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[Order David Horowitz’s new book, America Betrayed, HERE.]
On Nov. 5, 2023, the New York Times published a story headlined, “Trump Leads in 5 Critical States as Voters Blast Biden, Times/Siena Poll Finds.” Focusing on the states most likely to decide the 2024 election, the Times reported, “The results show Mr. Biden is losing to Mr. Trump, his likeliest Republican rival, by margins of four to 10 percentage points among registered voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada and Pennsylvania. Mr. Biden is ahead only in Wisconsin, by two percentage points, the poll found.”
The story set off a mass freakout in the Democratic Party. A Biden Justice Department-appointed prosecutor had indicted Trump twice, and Democratic prosecutors in New York and Georgia had indicted Trump two more times — and the former president was still leading Biden in the most important 2024 states? How could that be? The poll led to an unusually intense round of the usual fretting over Biden’s age, the state of the economy, the border and the rest of the president’s liabilities.
Fast-forward six months to May 13, 2024 — Monday. The Times published a story headlined, “Trump Leads in 5 Key States, as Young and Nonwhite Voters Express Discontent With Biden.” A new poll showed Biden trailing in the same states by nearly the same margin as the old poll. Compare this sentence with the one from six months ago: “The surveys … found that Mr. Trump was ahead of Mr. Biden in five of six key states: Michigan, Arizona, Nevada, Georgia and Pennsylvania. Mr. Biden led among registered voters in only one battleground state, Wisconsin.”
Think about it. In the past six months, Biden has traveled the country, touting what he believes are his economic accomplishments. He has spent zillions of dollars on advertising, focusing specifically on the key states. And at the same time, Trump was either preparing to go on trial or, since April 15, actually on trial in New York, facing a maximum of 136 years in prison. And Biden is still unable to catch Trump.
Last month, CNN reported that from March 6, the day after Super Tuesday, through April 21, “Biden’s campaign and other Democratic advertisers spent $27.2 million on advertising for the presidential race, while the Trump campaign and GOP advertisers spent about $9.3 million, according to AdImpact data. The Biden campaign’s ad spending has included millions in key battleground states such as Michigan ($4.1 million), Pennsylvania ($3.9 million), Arizona ($2.5 million), Wisconsin ($2.2 million) and Georgia ($2.2 million). The Biden network has used its plentiful airtime to promote the administration’s first-term record and to slam Trump, focusing on key issues such as the cost of living and abortion rights.”
Biden has also built his campaign schedule around trips to the key states. Meanwhile, Trump has had to squeeze in campaign events between time spent in a Manhattan courtroom. Trump has directed lots of contributions that could have financed campaigning into legal expenses instead. And he is obviously distracted; being on trial for a maximum of 136 years in prison will do that. And yet, Trump leads Biden in the states that will determine who wins the presidency.
Look at the Electoral College map. To win, Trump will need to hold all the states he won in 2020, which probably won’t be a problem. Then he will need to win at least some of the states in the Sun Belt, which turn out to be the states in which he has the biggest leads in the latest Times poll: 10 points in Georgia, 7 points in Arizona and 12 points in Nevada. Then, Trump will need to win just one of the upper tier of states — Pennsylvania, Michigan or Wisconsin. In the Times poll, Trump is ahead by 3 points in Pennsylvania and 7 points in Michigan. It is only in Wisconsin, as it was last November, that Biden is ahead, by a mere 2 points.
For months, Democrats had hoped that the specter of Trump on trial would cut into the former president’s support. Now we are in week five of the trial, with wall-to-wall media coverage, and it appears to have not affected Trump’s support at all. Obviously, that means Democrats are now praying especially hard that Trump will be convicted. Then they can create ads labeling Trump a “convicted felon” and hope that at least a few Trump voters will abandon the former president.
