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It is sometimes said that the prosecutions of former President Donald Trump are “backfiring” on Democrats. That is, instead of lowering Trump’s political support, they are raising it. That is indeed happening among Republicans and some independents. But many Democrats still hope the cumulative weight of multiple indictments — there will soon be four, when the Georgia case is added to the New York case and the two federal cases — will make it impossible for Trump to win the general election.
That is why there seemed to be a mini panic recently when a number of political observers pointed out that, in spite of everything that has happened, Trump not only has a very good chance of winning the Republican nomination — he also has a reasonable chance of winning the presidency again.
In any event, it is absolutely clear to all involved that the indictments, filed by an elected Democratic district attorney in New York City, by the Biden Justice Department, and soon by an elected Democratic district attorney in Fulton County, Georgia, will influence the 2024 presidential campaign. People can debate whether that is the intention, or part of the intention, of the prosecutions. But there is no doubt that the cases will affect the campaign.
That is where a new poll from CBS News and YouGov comes in. The survey asked this question: “Which concerns you more right now: 1) That Donald Trump tried to overturn a presidential election, [or] 2) That the charges and indictment against Donald Trump are politically motivated, [or] 3) Both.”
Thirty-eight percent said they were more concerned that Trump tried to overturn an election. And then a precisely equal number — 38% — said they were more concerned that the charges and indictment against Trump are politically motivated. And then 24% said they were equally concerned by both.
There were differences among groups. More men than women were concerned that the charges are politically motivated. People under 45 were more concerned about Trump’s actions, while people over 45 were more concerned about political motivation. White people were more concerned about political motivation, while black people and Hispanic people were more concerned about Trump’s actions (although large numbers of the latter two groups, 38% of black people and 35% of Hispanic people, said they were equally concerned about both).
The bottom line is that many, many people see the Trump prosecutions as politically motivated. That does not mean they deny any Trump culpability. They just also see the obvious fact that the prosecutions have a large political component. They then believe, or suspect, that an action so clearly political might have a political motive behind it.
That could be leading many Americans to discount, and perhaps ultimately ignore, the news they hear about each new Trump indictment. A new report from Axios notes that, “The public’s attention to former President Trump’s legal drama has declined with each subsequent indictment.” That is, perhaps, the world’s least surprising news. It’s just human nature that when something is repeated over and over, we become less attuned to each new repetition. Especially when we think at least some of it is just politics.
That could be enormously frustrating to those Democrats most determined to remove Trump from the American political scene. In a recent appearance on MSNBC, the historian Doris Kearns Goodwin expressed bewilderment that Republican leaders have not abandoned Trump. If that does not change by next year, Goodwin said, then the only solution will be “organizing the country at all the levels so that [Trump] cannot win that election.” It is not entirely clear what that meant. In any event, here is how Goodwin addressed continuing GOP support for Trump:
“It’s still so hard to accept that. I thought after Jan. 6, when you saw McConnell speak, when you saw McCarthy speak, that that was going to be the beginning of the leadership turning against him. And then somehow, somehow it has not happened. And it can’t just be a few of them. And we’ve got to figure out, when is that going to happen, when is that going to break. And maybe the more this thing becomes clear what was done, you’ve got to believe that rational thought will come back in the minds of some of these people. But if not, then it’s going to take the overwhelming organization … organizing the country at all the levels so that he cannot win that election. If the party will not depart from him, then he has to be defeated, and the party has to be defeated.”
One does not have to listen too closely to hear the frustration in those words. Some Democrats argue that all this will change when the trials begin. “The audience will come roaring back, I would predict, as soon as major trials are underway and verdicts are close to being rendered,” an NYU professor told Axios. With renewed interest, the thinking goes, there will be renewed opposition to Trump as he is presumably found guilty of the various charges against him.
Maybe that will happen. Maybe it will not. But the fundamental fact remains: Millions of Americans see the Trump indictments as at least partially politically motivated. It is highly unlikely that the partisan Democrats and Biden administration officials behind the prosecutions will ever change that perception.
andre says
In my view his support will increase no matter what. They are angering many Americans who clearly see thru this sham. Perhaps they want to do this to clamp down some more, but all I see is evil, As far as the Republican leadership is concerned, they are mostly a waste.
Mo de Profit says
If his support grows they still have warp speed vaccine deaths and injuries in their back pocket, they don’t want to use it because they are paid by big pharma but they will if they need to.
TruthLaser says
Would I be a plagiarist if I said that Goodwin has plagiarized?
David Ray says
In the 1st sham impeachment, Trump was charged with interfering in Sleaze-bag Biden’s campaign (even though he wasn’t yet nominated.)
