had overseen the two treacherous deals with Hamas and Hezbollah. The Israeli–Lebanese maritime deal had turned over parts of Israel’s gas field to Hezbollah’s puppet regime in Beirut and an ‘understanding’ had moved Qatari money to Hamas.
Both deals had been meant to assure quiet with Israel. And for a little bit they seemed to work.
The Biden-Harris administration’s diplomacy however had been subverted by Iranian and other enemy agents. The deals did not assure an end to the fighting, but a planned campaign against Israel timed ahead of Iran’s nuclear breakout and the upcoming presidential election.
The Iranian campaign however fell apart early due to bloodlust, scheming and cowardice.
The Iranian plan to take out Israel’s defenses and communications worked. The Israeli army and air force wasted precious hours figuring out what was going on and how to respond. But Hamas had drugged its terrorists with Hezbollah’s ‘captagon’ amphetamines. Whether it was the drug or their religion, the terrorists spent too much time glorying in their brutality, including the attack on the Nova festival, to execute the next part of their mission and secure a foothold.
After some initial battles against outnumbered Israeli forces, the tide turned once the Israelis finally understood the scale of the attack they were dealing with. And Hamas was demolished.
The original plan to link up with elements in the West Bank was sidelined for the Hamas goal of displacing the Palestinian Authority and so it did not risk coordinating with anyone there. By the time anyone in the West Bank had a sense of what was going on, Hamas had already lost.
Iran had made sure that Hezbollah was ready and waiting on the border, but the Islamic terror group had already spent years taking a beating for Tehran in the Syrian Civil War. Nasrallah and the Hezbollah leadership had secured control over Lebanon and did not want to risk it in an operation that would decimate the terror group if Hamas could not deliver on Oct 7.
When Hamas failed to hold up its end, Hezbollah did not invade, but began a running war with Israel as prep for a potential invasion. Israel targeted Hezbollah positions while the Islamic terror group depopulated parts of northern Israel. Hezbollah was giving its Iranian bosses some of what they wanted without actually committing to a full scale war with the Jewish State.
The Biden-Harris administration’s ceasefire agenda and rallies inside Israel for a hostage deal at any cost kept the Hezbollah campaign alive by transforming an invasion prep campaign into a pressure campaign to spare Hamas. Hezbollah would have likely stepped down once it was clear that Hamas had lost, if talk of a deal had not provided a lifeline to the terror group.
Hezbollah miscalculated that Israel was too weakened by Oct 7 and its engagement in Gaza to respond. It gloated over worried headlines in the Israeli media about its massive stockpile of rockets. Nasrallah and the Hezbollah leadership became convinced Israel was terrified of it.
But as Israel’s large-scale confrontations with Hamas wound down and Hezbollah’s attacks escalated, the war shifted over to Lebanon. In the year of fighting, Hamas had become too small to present a useful target for large scale military operations. The Israeli campaign in Gaza had fractured the Hamas terrorist operations back down to the cell structure where terrorist groups first begin. Hezbollah however was just the right size to take on. And it was thoroughly bugged.
Israel’s campaign struck shattering blows to the morale of Iran’s Islamic terror coalition.
Iran’s ballistic missile attacks on Israel were not a sign of strength, but of weakness. Hamas and Hezbollah, Iran’s local proxies, had become too weakened to do the job. The Houthis and Iraqi militias can contribute something to the attacks on Israel, but not nearly enough. What initially looked like a solid projection of force by an Iranian Shiite coalition is falling apart into chaos.
But the collapse really began on Oct 7 when Hamas faltered and Hezbollah did not invade. Hamas proved unable to control its urge to kill Jews long enough to secure military objectives. Hezbollah was unwilling to put everything on the line for Hamas. Iran was happy to see Hamas and Hezbollah bleed, but unwilling to take any major risks until they had delivered real results. Iran had exploited Hamas and Hezbollah, and Hezbollah had sold out Hamas on Oct 7.
And the result was that what was meant to be another Holocaust failed.
