Former New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio tried to run for president, it didn’t work out, he abandoned his plans to run for governor, and decided to run for a race he could win in a spot cleared by the upending of New York’s old illegal Democrat map, pitting Rep. Nadler and Rep. Maloney against each other.
And if these numbers are right, it looks like he might want to consider running for dogcatcher next.
A new poll of the 10th Congressional District from progressive firm Data for Progress has New York City Council Member Carlina Rivera leading the Democratic primary field with 17% of likely voters’ support. Assembly Member Yuh-Line Niou was second with 14% and former House impeachment counsel Dan Goldman close behind with 12%, while former New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio was in seventh place, with 5%.
Data for Progress has obvious biases, it’s right in the name, and likely want to tout antisemitic leftist BDS supporter Yuh-Line Niou.
Like a lot of urban Democrat races, this may just be a question of tribal voters with Latino and Asian voters picking candidates based on that and the Jewish vote being split. And there’s not a lot of room for a Warren Wilhelm Jr, whose shtick of pretending to be Italian wore thin early, in this race.
But Elizabeth Holtzman, who is 80, is performing better in her comeback than the guy who just used to be mayor.
Following Rivera, Niou and Goldman, former Rep. Elizabeth Holtzman had 9%, Assembly Member Jo Anne Simon 8%, Rep. Mondaire Jones 7% and de Blasio 5%. Former New York City Council candidate Maud Maron came in last, with 1%.
“This is a race in flux,” McElwee told City & State. “There’s a lot more public communications to be happening, but I think there’s a clear set of front-runners … Carlina, Yuh-Line, Goldman, all have credible paths there.” McElwee didn’t rule out Jones though, who recently moved to Brooklyn from the district he represents in the city’s northern suburbs: “Mondaire has $3 million. He could still change things up. He’s got a lot of money.”
McElwee also highlighted the 80-year-old Holtzman, who served four terms in Congress ending in 1981 – before opponents like Rivera, Niou and Jones were even born. “People may be surprised,” he said. “Holtzman may have some juice due to older voters.”
Likely voters were also asked for their opinions about individual candidates. De Blasio was the only one with a negative favorability rating – 26% of respondents had a “very favorable” or “somewhat favorable” view of him, while 23% had a “somewhat unfavorable” view and 49% “very unfavorable.”