Maybe that will happen. But Biden’s position is becoming quite serious. As RealClearPolitics analyst Sean Trende wrote recently, “the political science literature is pretty consistent that this is the time when the electorate’s views about the election start to harden, particularly with respect to the economy.” Yes, the Democratic dream that a prosecutor will save Biden is still alive, but the president’s situation looks more difficult every day.
Banastre Tarleton says
Trump is in danger of assassination; either a lone wolf deranged shooter in the crowd, or a trained sniper, or a possible drone attack or even suicide bomber .IT COULD HAPPEN
Nikolaos Halkides says
He’s in danger in another way as well: the Democrats actually introduced a bill to remove his Secret Service protection if he becomes a “convicted felon”. Thus if the Democrat jury in NY convicts him and Democrat Merchan sentences him to prison, he could be assassinated there before a higher court overturns the conviction.
Now I’m not sure Democrats have the nerve to go through with this plan or that any final decision has been made by whoever is really in charge, or that they’ll get a conviction even with a Democrat jury now that Stormy Daniels and Michael Cohen have imploded on the witness stand, but that they would even consider it shows the magnitude of the evil we’re dealing with.
WhiteHunter says
That’s my worry, too. Anwar Sadat was assassinated by his own troops–members of the Muslim Brotherhood–while reviewing a parade, for signing Egypt’s historic peace treaty with Israel.
Indira Ghandi was assassinated by her own bodyguards.
And, of course, 2,000 years ago, the mad emperor Caligula was ambushed and stabbed to death by his own Pretorian Guards–although in that case, the assassination was not only justified, but deserved and necessary to remove a murderous madman from the throne.
We’ve always admired, and completely trusted, the Secret Service. But as things are now, with the widespread insane, foaming-at-the-mouth hatred of DJT, the top-to-bottom corruption of the DoJ and the FBI and their determination to “get” him, and especially with the recent, alarming scandals involving S.S. Agents in the Protective Detail (including, just a couple of weeks ago, one Agent who suddenly went berserk and started punching other Agents!), I wouldn’t be surprised if there aren’t already at least a few Agents who are thinking of “taking care of” Trump, and are considering, maybe even plotting, how they might do it.
God help us that we’ve come to this.
Paul says
Indeed. Chuckie Schumer warned Trump that the intelligence community had many ways to go after him if he continued to criticize the weaponized agencies. They are simply executing Schumer’s threat .If they could kill JFK and get away with it, they can do it again. Assassination attempts on presidents is not as rare as some people think.
Spingehra says
The corruption is out of control. Personally at this point I am ready to take up arms. I don’t think I’ll be alone. The last “election” was totally fraudulent, I live in a mail in only state so for me the fraud was easily recognized. Totally controlled by the worst elements of the democrat party. Aided by a majority of Rino Republicans
This is what happens with the corruption
David Ray says
The vain bitch, Jen Psaki sure wouldn’t mind if Trump died.
She even mused about it in an interview.
These liberal idiots just can’t help but say the quiet part out loud sometimes.
John Anderson says
If this was going to be a fair and free election, if the mainstream media was not filled with lies and reported the news honestly, then Donald Trump would be further ahead in the polls against corrupt China Joe than when Trump was running against the RINO Nikki Haley.
So, why would Byron York report these misleading polls? Well, you would have to ask Byron York that question. And while you are asking him that question, ask him another question. Why did you ask Michele Bachmann during a presidential debate in August 2011 if she was “submissive” to her husband? Byron York are you submissive to the Deep State?
The Democrats led by Hussein Obama stole the 2020 US Presidential Election from the real winner, Donald J Trump, and got away with it because of a corrupt DOJ and FBI. On November 3, 2020, at 10 PM EST, Trump had 306 electoral votes. Then vote counting stopped nationally and the cheating with fake ballots went into overdrive until the dementia candidate, who campaigned from his basement, “won”. I don’t need Byron York quoting meaningless polls to tell me that in an honest election Donald Trump would win a landslide against Hussein Obama’s puppet, the dummy Joe.
