Stating the obvious.
The U.S. Energy Department has concluded that the Covid pandemic most likely arose from a laboratory leak, according to a classified intelligence report recently provided to the White House and key members of Congress.
The shift by the Energy Department, which previously was undecided on how the virus emerged, is noted in an update to a 2021 document by Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines’s office.
The new report highlights how different parts of the intelligence community have arrived at disparate judgments about the pandemic’s origin. The Energy Department now joins the Federal Bureau of Investigation in saying the virus likely spread via a mishap at a Chinese laboratory. Four other agencies, along with a national intelligence panel, still judge that it was likely the result of a natural transmission, and two are undecided.
The Energy Department’s conclusion is the result of new intelligence and is significant because the agency has considerable scientific expertise and oversees a network of U.S. national laboratories, some of which conduct advanced biological research.
The Energy Department made its judgment with “low confidence,” according to people who have read the classified report.
The FBI previously came to the conclusion that the pandemic was likely the result of a lab leak in 2021 with “moderate confidence” and still holds to this view.
The consensus is we don’t really know and that’s not surprising. While China has honeycombed us with their human intel gathering operatives, thousands if not tens of thousands, we have very little insight into what goes on in the PRC. And we may never be able to answer for certain what happened and whether it was purposeful.
But the fundamental argument for the lab leak theory was the lack of any credible alternative theory and the lab proximity. Alternatively, it argues against a deliberate exposure because it pointed to the lab. But that doesn’t mean that the virus wasn’t deliberately weaponized and that once it was out in the wild, there weren’t some boosts.
Natural transmission was never very plausible considering how the virus spread and what it did. We’ve seen natural viruses emerging in real time, the Wuhan Virus didn’t act like it.
The speculation often rests on who seems more like a plausible villain and who is more hated.
But going simply with Occam’s Razor, China conducted the research and it wasn’t a hypothetical exercise. China panicked so badly and engaged in frantic lockdowns because its leadership knew something we didn’t. This wasn’t its reaction to a natural virus, but something that had been weaponized. The PRC acted like it was a bioweapon because it was. Our leaders quickly took their cue from China even while claiming that it was a natural virus. Maybe they were following along or maybe internally they knew it was a weaponized virus.
The Biden administration was willing to keep China’s spy balloons from the American people. The LBJ administration quickly redirected blame from the Soviet defector who shot JFK to Republicans to avoid a Cold War escalation. Would any administration, knowing what it entailed, even admit it if it knew China had developed a bioweapon which had killed over a million people? Question answers itself.
Only now that conditions have stabilized and the crisis is past is it safe to even begin talking about it.
It’s not just the NBA that’s terrified of offending China.