Many Israelis suffered unimaginably on Oct 7. Mothers were killed in front of children. Pregnant women were butchered. Families were burned alive in their homes. But Israel is still here.
And it’s winning.
It’s winning despite European arms embargoes and threats from the Biden-Harris administration. It’s winning because Israel knows there is no alternative to victory.
Oct 7 shattered the complacency some Israelis had developed about their situation. The months since have made it clear that no amount of deals are a substitute for security. Threats as a deterrent cease to provide any leverage when the enemy stops fearing they will be carried out.
A year later, Israel is battered, but Israelis can envision a future in which they will not have to live in bomb shelters or appease terrorists in the hopes of being allowed to go on with their lives.
Last year, Israelis thought that life would mostly go on the way it had. Now they know it cannot.
December 7, 1941. 9/11. Oct 7. These are not just dates: they are wake up calls. A year later after a long day of terror and death on what was to be a joyous holiday, Israel is awake.
Excellent analysis, thanks Daniel !!!!!
Also, the Israeli military higher command over the years got infected with leftist ideas. I’ve come across so many similar cases in history where military high commands got infected with bonkers ideas, one of the main themes in military history.
The whole world government is infected with insane ideas.
Are they insane or just subsumed with greed and delusions of grandeur? The US government certainly is.
Insanity? Greed? Power? All of it fits under the umbrella of the satanic. It is perverse and evil, using the natural inclinations of the human heart which we all so love to deny. May God bless Israel, and give her victory, safety, blessing and peace.
Seduced by satan
Definitely. Thanks Mo !!!!!
Excellent article. Thank you.
Senior military leaders typically get advanced degrees at universities – the fountainhead of leftist ideas.
“And seeing Israel’s weakness, hostile Muslim major military forces from Egypt and Turkey might well have joined in leading to a conflict more on the scale of another Yom Kippur War.”
Excellent analysis??? There is no serious observer of Middle East politics, not on the left, not on the right, not in Israel, not in Iran, who claims there is any chance in hell that Turkey would fight a war against Israel. Or Egypt, for that matter. Nobody. None.
What Mr. Greenfield does here is bloviate, ruminate, make shit up, knowing that his brain-addled acolytes will applaud any idiocy he comes up with. Thankfully, there’s just a very few said acolytes, so the world is safe from Greenfield, at least.
Have you read the Bible sir.
What’s your beef sir? And where is your analysis?
“There is no serious observer of Middle East politics, not on the left, not on the right, not in Israel, not in Iran, who claims there is any chance in hell that Turkey would fight a war against Israel. ”
Except Turkey’s dictator…
https://www.politico.eu/article/turkey-nato-tayyip-erdogan-threatens-enter-israel-help-palestinians/
President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan told a meeting of his ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) in the northeastern city of Rize on the Black Sea that Turkey “must be very strong so that Israel can’t do these ridiculous things to Palestine.”
“Just like we entered Karabakh, just like we entered Libya, we will do [something] similar exactly to them,” Erdoğan said.
Erdogan said quite recently that he wanted to restore Turkey’s Ottoman Empire boundaries. That would include Israel and Jordan. Of course, the Palestinians would still not have self-determination – but under fellow Muslims they would be better off than the Israelis, who would be dhimmis, would be..
Poor Mickey Mickey Mickey. I am convinced that your obsessive leftism, and your obvious Jew hatred, is really masking a bizarre attraction to Greenfield
Israel is awake.
While other ‘governments’
dream of/fantasize about/scheme/plot/drool over the death of Israel while using ‘diplomacy’ as their genocidal weapon of choice.
These ‘governments’, these ‘united’ in hatred ‘nations’, these ‘negotiators’, these ‘representatives’, these ‘regimes’, these ‘administrations’, these ’courts’ of ‘justice’, these ‘humanitarian’ ‘organizations’ — they are all enraged, desperate cowards, bullies and liars dragging down all of humanity. They keep running into a wall. For millennia. Running into a wall. Because there’s no way to get around or over that wall. A wall infinitely high and wide that will never fall. An eternal wall. That wall is the God of Israel. Israel, God’s people ‘chosen’ to be morally responsible in an immoral world, takes the enemy blows; but the God of Israel is the enemy’s true target.
