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There’s an upside to leading from behind.
When Obama retreated from Iraq, ISIS emerged and ushered in a wave of brutal warfare against Iranian proxies and fellow Sunni Islamists capping off the Arab Spring and the New Middle East with a bang.
Biden’s retreat from Afghanistan hasn’t been that spectacular yet, but give it a little time.
Iran and the Taliban, after initially being good friends and swapping abandoned American military equipment back and forth, are killing each other over who gets first dibs on the local water rights.
So far, two Iranian border guards and one Taliban terrorist are dead. The death toll on both sides would be higher, but, like most Islamic armies, neither side is much good at anything except run-and-gun raids.
And empty boasts.
If we get the order, we “will conquer Iran within 24 hours,” says Taliban commander Abdul Hamid. “Iran is flirting with the West. In reality, Iran has teamed up with the West. Iran should know that if they cross our red lines, we will erase them from the map of the Earth.” pic.twitter.com/LQhy8TQWiw
— Mike (@Doranimated) May 27, 2023
Iran, for its part, claims to be winning.
Iran’s state-run IRNA news agency quoted the country’s deputy police chief, Gen. Qassem Rezaei, accusing the Taliban of opening fire first Saturday morning on the border of Iran’s Sistan and Baluchestan province and the Afghan province of Nimroz. IRNA said Iran inflicted “heavy casualties and serious damage.”
Heavy casualties and serious damage means one dead. And the Taliban are ready to conquer all of Iran in 24 hours after killing two border guards and taking one border post.
This kind of rhetoric is normal in the Muslim world.
What it really means is that both sides are posturing before they come together to form a temporary agreement that both sides will freely violate resulting in more clashes and “heavy casualties and serious damage.”
So business as usual.
Iran is demanding that the Taliban abide by a 1973 agreement that predates both the Taliban and the Islamic regime in Iran. The good news is they both have lots of weapons to fight with. The bad news is that any large-scale clashes are unlikely because both sides are cowardly and incapable of hitting anything they fire at.
But Iran does have an ace in the hole which is Al Qaeda. So expect Iran to try to use Al Qaeda against the Taliban. Can the terrorists be terrorized? Expect some more Shiite mosques in Afghanistan to get bombed as the various elements of the Religion of Peace worship Allah by killing each other.
Mo de Profit says
Arabs are a tribal group and the positive spin of calling it an Arab Spring meant they had a lot of financial support for their tribe to take over from the other tribe.
Nothing the western world does will change this other than mass migration INTO the region.
That happened in Dubai and the UAE but the tribes still rule with our money.
Algorithmic Analyst says
Al Qaeda doesn’t stand a chance against the Taliban 🙂
Anyway, it is interesting they are fighting about water, which is understandable. What kind of water infrastructure are they capable of building?
Mo de Profit says
Desalination plants like they have in Dubai etc. all consuming MASSES of oil. The environmentalists are too cowardly to complain about that stuff.
Jeff Bargholz says
Dirty puddles that camels piss in.
Martina Vaslovik says
Sounds like Abdul Hamid is all turban and no goats.
TruthLaser says
Not to gLoat, but turbans cause fecal warming.
SPURWING PLOVER says
Like the bug creatures from the Lost in Space movie Thet Eat their Wounded
Jeff Bargholz says
That was a very entertaining movie! The Netflix “Lost in Space” is entertaining, too, even though it’s “woke.”
JOSEPH DHIPPOLITO says
GOOD! The United States should stay out of this and let them destroy each other.
roberta says
What? Why would we stay out? Do you know how much delicious, yummy money our industrial military blah blah can make if we get involved? There is a fortune here to make, and it will only cost the lives of a few thousand US soldiers and a few billion taxpayer dollars.
There will always be a shortage of water in those shtholes, we can get at least 20 years of war out of this.
Una Salus says
It might be good if that’s what it meant but that’s not what it means.
Una Salus says
Only the strongest survive in that environment. And when they’re done killing each other they can get back to the US woke forces if the woke cadets ever engage in the real world again aside from guarding the Capitol which I sincerely doubt.
Like the entertainment industry after Reagan left the scene they have not much to do but follow a steadily downward trajectory into Newt Gingrich GOP oblivion. That suits them fine.
Una Salus says
Dreyfuss is obviously right that it’s a bipartisan end game but it’s also a “liberal” end game and the only way to confuse this issue is to ignore how liberally meaningless party distinctions now are.
Una Salus says
The only thing they care about is that you’re now minding your own business in your increasingly diminished borders.
Algorithmic Analyst says
Thanks Una, that’s a good way to look at it, I never thought of that.
Una Salus says
No more endless wars!!
Ichibod says
I have a video about a Mexican wedding where they celebrate by shooting straight up in the air. Maybe the Iranibans can use that as a tutorial for using their heavy artolliary that uncle Joe left behind for them.
Algorithmic Analyst says
Thanks, that’s one of my favorite examples of shallow human thinking. They don’t think about “what goes up, must come down”, or physics, or gravity. In my former SF Bay city the hoodlums used to celebrate holidays like 4th of July and New Years by firing automatic weapons up in the air. I used to hide out inside until the shooting was over.