Proof that the 2024 election was stolen would be if Biden wins. Unfortunately, with a fourth Hussein Obama term, we may all wind up “submissive” to the criminals currently running the Federal Government.
Jeff Bargholz says
Yeah, no way is Alzheimer Joe ahead ANYWHERE. I used to live in Milwaukee and the only people who support the D-Bags there are the usual suspects……and they don’t vote. It’s hard to vote from a jail cell anyway. And their single digit IQs don’t help, either. No wonder black chicks prefer us white guys.
David Ray says
Jeff,
Consider that these same pricks that scream “election denier”, brought Bush43 cousin, John Ellis before a congressional committee after the 2000 election.
His crime? Calling the election for Bush at 2:am (but, only after he called it for Gore earlier.)
Two Democrat poll workers in Georgia did more than that.
They lied to the Republican poll workers about a “plumbing leak”, and made them leave.
Yet they stayed to count all by their lonesome. (Imagine Republican canvassers counting votes without oversight.)
Where they hauled before a congressional committee & maligned endlessly in the press?
Of course not.
They were gifted a bullshit 7 figure payday from Gulliani. They, not Douglass Mackey should be in prison. (Mackey is a whole other story in Stasiesque targeting.)
Hannah Katz says
The Dems are using Daniel Ortega and Nicaragua as their template. Arrest your opponent and convict him in a kangaroo court. If the Republicans replace Trump with DeSantis or anyone else, they will have him arrested too and repeat the process. All to save democracy…
Noah Andeark says
I think that the biggest problem the Democrats have for this November, is they’ll need DOUBLE the fake ballots in order to eek out a cheat.
Nikolaos Halkides says
There is a theory that the Dems can only overcome a margin of 5% or so with their fraudulent ballots before their cheating becomes exposed. If that is correct, we can understand the reason for their panic – Trump may defeat Biden by more than 5% in enough swing states to claim victory. (The polls are probably underrating Trump just as they did in 2020, so adding 3% or so to his polling numbers must be a very frightening idea to the Party of Evil).
Still, if Trump “loses” a close race, the fault will be with the Republican Party for allowing Democrats to rig elections so that the GOP doesn’t just have to win, they have to win by 6% or more.
Raymond in DC says
As I’ve long said, the margin of victory must exceed the margin of fraud. But potential fraud around the ballot is only part of the problem. As psychologist Epstein has demonstrated, social media has an outside influence on the electorate’s attitudes, simply by manipulating the news and opinions the people consume, potentially swinging many millions of votes. So, many will be casting legal votes, only after having their political judgement corrupted.
David Ray says
Guess the chickenshit DNC operatives are worried their mail-in ballot printing machines will overheat.
(They wore out a dozen of ’em after election night in 2020.)
aristotle cam says
How does any of this make sense? The polls tell me that this is a tight presidential race. I watch the Democratic
presidential candidate speak , when he’s able to or allowed to, and he reads thru his prepared speech. This usually
turns out to be a train wreck. Then he can’t find his way off stage and can’t answer any questions shouted at him.
This is the guy running our country and wants to do it for four more years. Then I’m told this race is tight. This is now
our America. The World is watching!!!!!!!
WhiteHunter says
Yes, all true. But remember, Biden the “Catholic” is militantly pro-abortion (to full term, and even post-natal); wants to shift those $200,000 “student loans” from the deadbeat LGBTQ Majors onto the backs of us working taxpayers; force us to give up our gasoline-fueled cars and switch to bicycles or buy $90,000 Teslas “to save the planet” while shutting down the power plants that generate the electricity to recharge them; and accelerate the ayatollahs’ nuclear warhead and missile programs with pallet-loads of “Benjamins” and gold bars.
And to Biden’s and the Democrat Party’s “base,” those are the only issues that matter.
Steve Chavez says
WHEN VOTE COUNTING in the critical states goes at a Turtles Pace, you know the Democrats are double counting, erasing, and finding votes in closets.