How can you possibly kill the God of Israel? You can’t. That’s the insanity of Jew hatred – thinking you can kill the God of Israel, the Neverending Creator of the world and of every human being, of you, yourself.
Beautiful!✡️🇮🇱Am Israel Chai!!
Amen.. There is no way to possibly understand the hate & violence & mayhem of these zealots. & yet Israel is excoriated for defending itself against these insane lunatics. I will never understand it.
Well, it’s because Israel is the Jewish state. Same ancient anti-Semitic wine in a new bottle.
Israel is also living evidence that it is possible to succeed in adversity without lots of logistical exploits involving goalposts being choreographed by Leftists. That completely undermines Marxist philosophy.
“But Israel is still here.”
So is Iran, so is Islam, so is socialism, and so is anti-Americanism.
Nothing fundamental has changed.
The West is still slowly collapsing into a New Dark Age of irrationality.
If America collapses Israel doesn’t stand a chance.
The only antidote is to take Ayn Rand’s philosophy of Objectivism seriously and teach it at the universities.
“The West is still slowly collapsing into a New Dark Age of irrationality.”
Since Plato?
HA HA HA !
There has never been a Dark Age… It only exists in your absurd imagination with a declinist vision.
The West is still in its takeoff, and in this takeoff there are turbulences.
Decadence has existed in all eras, in all eras there have been decadents living with non-decadents, less decadents, more lucid people.
Nothing new under the Sun.
The rational has always rubbed shoulders with the irrational, it has in no way prevented society from evolving and improving things.
Your Dark Age is what allowed the transition between the ancient world and the modern world… Very Dark Age indeed…
HA HA HA!
OMG the sky is falling, the sky is falling! The New Dark Age of irrationality is right around the corner. Everyone grab a copy of Atlas Shrugged.
I notice you never get off your a$$ to really fix anything.
I’ve got a clue for you…..no one is going to teach your weak sister Randy Philosophy at any level, especially woke universities. You may have had a chance before they went woke. But you were too lazy to even get a degree. I also don’t think your moribund philosophy is going to end Iran, Islam, socialism, or anti-Americanism
70 years after Objectivism’s heyday no one cares anymore.
Your comment is essentially that Iran, religion and ideologies still exist. Non-Jewish people still exist. How can this possible meet the assertion that Israel still exists as both a people and a nation?
Instead, you should look at the nations and peoples that sought to destroy Israel from her earliest and most vulnerable times – the nations whom the LORD said would cease to exist.
When Israel was formed, their land was occupied by distinct nations and peoples. Not one of these is in existence today. Is there anyone who says he is an Amorite, Hittite, Girgashite, Canaanite, Perizzite, Hivite or Jebusite? But tiny Israel still exists as both a nation and a people.
This kind of sloppy thinking makes you vulnerable.
He doesn’t understand that the rational Jew is stronger with G.d (what he calls the irrational)…
THX, I am considered a very rational person. I believe that G.d spoke to Moses and I believe in angels.
And that Plato was an idiot.
The Amazon Indians believe in spirits, some are still there, after thousands of years of existence, in extreme conditions.
Plato was a supernaturalist mystic. Christianity is based on Platonism. Without Plato the Cult of Jesus could never have become the religion of Christianity.
“Christianity is based on Platonism”
Since you know absolutely nothing about Christianity, you write that. It’s more complicated than that… But there is indeed a close relationship that exists between the doctrine of the Trinity and the philosophy of Plato. It is undeniable. I am referring to “Platonic communism”… To its ideal city managed by philosophers (who are in my opinion only failed poets) and its guardians… a total constructivist delirium of a totalitarian nature that can only block the movement of ideas and thought necessary for the life of the city, which is never done globally by the Church in Europe, as imperfect as it has been, a church that is not of a sectarian nature, rather anti-sectarianism, I will not develop here. A certain Platonism is of a sectarian nature and can lead to totalitarianism. The church has not sought to block the movement of ideas and thought, quite the contrary, the movement of ideas and thought that exists within it, the critical spirit within the church is in force.