This is genuine interference on a colossal & surreal level.
(Next, Trump will be indicted for eating a ham sandwich.)
Kevin says
… and then he’ll be indicted for an unpaid parking ticket from 1983 … After all: “NOBODY IS ABOVE THE LAW!!!”
Luz Maria Rodriguez says
Except Dem/leftist orgs and individuals.
Another of Trump’s huge errors was deciding to let Hillary off the hook.
Clearly, the left hates his guts and is going all out to take him off the stage.
To not bring justice to a leftist, is to help them dominate.
SPURWING PLOVER says
Those who belong in prison for life Biden Obama Soros Gates Bragg both the Clintons evict the UN, CFR, ban the WEF Repeal all those UN Treaties evict the whole UN and turn the Facility into a Homeless Shelter
Mo de Profit says
That’s the ONLY way to stop the madness, the UN is run by communist and islamic dictators and funded by leftist lunatics and China.
Defund the UN now!
Steven Brizel says
So Al Gore can challenge an election all the way to SCOTUS and back in. 2000 as did Democrats in 2004 and 2016 as legitimate exercises of free speech but when Republicans do so when there was visible evidence that deserved serious consideration by courts they get indicted
Kasandra says
Don’t forget the documents case. Many other Presidents, both Democratic and Republican, have continued to possess classified documents after leaving office without sanction. Biden, who as a Senator, had no right to remove such documents from a Senate SCIF, to possess classified documents after his Vice-Presidency, and never had any authority to de-classify documents, spends day after day vacationing at the beach while having had hundreds, if not thousands of such document in multiple unsecured locations. But it is Trump, who had declassification authority, the Presidential Records Act, and Secret Service protection of the document’s location, is being prosecuted. Completely political!
Semaphore says
Why does any of this surprise anybody? This republic has been on borrowed time since the CIA took out JFK almost 60 years ago. Trump has always been a threat because he was an outsider paying his own way, and as such not easily controlled. Expect to see more of this, and, eventually, an assassination/crash/fatal illness or whatever. But then, I’m just a cynical old f@rt…
Eva says
No, I believe you’re right.
If they can’t take him down using a corrupt and perverted legal system, they’ll assassinate him.
Ugly Sid says
Are these prosecutions intended to influence the 2024 elections, or justify the tampered results showing another otherwise absurd Democrat victory?
I expect Democrats to refine their efforts at election “fortification”.
The Democrat Party churns out hoaxes on a scale comparable to Cecil B. DeMille’s cinema releases, stunning blockbusters.
Jason P says
Trump has lost the moderates years ago … he needed something to appeal to them in the general election. These politically motivated charges will help his core get him nominated but do nothing to help in the general election. This doesn’t bode well.
dennodogg says
We are beyond “moderation” now. Either these fence sitters get a grip on the latest situations and go with Trump, sit it out, or go with the evil left. Every election it’s the same bullschiff with these people.
RS says
What we see is libel lawfare. Its all about politics and the will of the elites, and oligarchs and their agenda,
not the will of the people. The laws have been changed. Law Professor Derschowitz predicted all this in his book Get Trump, which the book stores don’t want to sell. Ever since prayer was banned from our schools, our educational institutions have become jungles of violence and immoral teachings. A society that doesn’t know God has lost its ability to discern right from wrong.
John Blackman says
it never ceases to amaze me how ignorant generally americans are of their own political state . after reading ” ball of collusion ” by andrew mc carthy , v d hansons ” the case for trump ” and ” the dying citizen ” ” rigged ” by mollie hemingway , and last but not least ” resistance at all costs ” by kimberly strassel it is more than apparent that the democrats are a law unto themselves . absolutely none of them will see the inside of a jail aided and abetted by the MSM . the whole thing from the moment trump stepped into the crack house it was going to be one long war to remove trump no matter the means . they will continue til they can pin something on him no matter how long it takes . the polls , if they can be believed are an indication that the only source of learning is the news . don’t americans read books !! ?? it certainly seems so . i don’t even live in america and im better informed judging by the comments in front-page .
RS says
Most people have a sense of right and wrong and they know that Trump has been falsely and unfairly charged with things he has never been guilty of. His support grows because of these actions. If our system of justice was totally fair, those who are creating ways to persecute people would be on the hot seat themselves.
Lawrence Miller says
I think the Democrats, after continuously employing all the legal weapons available to neutralize Donald Trump have shown one thing: they don’t know when they’ve overplayed their hand. What scares me is just how far they’re willing to go to keep him from returning to the White House.