DO NOT MAIL IN BALLOTS. The mailman sees the campaign literature you are getting and if you put in your ballot for him to main, THEY WILL STEAL IT, fill out a new one with your info, your signature, AND GUESS WHAT…. THEY DON’T CARE BECAUSE IT’S “TO SAVE DEMOCRACY!” To them, they’re heroes that saved America.
DEMOCRATS will soon be throwing money out of airplanes in their BRIBES4VOTES PROGRAM. Biden is already doing it with student loan forgiveness where even Republican students, and their parents, will vote for that! Republican leaders will object which gives the Democrats another opportunity: “Those meany Republicans don’t care for our students who are now our future!”
THEN COMES AMNESTY for 30-40 million with the Democrat machine helping with their paperwork and VOTER REGISTRATION, ALL MAIL-IN BALLOTS FILLED OUT AND A MAILBOX OUTSIDE THE BUILDING! With those new numbers, the Democrats will finally realize THEIR AMERICAN DREAM…. ONE-PARTY RULE! VIVA CHE! VIVA FIDEL! VIVA OBAMA! VIVA BIDEN!
internalexile says
I will make my contributions and keep returning to sites like this, but I will not allow myself an iota of triumphal hope until after the elections. The disappointment with our corrupted system was almost too much in the aftermath of 2020. I turned into a partial hermit and spoke to very few people, for quite some time. And still, today, one has to watch everything one says. Remember the Best Foreign Film, “The Lives of Others”?
Cal from Canada says
Excellent movie!!!
SPURWING PLOVER says
The Democrat in his Acme Super Outfit runs off the cliff strikes a pose they falls straight down CRASH
Dr. Don Rhudy says
As Biden boasted to “journalists” back some weeks before the 2020 election, Democrats have perfected a foolproof scheme for a fraudulent election. To put Biden or any other Democrat in the White House, and to recapture the House and improve the majority in the Senate, all they must do is activate that plan.
However, if things get really threatening they have available to them the tool of assassination, which the CIA and FBI are well acquainted with. Those agencies have already whacked JFK and RFK to determine an election, and missed a couple of others only by luck. Assassination need not be reserved strictly for use on Trump, either. They could whack Biden and gain much political support by the usual thoughtless voters who are moved entirely by emotion—that same batch of morons who overlooked the fact that Barack Obama was a Marxist and a non-citizen to vote for him to avoid being called racist. (How well did that work out? Obama launched and even now guides the present rebellion, revolution, or insurrection that is wrecking the nation—you choose your term for it. )
Whether or not the Party sticks with Biden, it is raking in millions of dollars for use as it pleases politically. Democrats can’t lose any way you figure it. A four-year Trump presidency can only retard long range plans of Democrats. They’re not going to abandon them.
Domenic Pepe says
I wish and pray that more than just the Biden campaign were dead.
The GOP must be prepared to deal with the depraved corrupt democrat party
which will make every effort, legal and illegal, and sneaky corrupt way to prevent victory in November 2024 by
Donald Trump.
Depraved psychopathic reprobate Leftist democrats embedded everywhere in the government bureaucracy will be using their authority and powers to undermine and usurp and defeat the will of the US citizenry. to maintain their power and control of the State and society and culture and the educational system.
Then what. ?
Onzeur Trante says
It does look like the Dems are freaking out and to such an extent that Biden has agreed to debate Trump BUT with absurd demands that are engineered to make Biden “look good” — if such a thing is possible. Oddly enough, Trump has apparently agreed to Biden’s ridiculous terms. One hopes Trump will change his mind on this– unless he’s assuming tha the mere juxtaposition of the two men on stage will be enough to show voters which candidate is the better and stronger of the two. The other side of the coin is that the Biden Team will engage in some malarkey during the debate, and such trickery would be entirely out of Trump’s control; I’d bet money on that happening.