Christianity is in no way a rejection of individualism, you should read or reread the parables of Jesus. Individual responsibility, private initiative, is central to Christianity. and concerning charity, it can only be an individual, private decision, and not imposed. And no one will be judged collectively by G-d.
Also, I invite you to read what Pope John Paul II says on socialism. It is brilliant.
Just a small word of advice, try to bring out the positives of Randism rather than attacking religion.
If someone believes something there’s nothing an anonymous comment can do to change their mind, nothing.
Erratum: I was referring to “Platonic communism” in my previous comment, in my mockery of Plato.
Just keep rackin’ up those downvotes, Mr. Individuality.
You are one stupid MO-FO!
Individual lives matter, in fact they are the only lives that matter.
So your life is the only one that matters. And that is why, under Objectivist thinking like yours, nothing will ever get organized or accomplished because everyone goes in their own direction.
One would think, after years of overwhelming downvotes, (yeah we know, downvotes don’t matter to you) one would come to the realization that you are wrong on everything.
That is why there so few Objectivists left in the world. When people go off in different directions nothing gets done. You couldn’t organize a cup of tea.
You are, and always have been, a damn fool.
Only the stupidest of morons like you would interpret my comment on individual lives mattering as my believing that only my life matters!
You are one stupid MO-FO!
I see you brought your little friends today.
Actually considering the body of your work, I actually do believe that, in your topsy turvy self-obsessed world, your life is the only one that matters.
It’s really not that hard to figure out.
If I may repeat: Just keep rackin’ up those downvotes, Mr. Individuality.
You are one stupid MO-FO!
Let’s see if we can produce a more nuanced analysis than yours.
While I would reluctantly agree that the Left is still dominant in the West, it is not correct to say that “nothing has changed”. In Israel, some elements Left of center have finally learned the hard way that “peaceful coexistence” or a “two-state solution” are not possible with Muslim societies determined to eradicate the Jews. In America, the corresponding Left-of-center-but-still-thinking people are realizing that the Democrat Party is wholly totalitarian, primarily due to its ever more obvious determination to impose censorship, and are now supporting Donald Trump (think Elon Musk, Tulsi Gabbard, etc.).
In both countries, the Right is bracing itself for struggle. Whether it is actually prepared for that struggle is doubtful, but at least it’s now realizing that survival is going to require stern measures and it may yet get organized enough to remove the Left from power.
That doesn’t mean we’re out of the woods: the hard-core Left in both countries (in America that would be anyone still supporting Harris or Stein for President; I don’t know Israeli politics as well but I believe the Labor Party has been Marxist for a long time) is unrepentant and determined to cling to power even if it means the destruction of their respective nations, while the more moderate Lefties have yet to fully cross over into the land of decency and morality.
To paraphrase Winston Churchill, this may not be the beginning of the end of Left, but it very well could be the end of its ascension.
Leave it to a fanboy of a mediocre writer with delusions of competence to shart out the most delusional take in these comments. No one is interested in joining your cult, you mendatious midwit.
Thanks Daniel. I haven’t seen this information anywhere else. The currently installed Biden-Harris administration’s perfidy comes from the fact that they consider Israel the oppressors, and Hamas and Hezbollah the freedom fighters. Also, the Shah of Iran is still the main enemy, and the Ayatollahs somehow have an honored place in their intersectionality diagrams.
On X and Truth Social there is an account called Achla News. We have been glued to it for one year. It is ongoing updates from `israel, focused on military, but not entirely. It includes some uplifting personal stories and some very sad reminders of soldiers who have given their lives. I don’t know what `i would do without him (it is more than one person as it seems they serve in the reserves). If you are on either platform, find him.
I don’t know anything about military strategy but even I can see, especially
from this article, that Hamas got bogged down in sadistic bloodlust during
their mission. Is that the fault of their leaders – who did not keep their “troops”
on point? Or did the leaders also succumb to utter enjoyment of brutal and
bloody killing of Jews?
Praying for the people of Israel on this anniversary day, for the hostages and
for the men, women, children and babies who perished last Oct. 7th.
Great summary mr. g. Reading my books on Yom Kippur war and OP NICKLE GRASS. Amazing the US mil aid and bipartisan support for same at that time. Of course Prior to Lefty fascists removing their masks.
Excellent analysis!
Those Jihadists of Hamas who viciously engaged in that vile heinous sex assaults and outright rapes as well as other malicious and murderous Islamic terrorist jihad attacks against those peaceful young people at that music festival , on October 7th., are also horrendously heinous and vile by raping girls and women and brutally cruelly hateful and wickedly mutilating them are Muslim terrorists of the most abhorrent and despicable sort.
Those Hamas jihadists are an outright abomination.
And sell-out politicians import islamic shitheads into America by the 10s of 1000s – just not into Martha’s Vineyard.
When jug-eared Barry flew in Syrian “refugees”, he required that Christian Syrians be excluded.
So it wasn’t too surprising that the upstanding Christian Romeike family was vigorously pursued & finally deported. (It at least showed that leftists do indeed know how to deport immigrants – but only if they’re good guys who contribute.
Bottom line: The only ones leftists want in, are vagrants, jihadists, & MS-13 thugs, i.e. the future Democrat voter base.
The terrible reality about the actual doctrine of Islam about its brutal cruel heinous vile and murderous jihad violence against the peaceful people who are the Citizens of the State of Israel , at that music festival ,on October 7th 2023 by the Muslim terrorist of Hamas.
All that deadly jihad cruel and deadly violence is based on the theology of Islam with it Islamic terrorism has its entire foundation on the Qur ‘an. Which instructs in the use of violence and killing of disbelievers for the advancement of Islam. As found in , for example 2:191. 4:89. 5:33. 9:5,111,123. 47:4.
Furthermore, teaches hate for and towards Jewish people, as in calling them descendants of “apes and swine.” As seen in the Qu ‘ran in 2:65; 7:166.; 5:60. Therefore, the violent jihadist and devote jihad-minded Muslims despise the Jewish State of Israel.
That murderous demonic jihad entity, Hamas is based on Islam . That’s the actual, teaching of Islam regarding this Israel – Hamas war.
History has a tendency to repeat itself , as seen in the following examples.
First, there was that horrendously evil and murderous jihadist bombing at a music concert in the city of Manchester, England on May, 22, 2017 in which 22 people had been murdered and many more severely injured, most of the victims had been young girls and young women.
Then on October, there was those horrific murders by the jihadists of Hamas at a music festival in the State of Israel on October 7, 2023 in which 260 young people had been viciously murdered by those jihadists, who also committed many other many other Islamic atrocities.
Now just this year on March 22,th. on the outskirts of Moscow at another music concert there were more jihadists shootings and mass murders in which 137 people had killed by Muslim terrorists of ISIS in their jihad and at least 145 more people had been harmed.
Islam which its jihadists hates music and it also hates people. It hates them to death.
About October 7th 2023 and those jihadists atrocities, as, rape and murder, committed by those vile and heinous jihadists of Hamas and afterwards are a result of the teachings , doctrines , of Islam with it’s Quran as found in Surah 2;191. 4:48. 9:5,123 47;4] do cause and inspire such systematic heinous vile and despicable sexual violence against Israeli women and girls by the jihadists of Hamas during and after their murderous jihad on October 7th is horrendously horrific to the most evil extent possible. Those jihadists Hamas by their brutal crimes of torture and rape of young Jewish girls and women have exposed they own vicious misogyny of the demonic evil mindset which is the resort of their religion which is Islam.
Some naïve Westerners who don’t know and understand about the bloody and deadly essence of Islam’s jihad , might be shocked and stop and wonder “Just how can those jihadists of Hamas be so totally unconscionably evil to commit those horrendous sex vile heinous affront and hideous crime, actions ? “
The answer to that question is found in the Bible, which informs its reader that there are some men who are completely horrifically callous heartless and unfeeling because they have had “their conscience seared with a hot iron.” First Timothy 4:2. [K.J.V.]
For them, that “hot iron” is Islam.
What a great explanation of a complex situation!! It makes total sense!
Also, just let me say that Israel will never totally go down because God will not allow it! It may seem like they desperately need the US, but in reality, we need Israel!
Dec. 7, 1941, and Oct. 7, 2023 were / are indeed world changing events … As for Sept. 11, 2001 … ??? I’m not so sure … 23 years on from that horrific day the only legacy of 9/11 seems to be that now, when you go the airport, the Muslim guy at the security check-in asks you to take your shoes off … ! Because, after all, YOU might be a terrorist … (unfortunately, the wars that ensued accomplished absolutely nothing … )
True observation. But the American people did wake up. Some of us How we “elected” a complete fake character named B. Hussein after 9/11/01, I just do not know. Oddly, in light of the specific accusations made about Trump, this Hussein character and his advisors have never really left office, they act as dictator, and are a threat to democracy (to the democratic republic we once had).
Have you forgotten that Israel possesses nuclear weapons? Jews are not like Muslims, eager to embrace suicide.If the nightmare scenario unfolded as you described it, Teheran, and perhaps other distant capitals, would have become a city of glass.
Whom ever is Financing and Supporting the Terrorists needs to be taken Out and that means defunding the United Nations totally and investigating Soros and his Son
I hope that those who actually read this article realize that these Muslim groups/nations all interlocking arms is being compounded exponentially here in America. Don’t forget that the neo-Marxists, BLMers and ANTIFA types are hooking up together in this chain of “let’s slaughter western civilization.”
If, like me, you’re a fan of podcasts, such as the many shows hosted by ex-Navy SEALs or other Spec-Op and Intel community members, you’d notice that those who actually did the “wet work” are all starting to point towards the horizon.
I just wish Jocko, Shawn Ryan, Mike Ritland, Mike Baker, Andrew Bustamante and so many others would start explaining to the American people exactly how these terrorists operate; both on a day-to-day field level as well as how they coordinate assaults in house-to-house fighting.
“Remember the Bataclan” as a microcosm of Oct.7… Apparently, music’s charm DOESN’T always soothe the savage 6th century barbarians.
“Oct 7 shattered the complacency some Israelis had developed about their situation.”
October 7, 2023 shattered the complacency of Jews in the USA and globally with the tsunami of antisemitism we assumed was nonexistent due to social evolution and enhanced communication platforms –
It also brought out vile self loathing Jews who think they are safe if they protest against Israel and Jews along with the paid organizers and protestors who bring in idiots, fools, and ignorant youth who are idiots and fools,
It didn’t work in nazzi germany and it won’t work now when this is over and they go back to their Jewish folk who will reject their vile kennite ass!
Daniel, thank you so much for writing and publishing this. Most elucidating. I am spreading it around. The God of Israel’s blessing be upon you.
Very interesting analysis. There is an article at the AEI.org site from late May that outlines Iranian thinking along these same lines. That perhaps a ground invasion of israel by 10,000 troops each from Hamas and Hezbollah and 4,000 from the west bank could produce enough pressure on Israeli society that sufficient numbers of citizens would abandon Israel leaving the nation unable to function. It’s an alleged plan to eliminate Israel without having to defeat the IDF.
I can’t see how such a plan is viewed as serious thinking after what Hamas has suffered over the past year. A 10,000 person force would be destroyed three times over. Hopefully Hezbollah will get an equal beating soon. In the longer run, however, the Iranian economy has to be seriously degraded. Kharg Island would be a fine place to start.